[{"data":1,"prerenderedAt":87},["ShallowReactive",2],{"event-page-which-parties-will-be-part-of-the-next-government-of-slovenia":3},{"event":4,"related":42},{"id":5,"slug":6,"title":7,"description":8,"summary":9,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":12,"image":17,"probability":18,"volume24hr":19,"volume1wk":20,"liquidity":21,"openInterest":22,"trendScore":23,"active":24,"closed":25,"featured":25,"startDate":26,"endDate":27,"createdAtRemote":28,"updatedAtRemote":29,"affiliateUrl":30,"polymarketUrl":30,"searchKeywords":31,"syncedAt":39,"createdAt":40,"marketCount":41},"263217","which-parties-will-be-part-of-the-next-government-of-slovenia","Which parties will be part of the next Government of Slovenia?","Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Slovenia on March 22, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Slovenian government formed after the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThis market may resolve once the first government is officially confirmed following a successful vote of confidence in the Slovenian National Assembly (Državni zbor), with ministers sworn in under non-caretaker circumstances.\n\nA party will only be considered part of the coalition if it signs the coalition agreement and provides at least one cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, or similar) without signing the coalition agreement and holding a cabinet post will not qualify.\n\nIf no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThis market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Slovenia.","Which parties will be part of the next Government of Slovenia? is a political prediction market tied to Slovenia’s parliamentary elections, scheduled for March 22, 2026. The market forecasts which listed political parties will actually join the first government formed after the election, not simply which parties will support it from outside. For a “Yes” resolution, a party must sign the coalition agreement and hold at least one cabinet minister post in the new Slovenian government. If no government is formed, or the outcome is still unresolved by January 31, 2027, the market resolves to “No”.\n\nThis event matters because government formation in Slovenia will determine coalition stability, cabinet control, and the direction of post-election policy. Traders are currently assigning a 99% probability to the event, indicating very strong market sentiment that the listed condition will be met. As a prediction market and political forecast, it reflects expectations around coalition negotiations, confidence votes in the Slovenian National Assembly (Državni zbor), and official confirmation of ministers under a non-caretaker government. The market uses credible reporting and official government information to resolve the expected outcome.","POLITICS","Slovenia Election",[11,13,14,15,16],"Slovenia","Elections","Global Elections","Politics","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\u002Fslovenian-parliamentary-election-winner-jNH0iUAqZJs-.jpg",99,1746.027828,13916.264828000001,50107.44527,43476.938643,15069.3824164,true,false,"2026-03-13T15:16:31.030Z","2026-03-22T00:00:00.000Z","2026-03-12T14:30:01.321Z","2026-05-30T10:36:26.733Z","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket.com\u002Fevent\u002Fwhich-parties-will-be-part-of-the-next-government-of-slovenia?r=predstack",[32,33,34,35,36,37,38],"which parties will be part of the next government of slovenia?","which parties will be part of the next government of slovenia? prediction","which parties will be part of the next government of slovenia? odds","which parties will be part of the next government of slovenia? probability","political prediction market","political forecast","political probability","2026-06-05T13:40:25.516Z","2026-05-30T10:43:21.150Z",0,[43,59,72],{"id":44,"title":45,"slug":46,"category":10,"subcategory":16,"tags":47,"probability":53,"createdAt":54,"updatedAt":55,"resolutionDate":56,"description":57,"summary":57,"volume1wk":58,"featured":24},"31875","Republican Presidential Nominee 2028","republican-presidential-nominee-2028",[16,48,14,49,15,50,51,52],"US Election","World Elections","Earn 4%","Primaries","United States",2.75,"2026-05-30T10:42:43.975Z","2026-05-30T10:39:47.083Z","2028-11-07T00:00:00.000Z","This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources.\n\nAny replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.",9249335.794150999,{"id":60,"title":61,"slug":62,"category":10,"subcategory":16,"tags":63,"probability":41,"createdAt":67,"updatedAt":68,"resolutionDate":69,"description":70,"summary":70,"volume1wk":71,"featured":24},"438327","Iran closes its airspace by...?","iran-closes-its-airspace-by",[16,64,65,66],"Geopolitics","U.S. x Iran","Iran","2026-05-30T10:42:44.156Z","2026-05-30T10:38:40.231Z","2026-05-31T00:00:00.000Z","This market will resolve to “Yes” if Iran initiates a major closure of its airspace, that is not solely due to weather conditions, by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nA “major closure” is defined as a broad closure, cancellation, or suspension of commercial flights transiting, arriving in, and departing from Iranian airspace or a major Iranian Airspace region. A qualifying closure must apply generally to flights across Iran or a major Iranian airspace region. Limited cancellations, delays, or other partial closures will not qualify. Limited exceptions to a broad closure, however, will not disqualify such a closure from counting (e.g. exceptions for certain flights pre-approved by the Iranian Civil Aviation Authority may be permitted). \n\nAny non-weather complete suspension of commercial arrivals and departures affecting at least two of the following airports will qualify: Imam Khomeini International Airport (IKA), Mehrabad Airport (THR), Mashhad International Airport (MHD), Shiraz International Airport (SYZ), or Isfahan International Airport (IFN).\n\nQualifying previous examples include the January 2026 total closure of Iranian airspace except to international flights with express governmental permission (https:\u002F\u002Fwww.reuters.com\u002Fworld\u002Fmiddle-east\u002Firan-shuts-airspace-most-flights-flightradar24-says-2026-01-14\u002F) and the April 2024 closure of Iran’s western airspace (https:\u002F\u002Fwww.reuters.com\u002Fworld\u002Fmiddle-east\u002Firanian-airports-cancel-flights-until-monday-morning-2024-04-14\u002F). Non-qualifying examples include the January 27, 2026 partial closure of Iranian airspace around the Strait of Hormuz (https:\u002F\u002Fwww.aa.com.tr\u002Fen\u002Fmiddle-east\u002Firan-issues-airspace-notice-for-military-drills-near-strait-of-hormuz\u002F3812508) and the January 25 - April 25, 2026 VFR (Visual Flight Rules) flights suspension which did not broadly close commercial aviation in a qualifying region (https:\u002F\u002Fwww.intellinews.com\u002Firan-suspends-general-aviation-and-vfr-flights-in-new-airspace-directive-421997\u002F).\n\nWarnings, No-Fly-Zones, or other flight restrictions imposed by airlines or countries other than Iran will not be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution.\n\nAirspace closures which occur solely due to weather conditions will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from Iranian aviation authorities and a consensus of credible reporting.",6620506.11378,{"id":73,"title":74,"slug":75,"category":10,"subcategory":14,"tags":76,"probability":81,"createdAt":82,"updatedAt":83,"resolutionDate":84,"description":85,"summary":85,"volume1wk":86,"featured":24},"57096","California Governor Election Winner","california-governor-election-2026",[14,48,16,77,78,79,80],"Governor midterms","California Midterm","rewards 100, 4.5, 100","California Governor",0.25,"2026-05-30T10:42:44.509Z","2026-05-30T10:32:16.807Z","2026-11-03T00:00:00.000Z","This market will resolve to according to the candidate who wins the 2026 California gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.\n\nIf the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.",4083953.7799110003,1780676585254]