[{"data":1,"prerenderedAt":79},["ShallowReactive",2],{"event-page-which-company-has-top-ai-model-end-of-june-style-control-on":3},{"event":4,"related":44},{"id":5,"slug":6,"title":7,"description":8,"summary":9,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":12,"image":19,"probability":20,"volume24hr":21,"volume1wk":22,"liquidity":23,"openInterest":24,"trendScore":25,"active":26,"closed":27,"featured":27,"startDate":28,"endDate":29,"createdAtRemote":30,"updatedAtRemote":31,"affiliateUrl":32,"polymarketUrl":32,"searchKeywords":33,"syncedAt":41,"createdAt":42,"marketCount":43},"57704","which-company-has-top-ai-model-end-of-june-style-control-on","Which company has top AI model end of June? (Style Control On)","This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model with the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https:\u002F\u002Flmarena.ai\u002F) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab is checked on June 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Overall\" Leaderboard tab at https:\u002F\u002Flmarena.ai\u002Fleaderboard\u002Ftext with style control on will be used to resolve this market.\n\nModels will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https:\u002F\u002Flmarena.ai\u002F. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolves based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.","“Which company has top AI model end of June? (Style Control On)” is a technology prediction market about which company will own the model ranked first on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard at the June 30, 2026 check time. The market uses the \"Text Arena | Overall\" leaderboard on lmarena.ai, with style control on, and resolves to the company whose model holds the highest rank at 12:00 PM ET. If models are tied on rank, the market applies arena score and then company name as tiebreakers.\n\nThis event matters because Chatbot Arena is a widely watched benchmark for large language model performance, making the forecast a useful snapshot of market sentiment around leading AI firms such as OpenAI, Google, xAI, and related Big Tech players. Traders are effectively pricing the expected outcome for which company will have the strongest public-facing AI model at the end of June.\n\nCurrent market probability for the leading outcome is 16%, reflecting an unsettled prediction market with shifting odds as leaderboard rankings change. The market opens on October 10, 2025 and remains active through the June 30, 2026 resolution date, giving participants a long horizon to track model releases, benchmark updates, and leaderboard movement.","TECH","Tech",[11,13,14,15,16,17,18],"OpenAI","AI","Grok","GPT-5","Big Tech","Gemini","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\u002Fwhich-company-has-top-ai-model-end-of-september-rg060DKa_VSI.jpg",16,1818.917971,23072.663835999996,137350.13124,24663.254728999997,35301.2843843,true,false,"2025-10-10T21:54:22.495Z","2026-06-30T00:00:00.000Z","2025-10-10T20:23:03.435Z","2026-05-30T10:31:02.064Z","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket.com\u002Fevent\u002Fwhich-company-has-top-ai-model-end-of-june-style-control-on?r=predstack",[34,35,36,37,38,39,40],"which company has top ai model end of june? (style control on)","which company has top ai model end of june? (style control on) prediction","which company has top ai model end of june? (style control on) odds","which company has top ai model end of june? (style control on) probability","technology prediction market","tech forecast","technology probability","2026-06-05T13:31:06.369Z","2026-05-30T10:43:12.133Z",0,[45,55,67],{"id":46,"title":47,"slug":48,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":49,"probability":50,"createdAt":51,"updatedAt":52,"resolutionDate":29,"description":53,"summary":53,"volume1wk":54,"featured":27},"57705","Which company has best AI model end of June?","which-company-has-best-ai-model-end-of-june",[11,17,16,15,13,14],13.5,"2026-05-30T10:42:46.365Z","2026-05-30T10:34:07.757Z","This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https:\u002F\u002Flmarena.ai\u002F) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab is checked on June 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Rank\" section on the Leaderboard tab of https:\u002F\u002Flmarena.ai\u002Fleaderboard\u002Ftext with the style control off will be used to resolve this market.\n\nModels will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https:\u002F\u002Flmarena.ai\u002F. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.",1313459.0318739992,{"id":56,"title":57,"slug":58,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":59,"probability":62,"createdAt":63,"updatedAt":64,"resolutionDate":29,"description":65,"summary":65,"volume1wk":66,"featured":27},"117916","Which companies will have a #1 AI model by June 30?","which-companies-will-have-a-1-ai-model-by-june-30",[11,14,60,61,15],"Business","DeepSeek",10.5,"2026-05-30T10:42:55.527Z","2026-05-30T10:40:19.799Z","This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the listed company has the highest arena score on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https:\u002F\u002Flmarena.ai\u002F) for any amount of time by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nResults from the \"Arena Score\" section on the Leaderboard tab of https:\u002F\u002Flmarena.ai\u002F with the style control unchecked will be used to resolve this market.\n\nIf a listed model ties for #1 Arena score, it will suffice to resolve this market to \"Yes.\"\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https:\u002F\u002Flmarena.ai\u002F. If this resolution source becomes unavailable, the market will remain open until it is accessible again. If it becomes permanently unavailable, resolution will be based on another credible source.\n",118988.89591899999,{"id":68,"title":69,"slug":70,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":71,"probability":73,"createdAt":74,"updatedAt":75,"resolutionDate":76,"description":77,"summary":77,"volume1wk":78,"featured":27},"376503","Which company has the third best AI model end of May?","which-company-has-the-third-best-ai-model-end-of-may",[11,17,14,72],"Rewards 20, 4.5, 50",97.45,"2026-05-30T10:43:01.898Z","2026-05-30T10:31:30.911Z","2026-05-31T00:00:00.000Z","This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the third-highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https:\u002F\u002Flmarena.ai\u002F) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab is checked on May 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Overall\" Leaderboard tab at https:\u002F\u002Flmarena.ai\u002Fleaderboard\u002Ftext with style control off will be used to resolve this market.\n\nModels will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking system.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https:\u002F\u002Flmarena.ai\u002F. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.",54539.83879999998,1780676629800]