[{"data":1,"prerenderedAt":86},["ShallowReactive",2],{"event-page-who-will-attend-the-next-us-x-iran-diplomatic-meeting":3},{"event":4,"related":47},{"id":5,"slug":6,"title":7,"description":8,"summary":9,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":12,"image":22,"probability":23,"volume24hr":24,"volume1wk":25,"liquidity":26,"openInterest":27,"trendScore":28,"active":29,"closed":30,"featured":30,"startDate":31,"endDate":32,"createdAtRemote":33,"updatedAtRemote":34,"affiliateUrl":35,"polymarketUrl":35,"searchKeywords":36,"syncedAt":44,"createdAt":45,"marketCount":46},"379876","who-will-attend-the-next-us-x-iran-diplomatic-meeting","Who will attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?","This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the listed individual attends the next diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nA diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.\n\nBrief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not qualify as diplomatic meetings.\n\nThe meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.\n\nAttendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating in negotiations at the meeting.\n\nIf the next diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.","\"Who will attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?\" is a Politics prediction market tracking which named individual will physically attend the next in-person diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran. The market resolves \"Yes\" only if the listed person is present and actively participating in negotiations at that meeting, with attendance eligible even if the talks extend across multiple days. Remote calls, brief encounters, and unofficial interactions do not count under the event rules. The forecast matters because any confirmed US-Iran diplomatic contact can signal shifts in geopolitics, ceasefire discussions, or broader negotiations involving figures such as Vance, Rubio, Witkoff, Kushner, or Trump-linked diplomatic channels, depending on which person is listed in the market. The prediction window runs through June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, so traders will be watching official statements and credible media reports for confirmation. Current market probability is about 6.55%, suggesting low odds that the specified individual will attend, according to prevailing market sentiment in this prediction market.","POLITICS","Politics",[11,13,14,15,16,17,18,19,20,21],"Vance","Iran","U.S. x Iran","Geopolitics","Trump","Kushner","Iran Ceasefire","rubio","Witkoff","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\u002Fwho-will-attend-the-next-us-x-iran-diplomatic-meeting-U6toAVO3j_g5.jpg",6.55,5191.105727,54127.64876800003,107556.05642,113450.97442,40345.058777900005,true,false,"2026-04-14T23:30:32.699Z","2026-06-30T00:00:00.000Z","2026-04-14T22:25:27.914Z","2026-05-30T10:40:16.864Z","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket.com\u002Fevent\u002Fwho-will-attend-the-next-us-x-iran-diplomatic-meeting?r=predstack",[37,38,39,40,41,42,43],"who will attend the next us x iran diplomatic meeting?","who will attend the next us x iran diplomatic meeting? prediction","who will attend the next us x iran diplomatic meeting? odds","who will attend the next us x iran diplomatic meeting? probability","political prediction market","political forecast","political probability","2026-06-05T13:20:20.605Z","2026-05-30T10:43:01.991Z",0,[48,66,76],{"id":49,"title":50,"slug":51,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":52,"probability":60,"createdAt":61,"updatedAt":62,"resolutionDate":63,"description":64,"summary":64,"volume1wk":65,"featured":29},"31875","Republican Presidential Nominee 2028","republican-presidential-nominee-2028",[11,53,54,55,56,57,58,59],"US Election","Elections","World Elections","Global Elections","Earn 4%","Primaries","United States",2.75,"2026-05-30T10:42:43.975Z","2026-05-30T10:39:47.083Z","2028-11-07T00:00:00.000Z","This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources.\n\nAny replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.",9249335.794150999,{"id":67,"title":68,"slug":69,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":70,"probability":46,"createdAt":71,"updatedAt":72,"resolutionDate":73,"description":74,"summary":74,"volume1wk":75,"featured":29},"438327","Iran closes its airspace by...?","iran-closes-its-airspace-by",[11,16,15,14],"2026-05-30T10:42:44.156Z","2026-05-30T10:38:40.231Z","2026-05-31T00:00:00.000Z","This market will resolve to “Yes” if Iran initiates a major closure of its airspace, that is not solely due to weather conditions, by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nA “major closure” is defined as a broad closure, cancellation, or suspension of commercial flights transiting, arriving in, and departing from Iranian airspace or a major Iranian Airspace region. A qualifying closure must apply generally to flights across Iran or a major Iranian airspace region. Limited cancellations, delays, or other partial closures will not qualify. Limited exceptions to a broad closure, however, will not disqualify such a closure from counting (e.g. exceptions for certain flights pre-approved by the Iranian Civil Aviation Authority may be permitted). \n\nAny non-weather complete suspension of commercial arrivals and departures affecting at least two of the following airports will qualify: Imam Khomeini International Airport (IKA), Mehrabad Airport (THR), Mashhad International Airport (MHD), Shiraz International Airport (SYZ), or Isfahan International Airport (IFN).\n\nQualifying previous examples include the January 2026 total closure of Iranian airspace except to international flights with express governmental permission (https:\u002F\u002Fwww.reuters.com\u002Fworld\u002Fmiddle-east\u002Firan-shuts-airspace-most-flights-flightradar24-says-2026-01-14\u002F) and the April 2024 closure of Iran’s western airspace (https:\u002F\u002Fwww.reuters.com\u002Fworld\u002Fmiddle-east\u002Firanian-airports-cancel-flights-until-monday-morning-2024-04-14\u002F). Non-qualifying examples include the January 27, 2026 partial closure of Iranian airspace around the Strait of Hormuz (https:\u002F\u002Fwww.aa.com.tr\u002Fen\u002Fmiddle-east\u002Firan-issues-airspace-notice-for-military-drills-near-strait-of-hormuz\u002F3812508) and the January 25 - April 25, 2026 VFR (Visual Flight Rules) flights suspension which did not broadly close commercial aviation in a qualifying region (https:\u002F\u002Fwww.intellinews.com\u002Firan-suspends-general-aviation-and-vfr-flights-in-new-airspace-directive-421997\u002F).\n\nWarnings, No-Fly-Zones, or other flight restrictions imposed by airlines or countries other than Iran will not be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution.\n\nAirspace closures which occur solely due to weather conditions will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from Iranian aviation authorities and a consensus of credible reporting.",6620506.11378,{"id":77,"title":78,"slug":79,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":80,"probability":46,"createdAt":81,"updatedAt":82,"resolutionDate":83,"description":84,"summary":84,"volume1wk":85,"featured":29},"371649","US x Iran diplomatic meeting by...?","us-x-iran-diplomatic-meeting-by-329",[11,19,14,13,17,15,16],"2026-05-30T10:42:45.013Z","2026-05-30T10:39:46.810Z","2026-04-30T00:00:00.000Z","This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nA diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify. \n\nBrief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.  \n\nThe meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.\n\nThe resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.",2654417.6848280015,1780676601841]