[{"data":1,"prerenderedAt":78},["ShallowReactive",2],{"event-page-which-company-has-the-third-best-ai-model-end-of-june":3},{"event":4,"related":40},{"id":5,"slug":6,"title":7,"description":8,"summary":9,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":12,"image":15,"probability":16,"volume24hr":17,"volume1wk":18,"liquidity":19,"openInterest":20,"trendScore":21,"active":22,"closed":23,"featured":23,"startDate":24,"endDate":25,"createdAtRemote":26,"updatedAtRemote":27,"affiliateUrl":28,"polymarketUrl":28,"searchKeywords":29,"syncedAt":37,"createdAt":38,"marketCount":39},"376322","which-company-has-the-third-best-ai-model-end-of-june","Which company has the third best AI model end of June?","This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the third-highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https:\u002F\u002Flmarena.ai\u002F) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab is checked on June 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Overall\" Leaderboard tab at https:\u002F\u002Flmarena.ai\u002Fleaderboard\u002Ftext with style control off will be used to resolve this market.\n\nModels will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking system.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https:\u002F\u002Flmarena.ai\u002F. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.","Which company has the third best AI model end of June? is a technology prediction market focused on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard and which company will finish in third place by the end of June 2026. The market resolves using the \"Rank\" column in the \"Text Arena | Overall\" leaderboard on lmarena.ai at June 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET, with tie-breaking based on Arena score and then alphabetical company order if needed. In plain terms, traders are forecasting which AI company owns the model that sits third in the ranking at the check time.\n\nThis event matters because Chatbot Arena is a widely watched benchmark for large language models, and leaderboard position is often treated as a signal of current model performance and market sentiment around major AI companies. The current market probability is about 70%, indicating traders see a relatively strong chance for the listed outcome, though the forecast remains uncertain. Relevant entities include the AI and Big Tech categories, the Chatbot Arena leaderboard, and the companies competing for top model placement. The event runs from April 14, 2026 until the June 30 resolution deadline.","TECH","AI",[11,13,14],"Tech","Big Tech","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\u002Fwhich-company-has-best-ai-model-end-of-september-MmASwbTkwKHi.jpg",0.7,2394.471869,19857.541962,92267.93849,9718.590116999998,25608.0862211,true,false,"2026-04-14T21:15:33.576Z","2026-06-30T00:00:00.000Z","2026-04-13T22:04:02.222Z","2026-06-16T10:02:28.983Z","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket.com\u002Fevent\u002Fwhich-company-has-the-third-best-ai-model-end-of-june?r=predstack",[30,31,32,33,34,35,36],"which company has the third best ai model end of june?","which company has the third best ai model end of june? prediction","which company has the third best ai model end of june? odds","which company has the third best ai model end of june? probability","technology prediction market","tech forecast","technology probability","2026-06-16T10:25:38.646Z","2026-06-16T10:08:22.401Z",0,[41,55,66],{"id":42,"title":43,"slug":44,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":45,"probability":50,"createdAt":51,"updatedAt":52,"resolutionDate":25,"description":53,"summary":53,"volume1wk":54,"featured":22},"57711","Largest Company end of June?","largest-company-end-of-june-712",[11,13,14,46,47,48,49],"Economy","DeepSeek","Business","Finance",94.75,"2026-05-30T10:42:45.353Z","2026-06-16T10:02:41.401Z","This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30, 2026, as of market close.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.",1368463.9907120005,{"id":56,"title":57,"slug":58,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":59,"probability":39,"createdAt":61,"updatedAt":62,"resolutionDate":63,"description":64,"summary":64,"volume1wk":65,"featured":23},"36308","Claude 5 released by…?","claude-5-released-by",[11,13,60],"Claude 5","2026-05-30T10:42:48.289Z","2026-05-30T10:36:27.841Z","2026-04-30T00:00:00.000Z","This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Anthropic's Claude 5 model is made available to the general public by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nFor this market to resolve to \"Yes,\" Claude 5 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public.\n\nClaude 5 refers to a product explicitly named Claude 5 (e.g. Claude 5.0 would count), or one that is recognized as a successor to Claude 4, similar to the progression from Claude 2 to Claude 3. Products labeled as Claude 4.5 or similar will not count for this market's resolution.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.",635833.2265890003,{"id":67,"title":68,"slug":69,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":70,"probability":39,"createdAt":73,"updatedAt":74,"resolutionDate":75,"description":76,"summary":76,"volume1wk":77,"featured":23},"425249","GPT-5.6 released by...?","gpt-5pt6-released-by",[11,71,13,72],"OpenAI","gpt","2026-05-30T10:42:52.817Z","2026-06-16T10:04:24.803Z","2026-07-31T00:00:00.000Z","This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if OpenAI's GPT-5.6 model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nGPT-5.6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.6, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.5, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.7, GPT-5.8, etc., would qualify toward a \"Yes\" resolution to this market)\n \nQualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex\u002FTranscribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano\u002FMini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.\n\nFor this market to resolve to \"Yes,\" a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. \n\nThe release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.",248340.12905899994,1781606253369]