[{"data":1,"prerenderedAt":77},["ShallowReactive",2],{"event-page-which-company-has-best-ai-model-end-of-july-299":3},{"event":4,"related":39},{"id":5,"slug":6,"title":7,"description":8,"summary":9,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":12,"image":14,"probability":15,"volume24hr":16,"volume1wk":17,"liquidity":18,"openInterest":19,"trendScore":20,"active":21,"closed":22,"featured":22,"startDate":23,"endDate":24,"createdAtRemote":25,"updatedAtRemote":26,"affiliateUrl":27,"polymarketUrl":27,"searchKeywords":28,"syncedAt":36,"createdAt":37,"marketCount":38},"556131","which-company-has-best-ai-model-end-of-july-299","Which company has best AI model end of July?","This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https:\u002F\u002Flmarena.ai\u002F) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab is checked on July 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Rank\" section on the Leaderboard tab of https:\u002F\u002Flmarena.ai\u002Fleaderboard\u002Ftext with the style control off will be used to resolve this market.\n\nModels will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https:\u002F\u002Flmarena.ai\u002F. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.","Which company has best AI model end of July? is a technology prediction market focused on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard and which company will have the top-ranked model at the end of July 2026. The market resolves using the leaderboard’s Rank section on lmarena.ai, checked on July 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET, with tie-breakers based on Arena score and then company name if needed. This makes the event a direct forecast of which AI lab or model provider is leading the public benchmark at the specified time. The outcome matters because Chatbot Arena is widely followed as a comparative signal for frontier AI model performance, and changes in the ranking can reflect recent releases, model updates, or shifts in market sentiment around AI capabilities. Current market probability for the leading outcome is 9.2%, suggesting traders see that result as possible but far from assured. As a tech and AI event prediction, the listing is relevant for readers tracking prediction market odds, leaderboard movements, and the competitive landscape among companies building large language models.","TECH","Tech",[11,13],"AI","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\u002Fwhich-company-has-best-ai-model-end-of-september-MmASwbTkwKHi.jpg",9.2,102713.10054600002,205376.229327,451054.01416,23647.08623,203180.22190310003,true,false,"2026-06-04T18:06:43.162Z","2026-07-31T00:00:00.000Z","2026-06-03T19:19:04.504Z","2026-06-16T10:02:54.129Z","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket.com\u002Fevent\u002Fwhich-company-has-best-ai-model-end-of-july-299?r=predstack",[29,30,31,32,33,34,35],"which company has best ai model end of july?","which company has best ai model end of july? prediction","which company has best ai model end of july? odds","which company has best ai model end of july? probability","technology prediction market","tech forecast","technology probability","2026-06-16T10:12:17.588Z","2026-06-16T10:08:00.151Z",0,[40,55,67],{"id":41,"title":42,"slug":43,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":44,"probability":49,"createdAt":50,"updatedAt":51,"resolutionDate":52,"description":53,"summary":53,"volume1wk":54,"featured":22},"57705","Which company has best AI model end of June?","which-company-has-best-ai-model-end-of-june",[11,45,46,47,48,13],"Big Tech","GPT-5","Grok","OpenAI",4.5,"2026-05-30T10:42:46.365Z","2026-06-16T10:07:42.031Z","2026-06-30T00:00:00.000Z","This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https:\u002F\u002Flmarena.ai\u002F) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab is checked on June 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Rank\" section on the Leaderboard tab of https:\u002F\u002Flmarena.ai\u002Fleaderboard\u002Ftext with the style control off will be used to resolve this market.\n\nModels will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https:\u002F\u002Flmarena.ai\u002F. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.",2723773.234457999,{"id":56,"title":57,"slug":58,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":59,"probability":62,"createdAt":63,"updatedAt":64,"resolutionDate":52,"description":65,"summary":65,"volume1wk":66,"featured":22},"117916","Which companies will have a #1 AI model by June 30?","which-companies-will-have-a-1-ai-model-by-june-30",[11,13,60,61,47],"Business","DeepSeek",4.35,"2026-05-30T10:42:55.527Z","2026-06-16T10:02:05.041Z","This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the listed company has the highest arena score on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https:\u002F\u002Flmarena.ai\u002F) for any amount of time by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nResults from the \"Arena Score\" section on the Leaderboard tab of https:\u002F\u002Flmarena.ai\u002F with the style control unchecked will be used to resolve this market.\n\nIf a listed model ties for #1 Arena score, it will suffice to resolve this market to \"Yes.\"\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https:\u002F\u002Flmarena.ai\u002F. If this resolution source becomes unavailable, the market will remain open until it is accessible again. If it becomes permanently unavailable, resolution will be based on another credible source.\n",134039.990417,{"id":68,"title":69,"slug":70,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":71,"probability":49,"createdAt":73,"updatedAt":74,"resolutionDate":52,"description":75,"summary":75,"volume1wk":76,"featured":22},"57704","Which company has top AI model end of June? (Style Control On)","which-company-has-top-ai-model-end-of-june-style-control-on",[11,48,13,47,46,45,72],"Gemini","2026-05-30T10:43:12.133Z","2026-06-16T10:01:28.595Z","This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model with the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https:\u002F\u002Flmarena.ai\u002F) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab is checked on June 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Overall\" Leaderboard tab at https:\u002F\u002Flmarena.ai\u002Fleaderboard\u002Ftext with style control on will be used to resolve this market.\n\nModels will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https:\u002F\u002Flmarena.ai\u002F. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolves based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.",126222.25436100003,1781606286906]