[{"data":1,"prerenderedAt":89},["ShallowReactive",2],{"event-page-us-federally-charges-cuba-leader-miguel-diaz-canel":3},{"event":4,"related":45},{"id":5,"slug":6,"title":7,"description":8,"summary":9,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":12,"image":20,"probability":21,"volume24hr":22,"volume1wk":23,"liquidity":24,"openInterest":25,"trendScore":26,"active":27,"closed":28,"featured":28,"startDate":29,"endDate":30,"createdAtRemote":31,"updatedAtRemote":32,"affiliateUrl":33,"polymarketUrl":33,"searchKeywords":34,"syncedAt":42,"createdAt":43,"marketCount":44},"257075","us-federally-charges-cuba-leader-miguel-diaz-canel","US federally charges Cuba leader Miguel Diaz-Canel?","This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States federal government formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of Cuban President Miguel Diaz-Canel between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.","US federally charges Cuba leader Miguel Diaz-Canel? is a prediction market asking whether the United States federal government will formally charge or announce a criminal indictment against Cuban President Miguel Diaz-Canel by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The event is resolved using official U.S. government sources, with credible reporting also considered if needed. This forecast centers on a geopolitical legal action involving Cuba, the Cuban presidency, and U.S. federal authorities, making it relevant to markets tracking foreign policy, diplomacy, and regime-related developments. Traders are effectively pricing the expected outcome of whether an indictment or formal charge will be announced during the market window, not whether any broader political pressure exists. As of the latest data, the market implies a probability of about 14.5%, suggesting a relatively low but non-trivial chance of a Yes resolution. Because the market remains open through the end date, sentiment can shift quickly if new official statements or major reporting emerge.","ELECTIONS","Venezuela",[11,13,14,15,16,17,18,19],"Trump","President","Cuba","president of cuba","indict","Geopolitics","communism","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\u002Fmiguel-diaz-canel-cuban-president-charged-in-the-us-Ai5PHSHl8E8D.jpg",14.5,1723.465929,16126.586664999999,13091.3083,8752.560142,8317.970624,true,false,"2026-03-09T21:25:45.052Z","2026-06-30T00:00:00.000Z","2026-03-09T19:47:40.181Z","2026-06-16T10:01:34.419Z","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket.com\u002Fevent\u002Fus-federally-charges-cuba-leader-miguel-diaz-canel?r=predstack",[35,36,37,38,39,40,41],"us federally charges cuba leader miguel diaz-canel?","us federally charges cuba leader miguel diaz-canel? prediction","us federally charges cuba leader miguel diaz-canel? odds","us federally charges cuba leader miguel diaz-canel? probability","election prediction market","election forecast","election odds","2026-06-16T10:28:35.768Z","2026-06-16T10:08:26.240Z",0,[46,64,79],{"id":47,"title":48,"slug":49,"category":10,"subcategory":50,"tags":51,"probability":58,"createdAt":59,"updatedAt":60,"resolutionDate":61,"description":62,"summary":62,"volume1wk":63,"featured":27},"106520","Peru Presidential Election Winner","peru-presidential-election-winner","Politics",[50,52,53,54,55,56,57],"Global Elections","World Elections","Elections","Peru","Peru Election","Main Election",0.15,"2026-05-30T10:42:44.740Z","2026-06-16T10:02:41.642Z","2026-04-12T00:00:00.000Z","General elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Peruvian Presidential election. \n\nThis market includes any potential second round. \n\nIf the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https:\u002F\u002Fwww.onpe.gob.pe\u002Felecciones\u002F) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https:\u002F\u002Fportal.jne.gob.pe\u002Fportal\u002F) ",16525619.599477056,{"id":65,"title":66,"slug":67,"category":10,"subcategory":53,"tags":68,"probability":73,"createdAt":74,"updatedAt":75,"resolutionDate":76,"description":77,"summary":77,"volume1wk":78,"featured":27},"30829","Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028","democratic-presidential-nominee-2028",[53,52,54,50,69,70,71,72],"US Election","Earn 4%","Primaries","United States",1.05,"2026-05-30T10:42:43.593Z","2026-06-16T10:06:50.972Z","2028-11-07T00:00:00.000Z","This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.\n\nAny replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.",9084772.468148999,{"id":80,"title":81,"slug":82,"category":10,"subcategory":53,"tags":83,"probability":84,"createdAt":85,"updatedAt":86,"resolutionDate":76,"description":87,"summary":87,"volume1wk":88,"featured":27},"31552","Presidential Election Winner 2028","presidential-election-winner-2028",[53,52,69,54,50,70,14,72,57],0.65,"2026-05-30T10:42:43.733Z","2026-06-16T10:05:49.318Z","The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028.\n\nThis market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.",6422552.3238429995,1781606235739]