[{"data":1,"prerenderedAt":80},["ShallowReactive",2],{"event-page-where-will-2026-rank-among-the-hottest-years-on-record":3},{"event":4,"related":43},{"id":5,"slug":6,"title":7,"description":8,"summary":9,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":12,"image":18,"probability":19,"volume24hr":20,"volume1wk":21,"liquidity":22,"openInterest":23,"trendScore":24,"active":25,"closed":26,"featured":26,"startDate":27,"endDate":28,"createdAtRemote":29,"updatedAtRemote":30,"affiliateUrl":31,"polymarketUrl":31,"searchKeywords":32,"syncedAt":40,"createdAt":41,"marketCount":42},"79905","where-will-2026-rank-among-the-hottest-years-on-record","Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?","This market will resolve according to the numerical rank of how hot 2026 is when compared against all other years for which the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index has data.\n\nYears will be ranked in descending order, starting with the hottest as number 1, the second hottest as number 2, etc.\n\nIf 2026 ties with any other year, it will resolve according to the place the year it ties with occupies.\n\nThis market will resolve immediately once the specified data becomes available, regardless of whether the figure for the relevant years is later revised.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled \"Land-Ocean Temperature Index (C)\" under the column \"No_Smoothing\" in the row \"2026\" (https:\u002F\u002Fdata.giss.nasa.gov\u002Fgistemp\u002Fgraphs\u002Fgraph_data\u002FGlobal_Mean_Estimates_based_on_Land_and_Ocean_Data\u002Fgraph.txt). If NASA's \"Global Temperature Index\" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for 2026 is provided by NASA by March 1, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.","Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record? is a science-focused prediction market that asks traders to forecast the final temperature ranking for 2026 using NASA’s Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index. The event resolves by the year’s numerical rank among all years in the record, with 1 meaning the hottest year, 2 the second hottest, and so on. If 2026 ties with another year, it will take the tied year’s position. The primary resolution source is NASA’s \"Land-Ocean Temperature Index (C)\" table, specifically the \"No_Smoothing\" value for 2026, with a fallback to credible reporting only if NASA data is unavailable by March 1, 2027. As of the latest market data, the probability of 2026 ranking among the hottest outcomes is 23.5%, reflecting current market sentiment rather than a guarantee. This climate and weather event prediction is relevant to anyone tracking global temperature trends, NASA climate data, and the broader science category on prediction markets. The market runs through December 31, 2026, making it a long-dated forecast tied to official annual climate measurements.","CULTURE","Science",[11,13,14,15,16,17],"Culture","Global Temp","Weather","Climate & Science","Weather & Science","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\u002Fearth+on+fire.png",23.5,2836.589997,18089.436446,47444.99696,169748.768741,16334.1253243,true,false,"2025-11-12T22:54:31.124Z","2026-12-31T00:00:00.000Z","2025-11-12T18:24:28.187Z","2026-06-16T10:00:48.398Z","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket.com\u002Fevent\u002Fwhere-will-2026-rank-among-the-hottest-years-on-record?r=predstack",[33,34,35,36,37,38,39],"where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?","where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record? prediction","where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record? odds","where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record? probability","culture prediction market","entertainment forecast","pop culture odds","2026-06-16T10:26:57.318Z","2026-06-16T10:08:24.209Z",0,[44,56,69],{"id":45,"title":46,"slug":47,"category":10,"subcategory":13,"tags":48,"probability":51,"createdAt":52,"updatedAt":53,"resolutionDate":28,"description":54,"summary":54,"volume1wk":55,"featured":25},"90177","Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?","will-the-us-confirm-that-aliens-exist-before-2027",[13,49,11,50],"Politics","Aliens",9.5,"2026-05-30T10:42:44.657Z","2026-06-16T10:03:58.190Z","This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the President of the United States, any member of the Cabinet of the United States, any member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or any US federal agency definitively states that extraterrestrial life or technology exists by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",3368848.001206001,{"id":57,"title":58,"slug":59,"category":10,"subcategory":13,"tags":60,"probability":42,"createdAt":64,"updatedAt":65,"resolutionDate":66,"description":67,"summary":67,"volume1wk":68,"featured":26},"145916","New \"Stranger Things\" episode released by...? ","new-stranger-things-episode-released-by-wednesday",[13,61,62,63],"TV","netflix","Movies","2026-05-30T10:42:43.455Z","2026-06-16T10:01:44.384Z","2026-01-07T00:00:00.000Z","This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Netflix officially releases a new episode of Stranger Things (i.e., an episode that was not previously available to stream on Netflix) between market creation and January 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nFor the purposes of this market, an “episode” must be listed as a distinct episode of Stranger Things on Netflix and be playable for general subscribers in the United States. A behind-the-scenes featurette, documentary, trailer, recap, cast interview, deleted scenes compilation, or other bonus content will not count unless it is clearly presented by Netflix as an official numbered or titled episode of the series.\n\nIf Netflix releases an alternate cut, extended cut, or “secret” version of an already-released episode, it will not count unless it is listed as a separate episode entry on Netflix.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be the Stranger Things title page on Netflix (episode list and availability), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",19381190.250445094,{"id":70,"title":71,"slug":72,"category":10,"subcategory":13,"tags":73,"probability":42,"createdAt":75,"updatedAt":76,"resolutionDate":77,"description":78,"summary":78,"volume1wk":79,"featured":26},"564322","Elon Musk # tweets June 9 - June 16, 2026?","elon-musk-of-tweets-june-9-june-16",[13,49,74],"Tweet Markets","2026-06-16T10:07:51.997Z","2026-06-16T10:07:11.122Z","2026-06-16T16:00:00.000Z","This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from June 9 12:00 PM ET to June 16, 2026 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https:\u002F\u002Fx.com\u002Felonmusk\u002Fstatus\u002F1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https:\u002F\u002Fxtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.",3821001.4626410003,1781606245294]