[{"data":1,"prerenderedAt":85},["ShallowReactive",2],{"event-page-us-government-rescinds-claude-fable-5-foreigner-ban-by-20260613202427937":3},{"event":4,"related":43},{"id":5,"slug":6,"title":7,"description":8,"summary":9,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":12,"image":18,"probability":19,"volume24hr":20,"volume1wk":21,"liquidity":22,"openInterest":23,"trendScore":24,"active":25,"closed":26,"featured":26,"startDate":27,"endDate":28,"createdAtRemote":29,"updatedAtRemote":30,"affiliateUrl":31,"polymarketUrl":31,"searchKeywords":32,"syncedAt":40,"createdAt":41,"marketCount":42},"592360","us-government-rescinds-claude-fable-5-foreigner-ban-by-20260613202427937","US government rescinds Claude Fable 5 foreigner ban by…?","On June 12, 2026, the US government directed Anthropic to suspend access to Fable 5 for foreign nationals, whether inside or outside the United States (see: https:\u002F\u002Fwww.anthropic.com\u002Fnews\u002Ffable-mythos-access).\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if President Trump, the US government, or Anthropic publicly and officially announce that this directive has been rescinded, waived, modified, or otherwise lifted such that blocking public access to Claude Fable 5 for all non-US nationals is no longer directed by the US federal government by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nA qualifying announcement must clearly indicate that guidance from the United States federal government no longer directs Anthropic to block public access to Claude Fable 5 for all foreign nationals. A partial lifting of the restriction will qualify, provided it allows renewed public access for at least some non-US nationals. Anthropic announcements that Fable 5 will be released for public access, without announcing qualifying US government guidance, will not count.\n\nAnnouncements must specifically relate to the model Fable 5. Qualifying announcements may include that revised US government guidance allows public access to Fable 5 for non-US nationals with additional model safety restrictions; however, if such restrictions cause Anthropic to release the model under a different name, this will not qualify.\n\nThe relevant access must be public; adjusted guidance from the United States government that access to Fable 5 may be restored for select companies will not qualify.\n\nWritten public statements from Donald Trump, including posts from his personal Truth Social account, will count. Videos posted on his social media accounts will also qualify.\n\nInformal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official statements from President Trump, the US government, and Anthropic; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","US government rescinds Claude Fable 5 foreigner ban by…? asks whether the Trump administration, the US government, or Anthropic will officially lift the directive that forced Anthropic to suspend public access to Fable 5 for non-US nationals. This political prediction market centers on a technology and AI policy dispute with direct implications for Big Tech access rules, model deployment, and government oversight of advanced artificial intelligence. The market resolves “Yes” only if a public, qualifying announcement confirms that the federal guidance has been rescinded, waived, modified, or otherwise lifted so that public access to Claude Fable 5 is no longer blocked for all foreign nationals. Partial relief can qualify if it restores access for at least some non-US users, but unofficial reports or releases under a different model name do not count. Traders currently assign the event about a 48% probability, suggesting a closely contested forecast. The market is active through July 1, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET, and sentiment will likely shift with any official Trump statement, US government update, or Anthropic announcement.","POLITICS","Trump",[11,13,14,15,16,17],"Claude","AI","Big Tech","Tech","anthropic","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\u002Fus-government-rescinds-claude-fable-5-foreigner-ban-by-20260613202427937-UPKhT8tRekVn.jpg",48,22963.921576000004,23759.886177999993,6091.212,5011.456228,19828.1690414,true,false,"2026-06-14T00:36:16.302Z","2026-07-01T03:59:00.000Z","2026-06-14T00:01:42.993Z","2026-06-16T10:01:28.068Z","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket.com\u002Fevent\u002Fus-government-rescinds-claude-fable-5-foreigner-ban-by-20260613202427937?r=predstack",[33,34,35,36,37,38,39],"us government rescinds claude fable 5 foreigner ban by…?","us government rescinds claude fable 5 foreigner ban by…? prediction","us government rescinds claude fable 5 foreigner ban by…? odds","us government rescinds claude fable 5 foreigner ban by…? probability","political prediction market","political forecast","political probability","2026-06-16T10:23:33.904Z","2026-06-16T10:08:19.671Z",0,[44,60,74],{"id":45,"title":46,"slug":47,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":48,"probability":54,"createdAt":55,"updatedAt":56,"resolutionDate":57,"description":58,"summary":58,"volume1wk":59,"featured":25},"585449","Who will sign U.S. x Iran deal?","who-will-sign-uptspt-x-iran-deal-20260612002238373",[11,49,50,51,52,53],"Peace Deal","geopolitcs","Iran","U.S. x Iran","Politics",10.5,"2026-06-16T10:07:56.091Z","2026-06-16T10:06:50.966Z","2026-08-01T03:59:00.000Z","This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual signs a written agreement to which both the United States and the Islamic Republic of Iran are parties by July 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nA qualifying agreement must be signed by the listed individual acting in an official capacity.\n\nThe United States and the Islamic Republic of Iran must both be parties to the agreement; however, it is not required that representatives of either or both countries sign the agreement in order for it to qualify.\n\nThe listed individual may sign on behalf of either party, a third-party state, an international organization, or any other party to the agreement.\n\nBoth physical signatures and officially issued electronic signatures will qualify as signing.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant governments and parties to the agreement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",532792.541632,{"id":61,"title":62,"slug":63,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":64,"probability":68,"createdAt":69,"updatedAt":70,"resolutionDate":71,"description":72,"summary":72,"volume1wk":73,"featured":26},"73079","Which countries will Donald Trump visit in 2026?","which-countries-will-donald-trump-visit-in-2026",[11,53,65,66,67],"Foreign Policy","World","Geopolitics",100,"2026-05-30T10:43:01.809Z","2026-06-16T10:02:28.040Z","2026-12-31T00:00:00.000Z","If U.S. President Donald Trump visits a listed country between January 1 and December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, the relevant market will resolve to \"Yes\". Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nFor the purpose of this market, a \"visit\" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the listed country. Whether or not Trump enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https:\u002F\u002Ftwitter.com\u002FPOTUS), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.\n",80566.423931,{"id":75,"title":76,"slug":77,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":78,"probability":42,"createdAt":80,"updatedAt":81,"resolutionDate":82,"description":83,"summary":83,"volume1wk":84,"featured":26},"146072","Will Trump meet with Delcy Rodríguez by...?","will-trump-meet-with-delcy-rodrguez-by-march-31",[11,53,79,67],"Venezuela","2026-05-30T10:43:19.901Z","2026-06-16T10:00:21.101Z","2026-03-31T00:00:00.000Z","This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Donald Trump meets with Delcy Rodríguez by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nAn exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.\n\nA meeting is defined as any encounter where both listed individual and Trump are present and interact with each other in person.\n\nThe resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.\n",61718.413439,1781606256526]