[{"data":1,"prerenderedAt":79},["ShallowReactive",2],{"event-page-which-company-has-best-ai-model-end-of-2026":3},{"event":4,"related":42},{"id":5,"slug":6,"title":7,"description":8,"summary":9,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":12,"image":17,"probability":18,"volume24hr":19,"volume1wk":20,"liquidity":21,"openInterest":22,"trendScore":23,"active":24,"closed":25,"featured":25,"startDate":26,"endDate":27,"createdAtRemote":28,"updatedAtRemote":29,"affiliateUrl":30,"polymarketUrl":30,"searchKeywords":31,"syncedAt":39,"createdAt":40,"marketCount":41},"556382","which-company-has-best-ai-model-end-of-2026","Which company has best AI model end of 2026?","This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https:\u002F\u002Flmarena.ai\u002F) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab is checked on December 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Rank\" section on the Leaderboard tab of https:\u002F\u002Flmarena.ai\u002Fleaderboard\u002Ftext with the style control off will be used to resolve this market.\n\nModels will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https:\u002F\u002Flmarena.ai\u002F. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.","Which company has best AI model end of 2026? is a technology prediction market focused on which AI developer will hold the top spot on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard at the market check on December 31, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET. The event resolves using the \"Rank\" section on lmarena.ai\u002Fleaderboard\u002Ftext with style control off, and the winning company is the one whose model is ranked first under the market’s tie-breaking rules. If models are tied on rank, the leaderboard score is used, including granular underlying values; if a tie still remains, company names are ordered alphabetically.\n\nThis forecast matters because the Chatbot Arena leaderboard is a widely watched benchmark for frontier AI model performance, making the event a useful signal for market sentiment around major AI companies such as OpenAI, Anthropic, xAI, and Google. As of the latest market data, traders assign about a 15.5% probability to the event’s expected outcome, indicating relatively open odds and meaningful uncertainty. The market begins in June 2026 and remains active through year-end, with final resolution based on the leaderboard snapshot at the specified time or the first available check if the source is temporarily unavailable.","TECH","Tech",[11,13,14,15,16],"AI","Grok","anthropic","OpenAI","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\u002Fwhich-company-has-best-ai-model-end-of-september-MmASwbTkwKHi.jpg",15.5,7364.689569,19101.079213,556494.46711,4657.587668,120711.5619704,true,false,"2026-06-04T17:56:21.120Z","2026-12-31T00:00:00.000Z","2026-06-03T20:57:23.240Z","2026-06-16T10:02:22.942Z","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket.com\u002Fevent\u002Fwhich-company-has-best-ai-model-end-of-2026?r=predstack",[32,33,34,35,36,37,38],"which company has best ai model end of 2026?","which company has best ai model end of 2026? prediction","which company has best ai model end of 2026? odds","which company has best ai model end of 2026? probability","technology prediction market","tech forecast","technology probability","2026-06-16T10:26:14.728Z","2026-06-16T10:08:23.274Z",0,[43,56,67],{"id":44,"title":45,"slug":46,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":47,"probability":50,"createdAt":51,"updatedAt":52,"resolutionDate":53,"description":54,"summary":54,"volume1wk":55,"featured":25},"57705","Which company has best AI model end of June?","which-company-has-best-ai-model-end-of-june",[11,48,49,14,16,13],"Big Tech","GPT-5",4.5,"2026-05-30T10:42:46.365Z","2026-06-16T10:07:42.031Z","2026-06-30T00:00:00.000Z","This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https:\u002F\u002Flmarena.ai\u002F) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab is checked on June 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Rank\" section on the Leaderboard tab of https:\u002F\u002Flmarena.ai\u002Fleaderboard\u002Ftext with the style control off will be used to resolve this market.\n\nModels will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https:\u002F\u002Flmarena.ai\u002F. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.",2723773.234457999,{"id":57,"title":58,"slug":59,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":60,"probability":61,"createdAt":62,"updatedAt":63,"resolutionDate":64,"description":65,"summary":65,"volume1wk":66,"featured":25},"556131","Which company has best AI model end of July?","which-company-has-best-ai-model-end-of-july-299",[11,13],9.2,"2026-06-16T10:08:00.151Z","2026-06-16T10:02:54.129Z","2026-07-31T00:00:00.000Z","This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https:\u002F\u002Flmarena.ai\u002F) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab is checked on July 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Rank\" section on the Leaderboard tab of https:\u002F\u002Flmarena.ai\u002Fleaderboard\u002Ftext with the style control off will be used to resolve this market.\n\nModels will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https:\u002F\u002Flmarena.ai\u002F. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.",205376.229327,{"id":68,"title":69,"slug":70,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":71,"probability":74,"createdAt":75,"updatedAt":76,"resolutionDate":53,"description":77,"summary":77,"volume1wk":78,"featured":25},"117916","Which companies will have a #1 AI model by June 30?","which-companies-will-have-a-1-ai-model-by-june-30",[11,13,72,73,14],"Business","DeepSeek",4.35,"2026-05-30T10:42:55.527Z","2026-06-16T10:02:05.041Z","This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the listed company has the highest arena score on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https:\u002F\u002Flmarena.ai\u002F) for any amount of time by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nResults from the \"Arena Score\" section on the Leaderboard tab of https:\u002F\u002Flmarena.ai\u002F with the style control unchecked will be used to resolve this market.\n\nIf a listed model ties for #1 Arena score, it will suffice to resolve this market to \"Yes.\"\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https:\u002F\u002Flmarena.ai\u002F. If this resolution source becomes unavailable, the market will remain open until it is accessible again. If it becomes permanently unavailable, resolution will be based on another credible source.\n",134039.990417,1781606246603]