[{"data":1,"prerenderedAt":79},["ShallowReactive",2],{"event-page-who-will-leave-trump-administration-before-2027":3},{"event":4,"related":39},{"id":5,"slug":6,"title":7,"description":8,"summary":9,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":12,"image":14,"probability":15,"volume24hr":16,"volume1wk":17,"liquidity":18,"openInterest":19,"trendScore":20,"active":21,"closed":22,"featured":22,"startDate":23,"endDate":24,"createdAtRemote":25,"updatedAtRemote":26,"affiliateUrl":27,"polymarketUrl":27,"searchKeywords":28,"syncedAt":36,"createdAt":37,"marketCount":38},"73897","who-will-leave-trump-administration-before-2027","Who will leave Trump Administration before 2027?","This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is announced that that the listed individual will leave the Trump Administration, or otherwise ceases to be a member of administration by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nAn announcement of the listed individual's resignation\u002Fremoval before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to \"Yes\", regardless of when the announced resignation\u002Fremoval goes into effect.\n\nThe Trump administration includes individuals formally appointed by Donald Trump to roles within the U.S. federal government, such as Cabinet members, Executive Office staff, senior policy advisors, ambassadors, or White House staff whose appointments are publicly announced by official government channels.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.","Who will leave Trump Administration before 2027? is a political prediction market focused on whether a named official in Donald Trump’s administration will depart the administration before December 31, 2026. The market resolves to “Yes” if the individual is announced as resigning, removed, or otherwise ceases to be part of the Trump Administration by the deadline, even if the departure takes effect later. It covers formally appointed federal roles, including Cabinet members, Executive Office staff, senior policy advisors, ambassadors, and White House staff announced through official channels. This event matters because personnel turnover in the Trump administration can signal internal shifts in policy, influence, and governance priorities. As of the latest data, traders assign the market about a 24.5% probability to a departure before 2027, reflecting current market sentiment on the expected outcome. The prediction market remains active through the end of 2026, giving traders time to update odds as official announcements and credible reporting emerge. For watchers of political forecast markets, this is a straightforward event prediction tied to administration stability and personnel changes.","POLITICS","Trump",[11,13],"Politics","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\u002Fwho-will-leave-trump-administration-in-2025-I6Rk9u0UMDav.jpg",24.5,3006.601875,23966.852783000002,105264.04729,100780.38851399999,29746.166230400006,true,false,"2025-11-05T17:37:51.896Z","2026-12-31T00:00:00.000Z","2025-11-05T17:04:11.981Z","2026-05-30T10:31:53.252Z","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket.com\u002Fevent\u002Fwho-will-leave-trump-administration-before-2027?r=predstack",[29,30,31,32,33,34,35],"who will leave trump administration before 2027?","who will leave trump administration before 2027? prediction","who will leave trump administration before 2027? odds","who will leave trump administration before 2027? probability","political prediction market","political forecast","political probability","2026-06-05T13:30:25.641Z","2026-05-30T10:43:11.532Z",0,[40,51,64],{"id":41,"title":42,"slug":43,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":44,"probability":38,"createdAt":46,"updatedAt":47,"resolutionDate":48,"description":49,"summary":49,"volume1wk":50,"featured":22},"226019","Kash Patel out by...?","kash-patel-out-by",[11,13,45],"Trump Cabinet","2026-05-30T10:43:00.968Z","2026-05-30T10:35:44.922Z",null,"This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kash Patel ceases to be the Director of the Federal Bureau of Investigation for any period of by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nAn announcement of Patel's resignation\u002Fremoval before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to \"Yes\", regardless of when the announced resignation\u002Fremoval goes into effect.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",59727.20882100001,{"id":52,"title":53,"slug":54,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":55,"probability":59,"createdAt":60,"updatedAt":61,"resolutionDate":24,"description":62,"summary":62,"volume1wk":63,"featured":22},"73079","Which countries will Donald Trump visit in 2026?","which-countries-will-donald-trump-visit-in-2026",[11,13,56,57,58],"Foreign Policy","World","Geopolitics",100,"2026-05-30T10:43:01.809Z","2026-05-30T10:35:23.367Z","If U.S. President Donald Trump visits a listed country between January 1 and December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, the relevant market will resolve to \"Yes\". Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nFor the purpose of this market, a \"visit\" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the listed country. Whether or not Trump enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https:\u002F\u002Ftwitter.com\u002FPOTUS), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.\n",55049.764308,{"id":65,"title":66,"slug":67,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":68,"probability":73,"createdAt":74,"updatedAt":75,"resolutionDate":76,"description":77,"summary":77,"volume1wk":78,"featured":22},"404066","US takes a stake in Spirit Airlines by May 31?","us-takes-a-stake-in-spirit-airlines-by-may-31",[11,69,13,70,71,72],"Liquidate","Business","Gov Shutdown","Economy",0.15,"2026-05-30T10:43:07.680Z","2026-05-30T10:30:46.116Z","2026-06-30T00:00:00.000Z","This market will resolve to “Yes” if the U.S. federal government takes a stake in Spirit Airlines, or any of its parent or subsidiary companies, by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nTakes a stake refers to the U.S. federal government acquiring direct equity ownership, voting shares, convertible rights treated as equity, or equivalent ownership interests in the listed company or of a legal vehicle that primarily owns the listed company. Stakes acquired through independent entities entirely controlled or owned by the U.S. federal government (e.g. a sovereign wealth fund, state-owned enterprise, etc.) will count. Non-equity financial instruments or stakes acquired by private persons or entities not owned or controlled by the US federal government will not count; acquisitions by states, pensions, index or mutual funds, or consortia will not qualify.\n\nAn official US federal government announcement of a completed qualifying acquisition, or of a binding agreement to complete a qualifying acquisition, within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”. Speculation, suggestions, plans, or other announcements which do not announce a completed acquisition or a binding acquisition agreement, however, will not count.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government and a consensus of credible reporting.",33418.183615,1780676603158]