[{"data":1,"prerenderedAt":89},["ShallowReactive",2],{"event-page-where-will-the-next-us-iran-diplomatic-meeting-happen-455":3},{"event":4,"related":50},{"id":5,"slug":6,"title":7,"description":8,"summary":9,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":12,"image":25,"probability":26,"volume24hr":27,"volume1wk":28,"liquidity":29,"openInterest":30,"trendScore":31,"active":32,"closed":33,"featured":33,"startDate":34,"endDate":35,"createdAtRemote":36,"updatedAtRemote":37,"affiliateUrl":38,"polymarketUrl":38,"searchKeywords":39,"syncedAt":47,"createdAt":48,"marketCount":49},"372273","where-will-the-next-us-iran-diplomatic-meeting-happen-455","Where will the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting happen?","This market will resolve according to the country in which the next diplomatic meeting between government representatives of the United States and Iran takes place by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nA diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify. \n\nBrief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.\n\nThe meeting must be in-person (including indirect meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.\n\nIf the next diplomatic meeting between government representatives of the United States and Iran takes place in any country in the Middle East or North Africa other than the listed options, this market will resolve to “Other - Middle East\u002FNorth Africa”. \n\nIf the next diplomatic meeting between government representatives of the United States and Iran takes place in any country in Europe other than the listed options, this market will resolve to “Other - Europe”.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, additional countries’ regions will be determined based on the US State Department’s regional classifications in the “Countries and Areas List” (https:\u002F\u002Fwww.state.gov\u002Fcountries-and-areas-list). Any country classified as part of “Europe and Eurasia” will be considered to be in Europe. Any country classified as part of “Near East (Middle East and North Africa)” will be considered to be in the Middle East.\n\nIf the next diplomatic meeting between government representatives of the United States and Iran takes place in any unlisted country which is not classified in either of the specified regions, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nIf no qualifying meeting takes place by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Meeting by June 30”.\n\nIf a qualifying meeting occurs in more than one country, resolution will be based on where the first qualifying diplomatic session takes place.\n\nThe resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.","“Where will the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting happen?” is a Politics prediction market that asks traders to forecast the country hosting the next in-person diplomatic meeting between government representatives of the United States and Iran. The market resolves based on the first qualifying session held by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, with official government acknowledgments or credible media reporting used for resolution.\n\nThe event matters because any US-Iran meeting can signal movement on foreign policy, nuclear negotiations, regional security, or broader geopolitical tensions involving Iran, Israel, and Middle East diplomacy. The rules also allow indirect meetings through authorized mediators, while remote calls, casual encounters, or unofficial talks do not count. If no qualifying meeting occurs by the deadline, the outcome resolves to “No Meeting by June 30.”\n\nCurrent market probability is about 35.75%, suggesting traders see a meeting in one of the listed locations as possible but far from certain. The prediction market’s odds and sentiment may continue to shift as diplomatic developments emerge over the event window, which runs from April 12, 2026 through June 30, 2026.","POLITICS","Politics",[11,13,14,15,16,17,18,19,20,21,22,23,24],"Foreign Policy","U.S. x Iran","Nuclear","Geopolitics","Iran","Khamenei","Iran Ceasefire","Trump","nuclear deal","Israel x Iran","Vance","Rewards 50, 4.5, 100","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\u002Fus-x-iran-meeting-by-9btZGbUg-ikA.jpg",35.75,92277.54186499999,513940.70543900004,500738.31309,190945.835456,300468.6451822,true,false,"2026-04-12T20:50:07.257Z","2026-06-30T00:00:00.000Z","2026-04-12T19:01:50.924Z","2026-05-30T10:39:05.009Z","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket.com\u002Fevent\u002Fwhere-will-the-next-us-iran-diplomatic-meeting-happen-455?r=predstack",[40,41,42,43,44,45,46],"where will the next us-iran diplomatic meeting happen?","where will the next us-iran diplomatic meeting happen? prediction","where will the next us-iran diplomatic meeting happen? odds","where will the next us-iran diplomatic meeting happen? probability","political prediction market","political forecast","political probability","2026-06-05T13:06:15.313Z","2026-05-30T10:42:48.812Z",0,[51,69,79],{"id":52,"title":53,"slug":54,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":55,"probability":63,"createdAt":64,"updatedAt":65,"resolutionDate":66,"description":67,"summary":67,"volume1wk":68,"featured":32},"31875","Republican Presidential Nominee 2028","republican-presidential-nominee-2028",[11,56,57,58,59,60,61,62],"US Election","Elections","World Elections","Global Elections","Earn 4%","Primaries","United States",2.75,"2026-05-30T10:42:43.975Z","2026-05-30T10:39:47.083Z","2028-11-07T00:00:00.000Z","This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources.\n\nAny replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.",9249335.794150999,{"id":70,"title":71,"slug":72,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":73,"probability":49,"createdAt":74,"updatedAt":75,"resolutionDate":76,"description":77,"summary":77,"volume1wk":78,"featured":32},"438327","Iran closes its airspace by...?","iran-closes-its-airspace-by",[11,16,14,17],"2026-05-30T10:42:44.156Z","2026-05-30T10:38:40.231Z","2026-05-31T00:00:00.000Z","This market will resolve to “Yes” if Iran initiates a major closure of its airspace, that is not solely due to weather conditions, by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nA “major closure” is defined as a broad closure, cancellation, or suspension of commercial flights transiting, arriving in, and departing from Iranian airspace or a major Iranian Airspace region. A qualifying closure must apply generally to flights across Iran or a major Iranian airspace region. Limited cancellations, delays, or other partial closures will not qualify. Limited exceptions to a broad closure, however, will not disqualify such a closure from counting (e.g. exceptions for certain flights pre-approved by the Iranian Civil Aviation Authority may be permitted). \n\nAny non-weather complete suspension of commercial arrivals and departures affecting at least two of the following airports will qualify: Imam Khomeini International Airport (IKA), Mehrabad Airport (THR), Mashhad International Airport (MHD), Shiraz International Airport (SYZ), or Isfahan International Airport (IFN).\n\nQualifying previous examples include the January 2026 total closure of Iranian airspace except to international flights with express governmental permission (https:\u002F\u002Fwww.reuters.com\u002Fworld\u002Fmiddle-east\u002Firan-shuts-airspace-most-flights-flightradar24-says-2026-01-14\u002F) and the April 2024 closure of Iran’s western airspace (https:\u002F\u002Fwww.reuters.com\u002Fworld\u002Fmiddle-east\u002Firanian-airports-cancel-flights-until-monday-morning-2024-04-14\u002F). Non-qualifying examples include the January 27, 2026 partial closure of Iranian airspace around the Strait of Hormuz (https:\u002F\u002Fwww.aa.com.tr\u002Fen\u002Fmiddle-east\u002Firan-issues-airspace-notice-for-military-drills-near-strait-of-hormuz\u002F3812508) and the January 25 - April 25, 2026 VFR (Visual Flight Rules) flights suspension which did not broadly close commercial aviation in a qualifying region (https:\u002F\u002Fwww.intellinews.com\u002Firan-suspends-general-aviation-and-vfr-flights-in-new-airspace-directive-421997\u002F).\n\nWarnings, No-Fly-Zones, or other flight restrictions imposed by airlines or countries other than Iran will not be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution.\n\nAirspace closures which occur solely due to weather conditions will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from Iranian aviation authorities and a consensus of credible reporting.",6620506.11378,{"id":80,"title":81,"slug":82,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":83,"probability":49,"createdAt":84,"updatedAt":85,"resolutionDate":86,"description":87,"summary":87,"volume1wk":88,"featured":32},"371649","US x Iran diplomatic meeting by...?","us-x-iran-diplomatic-meeting-by-329",[11,19,17,23,20,14,16],"2026-05-30T10:42:45.013Z","2026-05-30T10:39:46.810Z","2026-04-30T00:00:00.000Z","This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nA diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify. \n\nBrief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.  \n\nThe meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.\n\nThe resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.",2654417.6848280015,1780676601847]