[{"data":1,"prerenderedAt":78},["ShallowReactive",2],{"event-page-which-company-has-the-2-ai-model-end-of-july-style-control-on":3},{"event":4,"related":39},{"id":5,"slug":6,"title":7,"description":8,"summary":9,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":12,"image":14,"probability":15,"volume24hr":16,"volume1wk":17,"liquidity":18,"openInterest":19,"trendScore":20,"active":21,"closed":22,"featured":22,"startDate":23,"endDate":24,"createdAtRemote":25,"updatedAtRemote":26,"affiliateUrl":27,"polymarketUrl":27,"searchKeywords":28,"syncedAt":36,"createdAt":37,"marketCount":38},"556237","which-company-has-the-2-ai-model-end-of-july-style-control-on","Which company has the #2 AI model end of July? (Style Control On)","This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the second-highest arena rank (Style Control On) based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https:\u002F\u002Flmarena.ai\u002F) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab is checked on July 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Overall\" Leaderboard tab at https:\u002F\u002Flmarena.ai\u002Fleaderboard\u002Ftext with style control on will be used to resolve this market.\n\nModels will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking system.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https:\u002F\u002Flmarena.ai\u002F. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.","Which company has the #2 AI model end of July? (Style Control On) is a technology prediction market focused on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard and asks traders to forecast which company will own the model ranked second overall on July 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. The market resolves using the \"Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Overall\" leaderboard on lmarena.ai with style control enabled, making it a direct event prediction tied to real-time AI model performance. If models are tied, the market uses Arena score, including granular underlying values, and then company-name alphabetical order as a final tiebreaker. This matters because the Chatbot Arena leaderboard is a widely watched benchmark for comparing frontier AI systems from major tech companies. As of the latest update, market probability stands at 32.75%, suggesting traders see a meaningful but not dominant chance for the current expected outcome. The event runs from June 4, 2026 through the July 31, 2026 resolution check, and sentiment may shift as leaderboard rankings change across the AI and tech sector.","TECH","AI",[11,13],"Tech","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\u002Fwhich-company-has-top-ai-model-end-of-september-rg060DKa_VSI.jpg",32.75,507.515138,11334.715541,16199.18395,1161.6718329999999,6894.0090213,true,false,"2026-06-04T19:35:03.562Z","2026-07-31T00:00:00.000Z","2026-06-03T20:04:31.177Z","2026-06-16T10:02:29.985Z","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket.com\u002Fevent\u002Fwhich-company-has-the-2-ai-model-end-of-july-style-control-on?r=predstack",[29,30,31,32,33,34,35],"which company has the #2 ai model end of july? (style control on)","which company has the #2 ai model end of july? (style control on) prediction","which company has the #2 ai model end of july? (style control on) odds","which company has the #2 ai model end of july? (style control on) probability","technology prediction market","tech forecast","technology probability","2026-06-16T10:33:00.740Z","2026-06-16T10:08:31.676Z",0,[40,56,67],{"id":41,"title":42,"slug":43,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":44,"probability":50,"createdAt":51,"updatedAt":52,"resolutionDate":53,"description":54,"summary":54,"volume1wk":55,"featured":21},"57711","Largest Company end of June?","largest-company-end-of-june-712",[11,13,45,46,47,48,49],"Big Tech","Economy","DeepSeek","Business","Finance",94.75,"2026-05-30T10:42:45.353Z","2026-06-16T10:02:41.401Z","2026-06-30T00:00:00.000Z","This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30, 2026, as of market close.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.",1368463.9907120005,{"id":57,"title":58,"slug":59,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":60,"probability":38,"createdAt":62,"updatedAt":63,"resolutionDate":64,"description":65,"summary":65,"volume1wk":66,"featured":22},"36308","Claude 5 released by…?","claude-5-released-by",[11,13,61],"Claude 5","2026-05-30T10:42:48.289Z","2026-05-30T10:36:27.841Z","2026-04-30T00:00:00.000Z","This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Anthropic's Claude 5 model is made available to the general public by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nFor this market to resolve to \"Yes,\" Claude 5 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public.\n\nClaude 5 refers to a product explicitly named Claude 5 (e.g. Claude 5.0 would count), or one that is recognized as a successor to Claude 4, similar to the progression from Claude 2 to Claude 3. Products labeled as Claude 4.5 or similar will not count for this market's resolution.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.",635833.2265890003,{"id":68,"title":69,"slug":70,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":71,"probability":38,"createdAt":74,"updatedAt":75,"resolutionDate":24,"description":76,"summary":76,"volume1wk":77,"featured":22},"425249","GPT-5.6 released by...?","gpt-5pt6-released-by",[11,72,13,73],"OpenAI","gpt","2026-05-30T10:42:52.817Z","2026-06-16T10:04:24.803Z","This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if OpenAI's GPT-5.6 model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nGPT-5.6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.6, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.5, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.7, GPT-5.8, etc., would qualify toward a \"Yes\" resolution to this market)\n \nQualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex\u002FTranscribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano\u002FMini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.\n\nFor this market to resolve to \"Yes,\" a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. \n\nThe release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.",248340.12905899994,1781606246403]