[{"data":1,"prerenderedAt":81},["ShallowReactive",2],{"event-page-us-embassy-in-damaskus-reopend-by":3},{"event":4,"related":40},{"id":5,"slug":6,"title":7,"description":8,"summary":9,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":12,"image":16,"probability":17,"volume24hr":18,"volume1wk":19,"liquidity":20,"openInterest":21,"trendScore":22,"active":23,"closed":24,"featured":24,"startDate":25,"endDate":26,"createdAtRemote":27,"updatedAtRemote":28,"affiliateUrl":29,"polymarketUrl":29,"searchKeywords":30,"syncedAt":38,"createdAt":39,"marketCount":17},"81428","us-embassy-in-damaskus-reopend-by","U.S. Embassy in Damascus reopened by...?","The United States has suspended operations of the Embassy in Damascus since February 6, 2012. As of market creation, the Government of the Czech Republic serves as the protecting power for U.S. interests in Syria and provides limited consular services to U.S. citizens.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the U.S. government announces the reopening of its embassy in Damascus or if such a reopening is otherwise confirmed by 11:59 PM ET on the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nAn official announcement made within this market’s timeframe will qualify for a \"Yes\" resolution regardless of whether an actual embassy opening subsequently takes place within the timeframe.\n\nAny opening of a U.S. embassy in Damascus will qualify regardless of its exact location.\n\nAnnouncements that do not clearly commit to opening an embassy, such as general diplomatic statements, exploratory comments, or partial\u002Fconditional steps, will not count.\n\nThe resolution source will be official statements from the Governments of the U.S. and Syria; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.","U.S. Embassy in Damascus reopened by...? is a geopolitics prediction market focused on whether the United States will announce the reopening of its embassy in Damascus, Syria, or otherwise confirm that the mission has been reopened by the specified deadline. The market resolves to Yes if an official U.S. government announcement is made within the timeframe, even if the physical reopening occurs later, and it also counts a reopening at any location in Damascus. General diplomatic statements, exploratory comments, or partial steps do not qualify. This makes the event a straightforward forecast of a concrete policy move in U.S.-Syria relations, with official statements from the U.S. and Syrian governments, plus credible reporting, used as resolution sources. The market is active from November 14, 2025 through December 31, 2026. Current market probability is 0%, indicating traders see no immediate expectation of reopening. As a Middle East event prediction, it reflects market sentiment around diplomatic normalization, consular access, and the broader geopolitical outlook for Syria.","GEOPOLITICS","Middle East",[11,13,14,15],"Syria","Politics","Geopolitics","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\u002Fus-embassy-in-damaskus-reopend-by-june-30-2026-FXFNM3EjmaDx.jpg",0,52.3,15956.536746,17217.64651,9426.249514000001,8256.6403258,true,false,"2025-11-14T22:21:45.057Z","2026-12-31T00:00:00.000Z","2025-11-14T15:17:26.661Z","2026-06-16T10:02:05.796Z","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket.com\u002Fevent\u002Fus-embassy-in-damaskus-reopend-by?r=predstack",[31,32,33,34,35,36,37],"u.s. embassy in damascus reopened by...?","u.s. embassy in damascus reopened by...? prediction","u.s. embassy in damascus reopened by...? odds","u.s. embassy in damascus reopened by...? probability","geopolitics prediction market","geopolitical forecast","geopolitical probability","2026-06-16T10:08:26.452Z","2026-05-30T10:43:17.223Z",[41,55,69],{"id":42,"title":43,"slug":44,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":45,"probability":49,"createdAt":50,"updatedAt":51,"resolutionDate":52,"description":53,"summary":53,"volume1wk":54,"featured":23},"429456","Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?","iran-agrees-to-end-enrichment-of-uranium-by-may-31-945",[11,46,47,15,48],"Iran Ceasefire","U.S. x Iran","Iran",3.1,"2026-05-30T10:42:47.765Z","2026-05-30T10:37:12.706Z","2026-05-31T00:00:00.000Z","This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nAn official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.\n\nAny agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if\u002Fwhen the agreement goes into effect.\n\nAn agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.\n\nAn agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal. \n\nAgreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. ",773488.0177810004,{"id":56,"title":57,"slug":58,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":59,"probability":63,"createdAt":64,"updatedAt":65,"resolutionDate":66,"description":67,"summary":67,"volume1wk":68,"featured":24},"108031","US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?","us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-june-30",[11,60,48,61,14,15,46,62],"World","Israel","Nuclear",39.5,"2026-05-30T10:42:45.883Z","2026-05-30T10:38:49.653Z","2026-06-30T00:00:00.000Z","This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and\u002For nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nIf such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to \"Yes\", regardless of if\u002Fwhen the agreement goes into effect.\n\nAgreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and\u002For the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.",1609108.003832003,{"id":70,"title":71,"slug":72,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":73,"probability":76,"createdAt":77,"updatedAt":78,"resolutionDate":26,"description":79,"summary":79,"volume1wk":80,"featured":24},"237598","Iran leader end of 2026?","iran-leader-end-of-2026",[11,48,60,15,14,74,75],"Iran Regime","Rewards 50, 4.5, 100 Deprec",2.35,"2026-05-30T10:42:45.750Z","2026-06-16T10:07:06.068Z","This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of the Islamic Republic of Iran on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary governing authority over the Iranian state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.\n\nFormal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.\n\nIf more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Iran’s territory at the specified time.\n\nIndicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.\n\nSymbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.\n\nIf no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.",1419392.740783,1781606274625]