[{"data":1,"prerenderedAt":88},["ShallowReactive",2],{"event-page-who-will-be-the-democratic-nominee-for-ny-12":3},{"event":4,"related":45},{"id":5,"slug":6,"title":7,"description":8,"summary":9,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":12,"image":20,"probability":21,"volume24hr":22,"volume1wk":23,"liquidity":24,"openInterest":25,"trendScore":26,"active":27,"closed":28,"featured":28,"startDate":29,"endDate":30,"createdAtRemote":31,"updatedAtRemote":32,"affiliateUrl":33,"polymarketUrl":33,"searchKeywords":34,"syncedAt":42,"createdAt":43,"marketCount":44},"86929","who-will-be-the-democratic-nominee-for-ny-12","NY-12 Democratic Primary Winner","This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.\n\nIf no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https:\u002F\u002Fdemocrats.org\u002F.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.","NY-12 Democratic Primary Winner is a prediction market on which candidate will win the Democratic nomination for New York’s 12th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives for the 2026 midterm elections. The forecast focuses on the outcome of the Democratic Primary, scheduled for June 23, 2026, with resolution based on a consensus of official Democratic sources, including democrats.org. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET, the market resolves to \"Other.\" \n\nThis event matters because the Democratic nominee will shape the race to represent NY-12 in Congress, making it a closely watched election forecast for traders following House primary elections, New York primary politics, and broader 2026 election odds. Current market probability for the leading outcome is about 8.7%, reflecting current market sentiment rather than a guaranteed result. As with other election prediction markets, odds may shift as the primary approaches and new information affects traders’ expectations.","ELECTIONS","Elections",[11,13,14,15,16,17,18,19],"Politics","Trump","primary elections","New York Primary","House Primary","Democratic Primary","June 23 Primaries","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\u002Fwho-will-be-the-democratic-nominee-for-ny-12-sL9s2x0LnsR1.jpg",8.7,2366.9869439999998,24570.906913999996,87581.98158,9423.045111,26071.161862200002,true,false,"2025-11-21T16:08:37.600Z","2026-06-23T00:00:00.000Z","2025-11-21T15:11:35.750Z","2026-06-16T10:03:04.432Z","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket.com\u002Fevent\u002Fwho-will-be-the-democratic-nominee-for-ny-12?r=predstack",[35,36,37,38,39,40,41],"ny-12 democratic primary winner","ny-12 democratic primary winner prediction","ny-12 democratic primary winner odds","ny-12 democratic primary winner probability","election prediction market","election forecast","election odds","2026-06-16T10:23:09.412Z","2026-06-16T10:08:19.085Z",0,[46,62,75],{"id":47,"title":48,"slug":49,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":50,"probability":56,"createdAt":57,"updatedAt":58,"resolutionDate":59,"description":60,"summary":60,"volume1wk":61,"featured":28},"79987","Next French Presidential Election","next-french-presidential-election",[11,51,52,53,13,54,55],"Global Elections","World","France","French Election","Main Election",7.5,"2026-05-30T10:42:44.243Z","2026-06-16T10:04:47.789Z","2027-04-30T00:00:00.000Z","The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027.  This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. \n\nThe President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.\n\nThis market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https:\u002F\u002Fwww.interieur.gouv.fr\u002F).",5849720.156036999,{"id":63,"title":64,"slug":65,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":66,"probability":69,"createdAt":70,"updatedAt":71,"resolutionDate":72,"description":73,"summary":73,"volume1wk":74,"featured":28},"574717","Peru Election 2nd Round: Margin of Victory? (0.1% brackets)","peru-election-2nd-round-margin-of-victory-0pt1-brackets-20260609021541549",[11,67,51,68,13],"Peru Election","Peru",0.05,"2026-06-16T10:07:53.136Z","2026-06-16T10:04:00.168Z",null,"The second round of the Peru presidential election is scheduled to be held on June 7, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections.\n\nFor the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nIf two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.\n\nIf the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https:\u002F\u002Fwww.onpe.gob.pe\u002Felecciones\u002F) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https:\u002F\u002Fportal.jne.gob.pe\u002Fportal\u002F)\n\nIf a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.",1651491.1064829992,{"id":76,"title":77,"slug":78,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":79,"probability":82,"createdAt":83,"updatedAt":84,"resolutionDate":85,"description":86,"summary":86,"volume1wk":87,"featured":28},"452754","2026 Gyeongsangnam Province Gubernatorial Election Winner","2026-gyeongsangnam-province-gubernatorial-election-winner",[11,52,13,51,80,55,81],"South Korea","World Elections",63,"2026-05-30T10:42:54.466Z","2026-05-30T10:32:42.319Z","2026-06-03T06:00:00.000Z","The 2026 Gyeongsangnam Province gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place on June 3, 2026 to elect the next Governor of Gyeongsangnam Province.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.",138389.29990999997,1781606235765]