[{"data":1,"prerenderedAt":85},["ShallowReactive",2],{"event-page-ukraine-election-held-in-2025":3},{"event":4,"related":42},{"id":5,"slug":6,"title":7,"description":8,"summary":9,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":12,"image":18,"probability":19,"volume24hr":20,"volume1wk":21,"liquidity":22,"openInterest":23,"trendScore":24,"active":25,"closed":26,"featured":26,"startDate":27,"endDate":28,"createdAtRemote":29,"updatedAtRemote":30,"affiliateUrl":31,"polymarketUrl":31,"searchKeywords":32,"syncedAt":40,"createdAt":41,"marketCount":19},"18576","ukraine-election-held-in-2025","Ukraine election held by...?","This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if national elections for the parliament and\u002For presidency of Ukraine are held between February 12 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThis market is based on whether national elections are actually held in Ukraine within the specified dates. Merely scheduling an election will not be sufficient to resolve this market to \"Yes\".\n\nIf elections are officially scheduled for a date outside of 2025, this market will immediately resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.","Ukraine election held by...? is a prediction market asking whether national elections for Ukraine’s parliament and\u002For presidency will actually be held between February 12 and December 31, 2025. The outcome depends on elections being conducted within that window; simply announcing or scheduling a vote is not enough to resolve the market to Yes. If an election is officially scheduled for a date outside 2025, the market resolves No. The primary resolution source is official information from the government of Ukraine, with credible reporting used as a backup. This election forecast matters because it sits at the center of Ukraine politics, geopolitics, and foreign policy, including broader attention on the Trump-Zelenskyy relationship. Market sentiment can be read through traders’ expected outcome and odds, with the current probability shown at 0%, indicating the market was not pricing in a 2025 election at the time of the latest data. The event started on February 14, 2025 and runs through December 31, 2025, making it a time-sensitive election prediction for world events and political risk watchers.","ELECTIONS","World",[11,13,14,15,16,17],"Ukraine","Politics","Geopolitics","Foreign Policy","Trump-Zelenskyy","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\u002Fukraine-election-held-in-2025-H6Udnejt6bIP.jpg",0,2043.277,21407.551240000004,34042.78947,52943.552071,14252.461766000002,true,false,"2025-02-14T00:02:53.059Z","2025-12-31T12:00:00.000Z","2025-02-13T23:40:55.577Z","2026-06-16T10:01:55.584Z","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket.com\u002Fevent\u002Fukraine-election-held-in-2025?r=predstack",[33,34,35,36,37,38,39],"ukraine election held by...?","ukraine election held by...? prediction","ukraine election held by...? odds","ukraine election held by...? probability","election prediction market","election forecast","election odds","2026-06-16T10:24:37.476Z","2026-06-16T10:08:21.188Z",[43,58,71],{"id":44,"title":45,"slug":46,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":47,"probability":52,"createdAt":53,"updatedAt":54,"resolutionDate":55,"description":56,"summary":56,"volume1wk":57,"featured":26},"34582"," Colombia Presidential Election 1st round winner?","colombia-presidential-election-1st-round-winner",[11,48,49,14,50,51],"Elections","Global Elections","Colombia Election","Colombia",0.05,"2026-05-30T10:42:46.454Z","2026-05-30T10:31:15.449Z","2026-05-31T16:00:00.000Z","Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the greatest number of valid votes in the first round of voting.\n\nIf the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https:\u002F\u002Fregistraduria.gov.co).",1259697.8105839998,{"id":59,"title":60,"slug":61,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":62,"probability":65,"createdAt":66,"updatedAt":67,"resolutionDate":68,"description":69,"summary":69,"volume1wk":70,"featured":26},"108639","Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?","putin-out-as-president-of-russia-by-june-30",[11,63,13,64,14,15],"Russia","putin",0.85,"2026-05-30T10:42:50.407Z","2026-06-16T10:01:38.550Z","2026-06-30T00:00:00.000Z","This market will resolve to “Yes” if Vladimir Putin ceases to be President of Russia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nAn announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation\u002Fremoval before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to \"Yes\", regardless of when the announced resignation\u002Fremoval goes into effect.\n\nIf the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",198937.25652499995,{"id":72,"title":73,"slug":74,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":75,"probability":79,"createdAt":80,"updatedAt":81,"resolutionDate":82,"description":83,"summary":83,"volume1wk":84,"featured":26},"106049","Armenia Parliamentary Election Winner","armenia-parliamentary-election-winner",[11,76,14,49,48,77,78],"Armenia","World Elections","Main Election",89,"2026-05-30T10:42:59.844Z","2026-05-30T10:30:46.100Z","2026-06-07T00:00:00.000Z","Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Armenia on June 7, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Armenian National Assembly in this election.\n\nIf voting in the Armenian parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nIn the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.\n\nThis market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Armenian National Assembly. \n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Armenian government, specifically the Armenian Central Election Commission (https:\u002F\u002Fwww.elections.am\u002F).",66273.7367,1781606235759]