[{"data":1,"prerenderedAt":88},["ShallowReactive",2],{"event-page-university-of-michigan-consumer-sentiment-june-2026":3},{"event":4,"related":41},{"id":5,"slug":6,"title":7,"description":8,"summary":9,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":12,"image":16,"probability":17,"volume24hr":18,"volume1wk":19,"liquidity":20,"openInterest":21,"trendScore":22,"active":23,"closed":24,"featured":24,"startDate":25,"endDate":26,"createdAtRemote":27,"updatedAtRemote":28,"affiliateUrl":29,"polymarketUrl":29,"searchKeywords":30,"syncedAt":38,"createdAt":39,"marketCount":40},"535176","university-of-michigan-consumer-sentiment-june-2026","University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment - June 2026","This is a market about the University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment (ICS) for June 2026, as reported by the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers.\n\nThis market will resolve to the bracket containing the final University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment for June 2026, as reported in the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release for June 2026 (https:\u002F\u002Fdata.sca.isr.umich.edu\u002F), currently scheduled to be released on June 26, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.\n\nNote: This market resolves based only on the final results for the specified month; preliminary results will not be considered. \n\nNote: University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment is reported to one decimal point (e.g., 44.8). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nIf the University of Michigan does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Surveys of Consumers report. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.","The University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment - June 2026 prediction market asks traders to forecast the final University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment (ICS) for June 2026, as reported in the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers. This economy and consumer-focused event resolves to the bracket that contains the final monthly reading, using the official final release rather than preliminary figures. The report is scheduled for release on June 26, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET, and the market will settle when that data becomes available. If the scheduled release is delayed, the market may remain open until the next Surveys of Consumers report window, with fallback rules tied to the most recent available month. Current market probability is about 7%, suggesting traders see a low likelihood of the relevant outcome in this prediction market. Because the University of Michigan consumer sentiment index is reported to one decimal place, the forecast is based on that exact level of precision. This event matters because consumer sentiment is a closely watched economic indicator that can influence views on household confidence, spending, and broader market sentiment.","ECONOMY","Consumer",[11,13,14,15],"UMich","rewards 200, 4.5, 20 Deprec","Economy","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\u002Funiversity-of-michigan-consumer-sentiment-june-2026-cfoR9ndL6mq5.jpg",7,5572.838014999999,59430.502178999996,29030.40989,7802.579678,26421.651639199998,true,false,"2026-05-29T23:07:44.530Z","2026-06-26T06:00:00.000Z","2026-05-28T17:37:50.194Z","2026-06-16T10:02:18.898Z","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket.com\u002Fevent\u002Funiversity-of-michigan-consumer-sentiment-june-2026?r=predstack",[31,32,33,34,35,36,37],"university of michigan consumer sentiment - june 2026","university of michigan consumer sentiment - june 2026 prediction","university of michigan consumer sentiment - june 2026 odds","university of michigan consumer sentiment - june 2026 probability","economy prediction market","economic forecast","economic probability","2026-06-16T10:15:50.127Z","2026-06-16T10:08:07.763Z",0,[42,60,73],{"id":43,"title":44,"slug":45,"category":10,"subcategory":46,"tags":47,"probability":54,"createdAt":55,"updatedAt":56,"resolutionDate":57,"description":58,"summary":58,"volume1wk":59,"featured":24},"524097","Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?","strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-june-15","transit",[46,48,49,15,50,51,52,53],"Iran","Oil","Geopolitics","ships","Strait of Hormuz","Hormuz",0.25,"2026-05-30T10:42:46.055Z","2026-06-16T10:01:37.704Z","2026-06-15T00:00:00.000Z","This market will resolve to “Yes” if IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz equal to or above 60 for any date between market creation and June 15, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nDaily transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on\u002Froll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.\n\nThis market will resolve as soon as IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls equal to or above the specified level, or once data has been published for the final date in the specified period and no such value has been published. If no data has been published for the final date of the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) after the end of that period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point.\n\nRevisions to previously published data points made within this market’s timeframe will be considered. However, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from qualifying. Revisions to previously published data points after data is published for June 15, 2026, however, will not be considered.\n\nIn case of obvious data integrity issues (i.e., erroneous data), the market may remain open until the end of the third calendar day (ET) after the date on which such data is first released to allow for corrections. Data integrity issues refer only to clerical or other similar errors in the underlying data, and do not include cases where IMF Portwatch differs from alternative sources.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https:\u002F\u002Fportwatch.imf.org\u002Fpages\u002Fcb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.",6251167.383993982,{"id":61,"title":62,"slug":63,"category":10,"subcategory":52,"tags":64,"probability":67,"createdAt":68,"updatedAt":69,"resolutionDate":70,"description":71,"summary":71,"volume1wk":72,"featured":24},"455867","Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?","strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31",[52,15,65,66,51,48,49,50],"Iran Ceasefire","Politics",60.5,"2026-05-30T10:42:46.752Z","2026-06-16T10:07:32.502Z","2026-07-31T00:00:00.000Z","This market will resolve to “Yes” if IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz equal to or above 60 for any date between market creation and July 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nDaily transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on\u002Froll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.\n\nThis market will resolve as soon as IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls equal to or above the specified level, or once data has been published for the final date in the specified period and no such value has been published. If no data has been published for the final date of the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) after the end of that period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point.\n\nRevisions to previously published data points made within this market’s timeframe will be considered. However, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from qualifying. Revisions to previously published data points after data is published for July 31, 2026, however, will not be considered.\n\nIn case of obvious data integrity issues (i.e., erroneous data), the market may remain open until the end of the third calendar day (ET) after the date on which such data is first released to allow for corrections. Data integrity issues refer only to clerical or other similar errors in the underlying data, and do not include cases where IMF Portwatch differs from alternative sources.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https:\u002F\u002Fportwatch.imf.org\u002Fpages\u002Fcb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.",2661137.388396002,{"id":74,"title":75,"slug":76,"category":10,"subcategory":77,"tags":78,"probability":82,"createdAt":83,"updatedAt":84,"resolutionDate":85,"description":86,"summary":86,"volume1wk":87,"featured":24},"385557","Largest Company end of May?","largest-company-end-of-may-167","Tech",[77,15,79,80,81],"Finance","Big Tech","Business",99.95,"2026-05-30T10:42:45.200Z","2026-05-30T10:37:43.438Z","2026-05-31T06:00:00.000Z","This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31, 2026, as of market close.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.",2345554.2487270003,1781606240406]