[{"data":1,"prerenderedAt":84},["ShallowReactive",2],{"event-page-who-will-sign-uptspt-x-iran-deal-20260612002238373":3},{"event":4,"related":43},{"id":5,"slug":6,"title":7,"description":8,"summary":9,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":12,"image":18,"probability":19,"volume24hr":20,"volume1wk":21,"liquidity":22,"openInterest":23,"trendScore":24,"active":25,"closed":26,"featured":25,"startDate":27,"endDate":28,"createdAtRemote":29,"updatedAtRemote":30,"affiliateUrl":31,"polymarketUrl":31,"searchKeywords":32,"syncedAt":40,"createdAt":41,"marketCount":42},"585449","who-will-sign-uptspt-x-iran-deal-20260612002238373","Who will sign U.S. x Iran deal?","This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual signs a written agreement to which both the United States and the Islamic Republic of Iran are parties by July 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nA qualifying agreement must be signed by the listed individual acting in an official capacity.\n\nThe United States and the Islamic Republic of Iran must both be parties to the agreement; however, it is not required that representatives of either or both countries sign the agreement in order for it to qualify.\n\nThe listed individual may sign on behalf of either party, a third-party state, an international organization, or any other party to the agreement.\n\nBoth physical signatures and officially issued electronic signatures will qualify as signing.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant governments and parties to the agreement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","Who will sign U.S. x Iran deal? is a political prediction market focused on whether a named individual will sign a written agreement involving both the United States and the Islamic Republic of Iran by July 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. The market resolves Yes only if the listed person signs the deal in an official capacity, whether by physical or officially issued electronic signature, and the agreement includes both countries as parties. The outcome does not require representatives of the U.S. or Iran to be the signatories, as long as the agreement qualifies under the rules. This event sits within the Politics category and Trump subcategory, reflecting broader market attention on U.S.-Iran diplomacy, peace deal prospects, and geopolitical negotiations. Current market probability is about 10.5%, indicating traders assign a relatively low but non-zero chance of a qualifying signature before the deadline. As an event prediction, it will likely draw market sentiment from official government statements and credible reporting on diplomatic progress, making it relevant for forecast tracking and political odds analysis.","POLITICS","Trump",[11,13,14,15,16,17],"Peace Deal","geopolitcs","Iran","U.S. x Iran","Politics","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\u002Fwho-will-sing-uptspt-x-iran-deal-20260611235929536-b-ctHJ0DEide.jpg",10.5,245642.12014000004,532792.541632,471429.68314,85445.27115399999,376944.7591876,true,false,"2026-06-12T00:38:31.846Z","2026-08-01T03:59:00.000Z","2026-06-12T00:23:59.716Z","2026-06-16T10:06:50.966Z","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket.com\u002Fevent\u002Fwho-will-sign-uptspt-x-iran-deal-20260612002238373?r=predstack",[33,34,35,36,37,38,39],"who will sign u.s. x iran deal?","who will sign u.s. x iran deal? prediction","who will sign u.s. x iran deal? odds","who will sign u.s. x iran deal? probability","political prediction market","political forecast","political probability","2026-06-16T10:10:29.862Z","2026-06-16T10:07:56.091Z",0,[44,58,69],{"id":45,"title":46,"slug":47,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":48,"probability":52,"createdAt":53,"updatedAt":54,"resolutionDate":55,"description":56,"summary":56,"volume1wk":57,"featured":26},"73079","Which countries will Donald Trump visit in 2026?","which-countries-will-donald-trump-visit-in-2026",[11,17,49,50,51],"Foreign Policy","World","Geopolitics",100,"2026-05-30T10:43:01.809Z","2026-06-16T10:02:28.040Z","2026-12-31T00:00:00.000Z","If U.S. President Donald Trump visits a listed country between January 1 and December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, the relevant market will resolve to \"Yes\". Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nFor the purpose of this market, a \"visit\" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the listed country. Whether or not Trump enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https:\u002F\u002Ftwitter.com\u002FPOTUS), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.\n",80566.423931,{"id":59,"title":60,"slug":61,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":62,"probability":42,"createdAt":64,"updatedAt":65,"resolutionDate":66,"description":67,"summary":67,"volume1wk":68,"featured":26},"146072","Will Trump meet with Delcy Rodríguez by...?","will-trump-meet-with-delcy-rodrguez-by-march-31",[11,17,63,51],"Venezuela","2026-05-30T10:43:19.901Z","2026-06-16T10:00:21.101Z","2026-03-31T00:00:00.000Z","This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Donald Trump meets with Delcy Rodríguez by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nAn exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.\n\nA meeting is defined as any encounter where both listed individual and Trump are present and interact with each other in person.\n\nThe resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.\n",61718.413439,{"id":70,"title":71,"slug":72,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":73,"probability":78,"createdAt":79,"updatedAt":80,"resolutionDate":81,"description":82,"summary":82,"volume1wk":83,"featured":26},"404066","US takes a stake in Spirit Airlines by May 31?","us-takes-a-stake-in-spirit-airlines-by-may-31",[11,74,17,75,76,77],"Liquidate","Business","Gov Shutdown","Economy",0.15,"2026-05-30T10:43:07.680Z","2026-05-30T10:30:46.116Z","2026-06-30T00:00:00.000Z","This market will resolve to “Yes” if the U.S. federal government takes a stake in Spirit Airlines, or any of its parent or subsidiary companies, by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nTakes a stake refers to the U.S. federal government acquiring direct equity ownership, voting shares, convertible rights treated as equity, or equivalent ownership interests in the listed company or of a legal vehicle that primarily owns the listed company. Stakes acquired through independent entities entirely controlled or owned by the U.S. federal government (e.g. a sovereign wealth fund, state-owned enterprise, etc.) will count. Non-equity financial instruments or stakes acquired by private persons or entities not owned or controlled by the US federal government will not count; acquisitions by states, pensions, index or mutual funds, or consortia will not qualify.\n\nAn official US federal government announcement of a completed qualifying acquisition, or of a binding agreement to complete a qualifying acquisition, within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”. Speculation, suggestions, plans, or other announcements which do not announce a completed acquisition or a binding acquisition agreement, however, will not count.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government and a consensus of credible reporting.",33418.183615,1781606256482]