[{"data":1,"prerenderedAt":82},["ShallowReactive",2],{"event-page-who-will-trump-speak-to-in-may":3},{"event":4,"related":40},{"id":5,"slug":6,"title":7,"description":8,"summary":9,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":12,"image":15,"probability":16,"volume24hr":17,"volume1wk":18,"liquidity":19,"openInterest":20,"trendScore":21,"active":22,"closed":23,"featured":23,"startDate":24,"endDate":25,"createdAtRemote":26,"updatedAtRemote":27,"affiliateUrl":28,"polymarketUrl":28,"searchKeywords":29,"syncedAt":37,"createdAt":38,"marketCount":39},"431724","who-will-trump-speak-to-in-may","Who will Trump speak to in May?","This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the listed individual speaks with Donald Trump between May 1 and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to \"No\".\n\nSpeaking is defined as any verbal interaction between the listed individual and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call.\n\nThe resolution source will be credible media reporting. However, in the absence of definitive or in the case of contradictory media reporting, statements by either of the specified individuals or their official representatives will also be considered.\n\nStatements by the specified individuals or their official representatives will only be considered conclusive if the claims explicitly, or in context unambiguously, indicate that a qualifying talk occurred within the specified timeframe and took place via verbal communication, and provided that such claims are not contradicted by the other specified individual, their representatives, or credible media reporting by the end of the third calendar date (ET) following the statement in question.\n\nIf the date\u002Ftime of a qualifying talk cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar day following this market's above-specified timeframe, it will resolve to \"No\" regardless of whether it was later confirmed to have taken place.","\"Who will Trump speak to in May?\" is a political prediction market asking whether a listed individual will have a verbal interaction with Donald Trump between May 1 and May 31, 2026, by phone, video call, or in person. The market resolves to Yes only if credible media reporting confirms the conversation within the specified timeframe, with statements from the individuals or their representatives serving as backup evidence under the market’s rules. This makes the event a focused forecast on Trump’s communications during a narrow political window, with resolution tied to clear reporting standards.\n\nAs a Politics category market with a Trump and Geopolitics angle, it is relevant to traders tracking U.S. political developments, public signaling, and potential high-profile contacts. The current market probability is about 90%, indicating strong market sentiment that the expected outcome will be a qualifying conversation. Because the end date is May 31, 2026, and confirmation rules extend briefly beyond that window, the event remains dependent on timely media verification rather than later retrospective reports.","POLITICS","Politics",[11,13,14],"Trump","Geopolitics","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\u002Fwho-will-trump-talk-to-in-august-5cRGa2yUPMwu.jpg",0.9,4435.493997,45182.403033,81475.90453,74911.581724,32067.648814400003,true,false,"2026-04-30T22:42:45.426Z","2026-05-31T00:00:00.000Z","2026-04-29T17:26:45.982Z","2026-05-30T10:36:58.934Z","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket.com\u002Fevent\u002Fwho-will-trump-speak-to-in-may?r=predstack",[30,31,32,33,34,35,36],"who will trump speak to in may?","who will trump speak to in may? prediction","who will trump speak to in may? odds","who will trump speak to in may? probability","political prediction market","political forecast","political probability","2026-06-05T13:22:41.211Z","2026-05-30T10:43:04.216Z",0,[41,59,70],{"id":42,"title":43,"slug":44,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":45,"probability":53,"createdAt":54,"updatedAt":55,"resolutionDate":56,"description":57,"summary":57,"volume1wk":58,"featured":22},"31875","Republican Presidential Nominee 2028","republican-presidential-nominee-2028",[11,46,47,48,49,50,51,52],"US Election","Elections","World Elections","Global Elections","Earn 4%","Primaries","United States",2.75,"2026-05-30T10:42:43.975Z","2026-05-30T10:39:47.083Z","2028-11-07T00:00:00.000Z","This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources.\n\nAny replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.",9249335.794150999,{"id":60,"title":61,"slug":62,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":63,"probability":39,"createdAt":66,"updatedAt":67,"resolutionDate":25,"description":68,"summary":68,"volume1wk":69,"featured":22},"438327","Iran closes its airspace by...?","iran-closes-its-airspace-by",[11,14,64,65],"U.S. x Iran","Iran","2026-05-30T10:42:44.156Z","2026-05-30T10:38:40.231Z","This market will resolve to “Yes” if Iran initiates a major closure of its airspace, that is not solely due to weather conditions, by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nA “major closure” is defined as a broad closure, cancellation, or suspension of commercial flights transiting, arriving in, and departing from Iranian airspace or a major Iranian Airspace region. A qualifying closure must apply generally to flights across Iran or a major Iranian airspace region. Limited cancellations, delays, or other partial closures will not qualify. Limited exceptions to a broad closure, however, will not disqualify such a closure from counting (e.g. exceptions for certain flights pre-approved by the Iranian Civil Aviation Authority may be permitted). \n\nAny non-weather complete suspension of commercial arrivals and departures affecting at least two of the following airports will qualify: Imam Khomeini International Airport (IKA), Mehrabad Airport (THR), Mashhad International Airport (MHD), Shiraz International Airport (SYZ), or Isfahan International Airport (IFN).\n\nQualifying previous examples include the January 2026 total closure of Iranian airspace except to international flights with express governmental permission (https:\u002F\u002Fwww.reuters.com\u002Fworld\u002Fmiddle-east\u002Firan-shuts-airspace-most-flights-flightradar24-says-2026-01-14\u002F) and the April 2024 closure of Iran’s western airspace (https:\u002F\u002Fwww.reuters.com\u002Fworld\u002Fmiddle-east\u002Firanian-airports-cancel-flights-until-monday-morning-2024-04-14\u002F). Non-qualifying examples include the January 27, 2026 partial closure of Iranian airspace around the Strait of Hormuz (https:\u002F\u002Fwww.aa.com.tr\u002Fen\u002Fmiddle-east\u002Firan-issues-airspace-notice-for-military-drills-near-strait-of-hormuz\u002F3812508) and the January 25 - April 25, 2026 VFR (Visual Flight Rules) flights suspension which did not broadly close commercial aviation in a qualifying region (https:\u002F\u002Fwww.intellinews.com\u002Firan-suspends-general-aviation-and-vfr-flights-in-new-airspace-directive-421997\u002F).\n\nWarnings, No-Fly-Zones, or other flight restrictions imposed by airlines or countries other than Iran will not be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution.\n\nAirspace closures which occur solely due to weather conditions will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from Iranian aviation authorities and a consensus of credible reporting.",6620506.11378,{"id":71,"title":72,"slug":73,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":74,"probability":39,"createdAt":77,"updatedAt":78,"resolutionDate":79,"description":80,"summary":80,"volume1wk":81,"featured":22},"371649","US x Iran diplomatic meeting by...?","us-x-iran-diplomatic-meeting-by-329",[11,75,65,76,13,64,14],"Iran Ceasefire","Vance","2026-05-30T10:42:45.013Z","2026-05-30T10:39:46.810Z","2026-04-30T00:00:00.000Z","This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nA diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify. \n\nBrief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.  \n\nThe meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.\n\nThe resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.",2654417.6848280015,1780676604710]