[{"data":1,"prerenderedAt":91},["ShallowReactive",2],{"event-page-will-alberta-join-the-us":3},{"event":4,"related":45},{"id":5,"slug":6,"title":7,"description":8,"summary":9,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":12,"image":20,"probability":21,"volume24hr":22,"volume1wk":23,"liquidity":24,"openInterest":25,"trendScore":26,"active":27,"closed":28,"featured":28,"startDate":29,"endDate":30,"createdAtRemote":31,"updatedAtRemote":32,"affiliateUrl":33,"polymarketUrl":33,"searchKeywords":34,"syncedAt":42,"createdAt":43,"marketCount":44},"200480","will-alberta-join-the-us","Will Alberta join the US? ","This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if it is officially announced that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, or if Alberta officially comes under US sovereignty, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nSovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Alberta as of February 6, 2026, currently a Canadian province, to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.\n\nAn official announcement made by the United States and Canada that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, within this market's timeframe, will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. a ratified treaty, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere suggestions, negotiations, or posts on Social Media will not.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Canada, and Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Alberta has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.","Will Alberta join the US? is a political prediction market asking whether Alberta will formally come under U.S. sovereignty by December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. The forecast resolves to \"Yes\" only if there is an official announcement or completed transfer placing the Canadian province under U.S. governance or jurisdiction as a state, territory, or another U.S. classification. Mere speculation, negotiations, or social media comments do not count; the market relies on official government action or credible reporting confirming the change. This event matters because it sits at the intersection of U.S.-Canada relations, geopolitics, and broader debates about sovereignty and territorial change. Current market sentiment implies a low-probability outcome, with traders pricing the chance at about 4.25%. The market opened on February 6, 2026, and runs through the end-of-year deadline, giving participants time to react to diplomatic developments, legislative action, or any formal agreement between the United States, Canada, and Alberta. For event prediction and odds tracking, this listing reflects a niche but high-interest political forecast tied to annexation, acquisition, and North American geopolitical risk.","POLITICS","Greenland",[11,13,14,15,16,17,18,19],"Politics","Trump","Canada","World","annex","acquire","Geopolitics","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\u002Fwill-alberta-join-the-us-zZzto4QDBvw6.jpg",4.25,56396.531729,607099.5225150004,59825.61598,16744.227295,222293.24581500012,true,false,"2026-02-06T22:41:20.357Z","2026-12-31T00:00:00.000Z","2026-02-06T16:43:27.862Z","2026-05-30T10:31:53.543Z","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket.com\u002Fevent\u002Fwill-alberta-join-the-us?r=predstack",[35,36,37,38,39,40,41],"will alberta join the us? ","will alberta join the us?  prediction","will alberta join the us?  odds","will alberta join the us?  probability","political prediction market","political forecast","political probability","2026-06-05T13:05:47.497Z","2026-05-30T10:42:48.411Z",0,[46,64,76],{"id":47,"title":48,"slug":49,"category":10,"subcategory":13,"tags":50,"probability":58,"createdAt":59,"updatedAt":60,"resolutionDate":61,"description":62,"summary":62,"volume1wk":63,"featured":27},"31875","Republican Presidential Nominee 2028","republican-presidential-nominee-2028",[13,51,52,53,54,55,56,57],"US Election","Elections","World Elections","Global Elections","Earn 4%","Primaries","United States",2.75,"2026-05-30T10:42:43.975Z","2026-05-30T10:39:47.083Z","2028-11-07T00:00:00.000Z","This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources.\n\nAny replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.",9249335.794150999,{"id":65,"title":66,"slug":67,"category":10,"subcategory":13,"tags":68,"probability":44,"createdAt":71,"updatedAt":72,"resolutionDate":73,"description":74,"summary":74,"volume1wk":75,"featured":27},"438327","Iran closes its airspace by...?","iran-closes-its-airspace-by",[13,19,69,70],"U.S. x Iran","Iran","2026-05-30T10:42:44.156Z","2026-05-30T10:38:40.231Z","2026-05-31T00:00:00.000Z","This market will resolve to “Yes” if Iran initiates a major closure of its airspace, that is not solely due to weather conditions, by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nA “major closure” is defined as a broad closure, cancellation, or suspension of commercial flights transiting, arriving in, and departing from Iranian airspace or a major Iranian Airspace region. A qualifying closure must apply generally to flights across Iran or a major Iranian airspace region. Limited cancellations, delays, or other partial closures will not qualify. Limited exceptions to a broad closure, however, will not disqualify such a closure from counting (e.g. exceptions for certain flights pre-approved by the Iranian Civil Aviation Authority may be permitted). \n\nAny non-weather complete suspension of commercial arrivals and departures affecting at least two of the following airports will qualify: Imam Khomeini International Airport (IKA), Mehrabad Airport (THR), Mashhad International Airport (MHD), Shiraz International Airport (SYZ), or Isfahan International Airport (IFN).\n\nQualifying previous examples include the January 2026 total closure of Iranian airspace except to international flights with express governmental permission (https:\u002F\u002Fwww.reuters.com\u002Fworld\u002Fmiddle-east\u002Firan-shuts-airspace-most-flights-flightradar24-says-2026-01-14\u002F) and the April 2024 closure of Iran’s western airspace (https:\u002F\u002Fwww.reuters.com\u002Fworld\u002Fmiddle-east\u002Firanian-airports-cancel-flights-until-monday-morning-2024-04-14\u002F). Non-qualifying examples include the January 27, 2026 partial closure of Iranian airspace around the Strait of Hormuz (https:\u002F\u002Fwww.aa.com.tr\u002Fen\u002Fmiddle-east\u002Firan-issues-airspace-notice-for-military-drills-near-strait-of-hormuz\u002F3812508) and the January 25 - April 25, 2026 VFR (Visual Flight Rules) flights suspension which did not broadly close commercial aviation in a qualifying region (https:\u002F\u002Fwww.intellinews.com\u002Firan-suspends-general-aviation-and-vfr-flights-in-new-airspace-directive-421997\u002F).\n\nWarnings, No-Fly-Zones, or other flight restrictions imposed by airlines or countries other than Iran will not be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution.\n\nAirspace closures which occur solely due to weather conditions will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from Iranian aviation authorities and a consensus of credible reporting.",6620506.11378,{"id":77,"title":78,"slug":79,"category":10,"subcategory":52,"tags":80,"probability":85,"createdAt":86,"updatedAt":87,"resolutionDate":88,"description":89,"summary":89,"volume1wk":90,"featured":27},"57096","California Governor Election Winner","california-governor-election-2026",[52,51,13,81,82,83,84],"Governor midterms","California Midterm","rewards 100, 4.5, 100","California Governor",0.25,"2026-05-30T10:42:44.509Z","2026-05-30T10:32:16.807Z","2026-11-03T00:00:00.000Z","This market will resolve to according to the candidate who wins the 2026 California gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.\n\nIf the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.",4083953.7799110003,1780676671491]