[{"data":1,"prerenderedAt":81},["ShallowReactive",2],{"event-page-who-will-trump-pardon-before-2027":3},{"event":4,"related":41},{"id":5,"slug":6,"title":7,"description":8,"summary":9,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":12,"image":16,"probability":17,"volume24hr":18,"volume1wk":19,"liquidity":20,"openInterest":21,"trendScore":22,"active":23,"closed":24,"featured":24,"startDate":25,"endDate":26,"createdAtRemote":27,"updatedAtRemote":28,"affiliateUrl":29,"polymarketUrl":29,"searchKeywords":30,"syncedAt":38,"createdAt":39,"marketCount":40},"83804","who-will-trump-pardon-before-2027","Who will Trump pardon before 2027?","This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.","Who will Trump pardon before 2027? is a political prediction market tracking whether Donald Trump will grant a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve to any listed individual between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. The market resolves “Yes” only if the named person receives official clemency from Trump during that window; otherwise it resolves “No,” with government records as the primary source and credible reporting used as a secondary check. This event matters because Trump-era pardon decisions can signal legal, political, and strategic priorities, making it a closely watched forecast in U.S. politics. Tags and search interest around Trump, politics, and Sam Bankman-Fried suggest attention to high-profile potential clemency targets. As of the latest data, the market probability is about 7.5%, indicating traders currently assign a relatively low but non-zero chance of a pardon before the deadline. The event’s odds and market sentiment may shift as new reporting, legal developments, or public statements emerge over the forecast period.","POLITICS","Trump",[11,13,14,15],"Politics","SBF","Sam bankman freid","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\u002Fwho-will-trump-pardon-before-2027-EB-wxiDkZupC.jpg",7.5,332.507181,20342.999653,166008.96372,65787.00450300002,39470.9462304,true,false,"2025-11-18T15:59:41.831Z","2026-12-31T00:00:00.000Z","2025-11-17T18:39:11.207Z","2026-06-16T10:04:02.391Z","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket.com\u002Fevent\u002Fwho-will-trump-pardon-before-2027?r=predstack",[31,32,33,34,35,36,37],"who will trump pardon before 2027?","who will trump pardon before 2027? prediction","who will trump pardon before 2027? odds","who will trump pardon before 2027? probability","political prediction market","political forecast","political probability","2026-06-16T10:25:25.528Z","2026-06-16T10:08:22.145Z",0,[42,57,70],{"id":43,"title":44,"slug":45,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":46,"probability":51,"createdAt":52,"updatedAt":53,"resolutionDate":54,"description":55,"summary":55,"volume1wk":56,"featured":23},"585449","Who will sign U.S. x Iran deal?","who-will-sign-uptspt-x-iran-deal-20260612002238373",[11,47,48,49,50,13],"Peace Deal","geopolitcs","Iran","U.S. x Iran",10.5,"2026-06-16T10:07:56.091Z","2026-06-16T10:06:50.966Z","2026-08-01T03:59:00.000Z","This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual signs a written agreement to which both the United States and the Islamic Republic of Iran are parties by July 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nA qualifying agreement must be signed by the listed individual acting in an official capacity.\n\nThe United States and the Islamic Republic of Iran must both be parties to the agreement; however, it is not required that representatives of either or both countries sign the agreement in order for it to qualify.\n\nThe listed individual may sign on behalf of either party, a third-party state, an international organization, or any other party to the agreement.\n\nBoth physical signatures and officially issued electronic signatures will qualify as signing.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant governments and parties to the agreement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",532792.541632,{"id":58,"title":59,"slug":60,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":61,"probability":65,"createdAt":66,"updatedAt":67,"resolutionDate":26,"description":68,"summary":68,"volume1wk":69,"featured":24},"73079","Which countries will Donald Trump visit in 2026?","which-countries-will-donald-trump-visit-in-2026",[11,13,62,63,64],"Foreign Policy","World","Geopolitics",100,"2026-05-30T10:43:01.809Z","2026-06-16T10:02:28.040Z","If U.S. President Donald Trump visits a listed country between January 1 and December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, the relevant market will resolve to \"Yes\". Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nFor the purpose of this market, a \"visit\" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the listed country. Whether or not Trump enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https:\u002F\u002Ftwitter.com\u002FPOTUS), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.\n",80566.423931,{"id":71,"title":72,"slug":73,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":74,"probability":40,"createdAt":76,"updatedAt":77,"resolutionDate":78,"description":79,"summary":79,"volume1wk":80,"featured":24},"146072","Will Trump meet with Delcy Rodríguez by...?","will-trump-meet-with-delcy-rodrguez-by-march-31",[11,13,75,64],"Venezuela","2026-05-30T10:43:19.901Z","2026-06-16T10:00:21.101Z","2026-03-31T00:00:00.000Z","This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Donald Trump meets with Delcy Rodríguez by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nAn exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.\n\nA meeting is defined as any encounter where both listed individual and Trump are present and interact with each other in person.\n\nThe resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.\n",61718.413439,1781606256519]