[{"data":1,"prerenderedAt":93},["ShallowReactive",2],{"event-page-what-will-the-fed-rate-be-at-the-end-of-2026":3},{"event":4,"related":44},{"id":5,"slug":6,"title":7,"description":8,"summary":9,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":12,"image":19,"probability":20,"volume24hr":21,"volume1wk":22,"liquidity":23,"openInterest":24,"trendScore":25,"active":26,"closed":27,"featured":27,"startDate":28,"endDate":29,"createdAtRemote":30,"updatedAtRemote":31,"affiliateUrl":32,"polymarketUrl":32,"searchKeywords":33,"syncedAt":41,"createdAt":42,"marketCount":43},"159954","what-will-the-fed-rate-be-at-the-end-of-2026","What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?","The FED rate is defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the upper bound of the Federal Reserve’s target federal funds range after the December 2026 Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026.\n\nThis market may resolve immediately after the statement for the FOMC’s December meeting, with relevant information about the FOMC’s decision on the target federal funds range, has been issued. If no FOMC decision on the target federal funds range for their December meeting has been issued by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the upper bound of the target federal funds range at that time.\n\nThe upper bound of the target federal funds range will be rounded to the nearest 25 basis points for resolution of this market. If the upper bound of the target federal funds range falls exactly between two listed options, it will be rounded away from zero (e.g. if the upper bound is 2.875, with listed options of 3.0 & 2.75, this market will resolve to 3.0).\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Federal Reserve (https:\u002F\u002Fwww.federalreserve.gov\u002Fmonetarypolicy\u002Fopenmarket.htm).","What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026? is a finance prediction market asking traders to forecast the upper bound of the Federal Reserve’s target federal funds range after the December 2026 FOMC meeting. The market resolves using official Federal Reserve information, with the key decision expected from the Federal Open Market Committee’s December 8-9, 2026 meeting. If no December decision is released by December 31, 2026, the market will use the rate in effect at that time. Resolution rounds the upper bound to the nearest 25 basis points, following the market’s stated rules. \n\nThis event matters because the fed rate is a central indicator for U.S. monetary policy, inflation expectations, borrowing costs, and broader economic conditions. It also reflects market sentiment around the policy path set by Jerome Powell and the Fed, making it relevant to Fed Rates, Economic Policy, and political headlines involving the central bank. Current market probability is around 11.3%, indicating relatively low odds for the specific outcome currently favored by traders. As a long-dated forecast, the event captures changing event prediction odds as new economic data and FOMC signals emerge.","FINANCE","Fed Rates",[11,13,14,15,16,17,18],"Economic Policy","Fed","Politics","Trump","Jerome Powell","Fed Chair","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\u002Fwhat-will-the-fed-rate-be-at-the-end-of-2026-uBdpbEcFD4RN.jpg",11.3,702.946839,20406.236462,138797.58558,31746.328616000006,34232.861474100006,true,false,"2026-01-12T17:47:04.954Z","2026-12-09T00:00:00.000Z","2026-01-12T16:29:46.998Z","2026-06-16T10:01:58.094Z","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket.com\u002Fevent\u002Fwhat-will-the-fed-rate-be-at-the-end-of-2026?r=predstack",[34,35,36,37,38,39,40],"what will the fed rate be at the end of 2026?","what will the fed rate be at the end of 2026? prediction","what will the fed rate be at the end of 2026? odds","what will the fed rate be at the end of 2026? probability","finance prediction market","financial forecast","market odds","2026-06-16T10:25:18.033Z","2026-06-16T10:08:22.020Z",0,[45,58,75],{"id":46,"title":47,"slug":48,"category":10,"subcategory":13,"tags":49,"probability":52,"createdAt":53,"updatedAt":54,"resolutionDate":55,"description":56,"summary":56,"volume1wk":57,"featured":26},"101772","Fed Decision in June?","fed-decision-in-june-825",[13,17,11,14,15,50,51],"Economy","fomc",0.45,"2026-05-30T10:42:43.783Z","2026-06-16T10:06:42.413Z","2026-06-17T00:00:00.000Z","The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.\n\nThis market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's June 2026 meeting.\n\nIf the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut\u002Fincrease of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for June 16-17, 2026 according to the official calendar: https:\u002F\u002Fwww.federalreserve.gov\u002Fmonetarypolicy\u002Ffomccalendars.htm.\n\nThe level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https:\u002F\u002Fwww.federalreserve.gov\u002Fmonetarypolicy\u002Fopenmarket.htm.\n\nThis market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the \"No change\" bracket.\n",43753405.28664605,{"id":59,"title":60,"slug":61,"category":10,"subcategory":62,"tags":63,"probability":43,"createdAt":71,"updatedAt":72,"resolutionDate":73,"description":60,"summary":60,"volume1wk":74,"featured":26},"415443","What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in May 2026?","what-price-will-wti-hit-in-may-2026","Finance",[62,64,65,66,67,68,69,70],"Monthly","Hit Price","Hide From New","Finance Updown","Pyth Finance","Commodities","Oil","2026-05-30T10:42:43.693Z","2026-05-30T10:38:59.671Z","2026-05-31T17:00:00.000Z",12887084.736748997,{"id":76,"title":77,"slug":78,"category":10,"subcategory":79,"tags":80,"probability":87,"createdAt":88,"updatedAt":89,"resolutionDate":90,"description":91,"summary":91,"volume1wk":92,"featured":26},"102007","SpaceX IPO closing market cap above ___ ?","spacex-ipo-closing-market-cap-above","Tech",[79,81,82,83,84,85,86],"Big Tech","Elon Musk","IPO","SpaceX","IPOs","Climate & Science",98.65,"2026-05-30T10:42:46.312Z","2026-05-30T10:34:08.685Z","2027-12-31T00:00:00.000Z","This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for SpaceX’s market capitalization on its first trading day is above the value specified in the title. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.\n\nIf no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nMarket capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.\n\nResolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.\n\nIn the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.",1314816.7019979998,1781606300364]