[{"data":1,"prerenderedAt":90},["ShallowReactive",2],{"event-page-who-will-trump-announce-as-next-director-of-national-intelligence":3},{"event":4,"related":44},{"id":5,"slug":6,"title":7,"description":8,"summary":9,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":12,"image":19,"probability":20,"volume24hr":21,"volume1wk":22,"liquidity":23,"openInterest":24,"trendScore":25,"active":26,"closed":27,"featured":27,"startDate":28,"endDate":29,"createdAtRemote":30,"updatedAtRemote":31,"affiliateUrl":32,"polymarketUrl":32,"searchKeywords":33,"syncedAt":41,"createdAt":42,"marketCount":43},"514175","who-will-trump-announce-as-next-director-of-national-intelligence","Who will Trump announce as next Director of National Intelligence?","This market will resolve according to the first individual Donald Trump announces as his pick to be the next Director of National Intelligence.\n\nAn announcement from Donald Trump or the Trump administration stating their intent to nominate a specific individual for Director of National Intelligence will suffice to resolve this market, regardless of whether a formal nomination actually occurs.\n\nQualifying announcements must explicitly present the relevant individual as the nominee or future nominee for Director of National Intelligence. Announcements of acting or interim appointments, or announcements which merely reveal potential candidates, will not qualify. \nMedia reports, speculation, or other unofficial information will not qualify.\n\nA formal presidential nomination of an individual to be Director of National Intelligence will also suffice to resolve this market. Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.\n\nIf Donald Trump does not announce his pick for the next Director of National Intelligence by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No announcement by December 31”.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump and the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","\"Who will Trump announce as next Director of National Intelligence?\" is a political prediction market asking which individual Donald Trump will first publicly name as his pick for Director of National Intelligence. The event focuses on the first official announcement from Trump or the Trump administration that explicitly presents someone as the nominee or future nominee for DNI; a formal presidential nomination to the U.S. Senate also qualifies. Media speculation, interim appointments, or general discussion of possible candidates will not resolve the market. This forecast matters because the Director of National Intelligence is a key role in overseeing the U.S. intelligence community and shaping national security policy. The market is currently pricing the expected outcome at about 16.5% probability for the listed option, reflecting trader sentiment rather than a certainty. The prediction window runs through December 31, 2026, and if no qualifying announcement is made by then, the market resolves to \"No announcement by December 31.\"","POLITICS","rewards 100, 4.5, 100",[11,13,14,15,16,17,18],"Politics","Trump","Tulsi Gabbard","DNI","Trump Cabinet","nominate","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\u002Fwho-will-trump-announce-as-next-director-of-national-intelligence-tqe3iN8BazUO.png",16.5,429.59,18852.766127,52838.12618,5901.6953,16438.2500741,true,false,"2026-05-22T19:25:17.640Z","2026-12-31T00:00:00.000Z","2026-05-22T18:28:15.154Z","2026-05-30T10:31:42.451Z","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket.com\u002Fevent\u002Fwho-will-trump-announce-as-next-director-of-national-intelligence?r=predstack",[34,35,36,37,38,39,40],"who will trump announce as next director of national intelligence?","who will trump announce as next director of national intelligence? prediction","who will trump announce as next director of national intelligence? odds","who will trump announce as next director of national intelligence? probability","political prediction market","political forecast","political probability","2026-06-05T13:34:41.710Z","2026-05-30T10:43:15.637Z",0,[45,63,76],{"id":46,"title":47,"slug":48,"category":10,"subcategory":13,"tags":49,"probability":57,"createdAt":58,"updatedAt":59,"resolutionDate":60,"description":61,"summary":61,"volume1wk":62,"featured":26},"31875","Republican Presidential Nominee 2028","republican-presidential-nominee-2028",[13,50,51,52,53,54,55,56],"US Election","Elections","World Elections","Global Elections","Earn 4%","Primaries","United States",2.75,"2026-05-30T10:42:43.975Z","2026-05-30T10:39:47.083Z","2028-11-07T00:00:00.000Z","This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources.\n\nAny replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.",9249335.794150999,{"id":64,"title":65,"slug":66,"category":10,"subcategory":13,"tags":67,"probability":43,"createdAt":71,"updatedAt":72,"resolutionDate":73,"description":74,"summary":74,"volume1wk":75,"featured":26},"438327","Iran closes its airspace by...?","iran-closes-its-airspace-by",[13,68,69,70],"Geopolitics","U.S. x Iran","Iran","2026-05-30T10:42:44.156Z","2026-05-30T10:38:40.231Z","2026-05-31T00:00:00.000Z","This market will resolve to “Yes” if Iran initiates a major closure of its airspace, that is not solely due to weather conditions, by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nA “major closure” is defined as a broad closure, cancellation, or suspension of commercial flights transiting, arriving in, and departing from Iranian airspace or a major Iranian Airspace region. A qualifying closure must apply generally to flights across Iran or a major Iranian airspace region. Limited cancellations, delays, or other partial closures will not qualify. Limited exceptions to a broad closure, however, will not disqualify such a closure from counting (e.g. exceptions for certain flights pre-approved by the Iranian Civil Aviation Authority may be permitted). \n\nAny non-weather complete suspension of commercial arrivals and departures affecting at least two of the following airports will qualify: Imam Khomeini International Airport (IKA), Mehrabad Airport (THR), Mashhad International Airport (MHD), Shiraz International Airport (SYZ), or Isfahan International Airport (IFN).\n\nQualifying previous examples include the January 2026 total closure of Iranian airspace except to international flights with express governmental permission (https:\u002F\u002Fwww.reuters.com\u002Fworld\u002Fmiddle-east\u002Firan-shuts-airspace-most-flights-flightradar24-says-2026-01-14\u002F) and the April 2024 closure of Iran’s western airspace (https:\u002F\u002Fwww.reuters.com\u002Fworld\u002Fmiddle-east\u002Firanian-airports-cancel-flights-until-monday-morning-2024-04-14\u002F). Non-qualifying examples include the January 27, 2026 partial closure of Iranian airspace around the Strait of Hormuz (https:\u002F\u002Fwww.aa.com.tr\u002Fen\u002Fmiddle-east\u002Firan-issues-airspace-notice-for-military-drills-near-strait-of-hormuz\u002F3812508) and the January 25 - April 25, 2026 VFR (Visual Flight Rules) flights suspension which did not broadly close commercial aviation in a qualifying region (https:\u002F\u002Fwww.intellinews.com\u002Firan-suspends-general-aviation-and-vfr-flights-in-new-airspace-directive-421997\u002F).\n\nWarnings, No-Fly-Zones, or other flight restrictions imposed by airlines or countries other than Iran will not be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution.\n\nAirspace closures which occur solely due to weather conditions will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from Iranian aviation authorities and a consensus of credible reporting.",6620506.11378,{"id":77,"title":78,"slug":79,"category":10,"subcategory":51,"tags":80,"probability":84,"createdAt":85,"updatedAt":86,"resolutionDate":87,"description":88,"summary":88,"volume1wk":89,"featured":26},"57096","California Governor Election Winner","california-governor-election-2026",[51,50,13,81,82,11,83],"Governor midterms","California Midterm","California Governor",0.25,"2026-05-30T10:42:44.509Z","2026-05-30T10:32:16.807Z","2026-11-03T00:00:00.000Z","This market will resolve to according to the candidate who wins the 2026 California gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.\n\nIf the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.",4083953.7799110003,1780676603091]