[{"data":1,"prerenderedAt":85},["ShallowReactive",2],{"event-page-which-company-has-second-best-ai-model-end-of-june":3},{"event":4,"related":43},{"id":5,"slug":6,"title":7,"description":8,"summary":9,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":12,"image":18,"probability":19,"volume24hr":20,"volume1wk":21,"liquidity":22,"openInterest":23,"trendScore":24,"active":25,"closed":26,"featured":26,"startDate":27,"endDate":28,"createdAtRemote":29,"updatedAtRemote":30,"affiliateUrl":31,"polymarketUrl":31,"searchKeywords":32,"syncedAt":40,"createdAt":41,"marketCount":42},"57708","which-company-has-second-best-ai-model-end-of-june","Which company has second best AI model end of June?","This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model with the second-highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https:\u002F\u002Flmarena.ai\u002F) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab is checked on June 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Overall\" Leaderboard tab at https:\u002F\u002Flmarena.ai\u002Fleaderboard\u002Ftext with style control off will be used to resolve this market.\n\nModels will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking system.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https:\u002F\u002Flmarena.ai\u002F. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.","Which company has second best AI model end of June? is a Tech prediction market focused on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard and the company behind the model ranked second overall. The market will resolve using the \"Text Arena | Overall\" leaderboard at lmarena.ai, checked on June 30, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET, with rank determined first by the leaderboard position, then by Arena score if needed, and finally by company name as a tiebreaker. In plain terms, traders are forecasting which AI company will hold the No. 2 spot among large language models at the end of June. This matters because Chatbot Arena is a widely watched benchmark for comparing frontier AI systems from companies such as OpenAI, xAI, and other Big Tech participants. Current market probability sits around 91%, indicating strong market sentiment toward a consistent expected outcome, though that forecast is not guaranteed. The event attracts attention from traders tracking AI model performance, Big Tech competition, and shifting rankings in the gpt and broader AI category. If the leaderboard is temporarily unavailable, the market remains open until the first available check after service is restored.","TECH","Big Tech",[11,13,14,15,16,17],"AI","OpenAI","Grok","Tech","gpt","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\u002Fwhich-company-has-best-ai-model-end-of-september-MmASwbTkwKHi.jpg",91,15128.76063,58774.37466,146903.70319,25592.537729000003,54577.433351,true,false,"2025-10-10T21:54:22.505Z","2026-06-30T00:00:00.000Z","2025-10-10T20:34:54.647Z","2026-06-16T10:07:31.285Z","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket.com\u002Fevent\u002Fwhich-company-has-second-best-ai-model-end-of-june?r=predstack",[33,34,35,36,37,38,39],"which company has second best ai model end of june?","which company has second best ai model end of june? prediction","which company has second best ai model end of june? odds","which company has second best ai model end of june? probability","technology prediction market","tech forecast","technology probability","2026-06-16T10:15:55.414Z","2026-06-16T10:08:07.883Z",0,[44,57,71],{"id":45,"title":46,"slug":47,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":48,"probability":51,"createdAt":52,"updatedAt":53,"resolutionDate":54,"description":55,"summary":55,"volume1wk":56,"featured":26},"376520","Which company has the best AI model end of May?","which-company-has-the-best-ai-model-end-of-may",[11,16,49,13,50],"Rewards 50, 4.5, 100","Gemini",0.15,"2026-05-30T10:42:46.659Z","2026-05-30T10:38:44.079Z","2026-05-31T00:00:00.000Z","This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https:\u002F\u002Flmarena.ai\u002F) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab is checked on May 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Overall\" Leaderboard tab at https:\u002F\u002Flmarena.ai\u002Fleaderboard\u002Ftext with style control off will be used to resolve this market.\n\nModels will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https:\u002F\u002Flmarena.ai\u002F. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.",1198537.4213079999,{"id":58,"title":59,"slug":60,"category":10,"subcategory":13,"tags":61,"probability":66,"createdAt":67,"updatedAt":68,"resolutionDate":28,"description":69,"summary":69,"volume1wk":70,"featured":25},"57711","Largest Company end of June?","largest-company-end-of-june-712",[13,16,11,62,63,64,65],"Economy","DeepSeek","Business","Finance",94.75,"2026-05-30T10:42:45.353Z","2026-06-16T10:02:41.401Z","This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30, 2026, as of market close.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.",1368463.9907120005,{"id":72,"title":73,"slug":74,"category":10,"subcategory":75,"tags":76,"probability":42,"createdAt":80,"updatedAt":81,"resolutionDate":82,"description":83,"summary":83,"volume1wk":84,"featured":25},"591694","Claude Fable 5 restored for US customers by…?","claude-fable-5-restored-for-us-customers-by-20260613193753196","Claude",[75,11,77,78,13,16,79],"anthropic","Claude Mythos","Trump","2026-06-16T10:07:57.563Z","2026-06-16T10:05:16.890Z","2026-07-02T03:59:00.000Z","On June 9, 2026, Anthropic released the AI model “Claude Fable 5” to the general public. On June 12, 2026, Anthropic suspended access to the specified model in response to a directive from the US government.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Anthropic restores access to “Claude Fable 5,” also known as “Claude Mythos,” or a model confirmed to be the same model to US customers by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nA qualifying model must be named \"Claude Fable 5” or “Claude Mythos” (e.g., Claude Mythos 1, Claude Mythos 5, Claude Mythos X, would count), or be confirmed by Anthropic or by a consensus of credible reporting to be the same model as released by Anthropic on June 9, 2026.\n\nProducts labeled as Claude Haiku, Sonnet, and Opus 4.7\u002F5.0 or similar will not count for this market's resolution unless they are confirmed to be the same model released by Anthropic on June 9, 2026.\n\nFor this market to resolve to \"Yes,\" the qualifying model (as defined above) must be restored to public accessibility within the United States, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The restoration must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to US customers. If an otherwise qualifying restoration restricts access to certain customers based on nationality, whether geographically inside or outside of the US, that restoration will still qualify.\n\nIf a qualifying model is made publicly accessible and labeled with the relevant version name within the company’s official website, this will qualify as “publicly announced”. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public under the rules will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",360240.44332599995,1781606253380]