[{"data":1,"prerenderedAt":82},["ShallowReactive",2],{"event-page-ukraine-calls-a-referendum-on-peace-deal-with-russia-by-january-31":3},{"event":4,"related":44},{"id":5,"slug":6,"title":7,"description":8,"summary":9,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":12,"image":20,"probability":21,"volume24hr":22,"volume1wk":23,"liquidity":24,"openInterest":25,"trendScore":26,"active":27,"closed":28,"featured":28,"startDate":29,"endDate":30,"createdAtRemote":31,"updatedAtRemote":32,"affiliateUrl":33,"polymarketUrl":33,"searchKeywords":34,"syncedAt":42,"createdAt":43,"marketCount":21},"125790","ukraine-calls-a-referendum-on-peace-deal-with-russia-by-january-31","Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by...?","This market will resolve to “Yes” if a peace referendum on the Russo-Ukrainian war is officially scheduled in Ukraine by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. \n\nA peace referendum for the Russo-Ukrainian war refers to any nationwide vote relating to peace in the Russo-Ukrainian war or over a peace deal to end the war.\n\nA qualifying referendum will be considered to be scheduled once a date for the referendum to take place has been officially scheduled and publicly announced by a relevant Ukrainian government authority with the legal jurisdiction to do so. \n\nOnce a qualifying referendum has been scheduled, this market will resolve to “Yes.” Subsequent legal challenges or other challenges to the legitimacy of the referendum will not affect resolution of this market.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by...? is a prediction market asking whether Ukraine will officially schedule a nationwide referendum on a peace deal related to the Russo-Ukrainian war by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The event turns on a simple forecast: will a relevant Ukrainian government authority publicly announce a legal date for a peace referendum before the deadline? In this market, a qualifying schedule must be officially set and announced; later legal challenges would not change the outcome. \n\nThe event matters because it sits at the intersection of Ukraine, Russia, Zelensky, Putin, and the broader geopolitics of the war, making it a closely watched signal for any possible peace process. As of the latest data, market probability is shown at 0%, suggesting traders currently assign no chance to the expected outcome, though sentiment can shift quickly as negotiations or official statements emerge. The market uses official Ukrainian government information as the primary resolution source, with credible reporting as a backup. For election prediction market and event prediction watchers, this listing tracks whether a peace referendum becomes formally scheduled before the January deadline.","ELECTIONS","Trump",[11,13,14,15,16,17,18,19],"zelensky","Ukraine","Geopolitics","putin","Politics","Russia","Ukraine Peace Deal","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\u002Fukraine-calls-a-referendum-on-peace-deal-with-russia-by-january-31-E9LF9U8eRD0W.jpg",0,535.133332,16248.59712,34970.7729,30146.784613000003,12136.300382000001,true,false,"2025-12-26T23:54:27.311Z","2026-12-31T00:00:00.000Z","2025-12-26T22:56:39.898Z","2026-05-30T10:40:21.294Z","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket.com\u002Fevent\u002Fukraine-calls-a-referendum-on-peace-deal-with-russia-by-january-31?r=predstack",[35,36,37,38,39,40,41],"ukraine peace referendum scheduled by...?","ukraine peace referendum scheduled by...? prediction","ukraine peace referendum scheduled by...? odds","ukraine peace referendum scheduled by...? probability","election prediction market","election forecast","election odds","2026-06-05T13:38:02.554Z","2026-05-30T10:43:18.819Z",[45,56,68],{"id":46,"title":47,"slug":48,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":49,"probability":50,"createdAt":51,"updatedAt":52,"resolutionDate":53,"description":54,"summary":54,"volume1wk":55,"featured":28},"424292","Trump out as President by May 31?","trump-out-as-president-by-may-31",[11,17],0.05,"2026-05-30T10:42:46.411Z","2026-05-30T10:39:57.649Z","2026-05-31T00:00:00.000Z","This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nAn announcement of Donald Trump's resignation\u002Fremoval before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to \"Yes\", regardless of when the announced resignation\u002Fremoval goes into effect.\n\nOnly permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.\n\nA sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a \"Yes\" resolution. \n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.",1290998.4749839995,{"id":57,"title":58,"slug":59,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":60,"probability":62,"createdAt":63,"updatedAt":64,"resolutionDate":65,"description":66,"summary":66,"volume1wk":67,"featured":28},"261273","Trump out as President by June 30?","trump-out-as-president-by-june-30",[11,61,17],"Elections",1.2,"2026-05-30T10:42:51.995Z","2026-05-30T10:30:27.784Z","2026-06-30T00:00:00.000Z","This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nAn announcement of Donald Trump's resignation\u002Fremoval before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to \"Yes\", regardless of when the announced resignation\u002Fremoval goes into effect.\n\nOnly permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.\n\nA sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a \"Yes\" resolution. \n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.",220747.43252000018,{"id":69,"title":70,"slug":71,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":72,"probability":21,"createdAt":77,"updatedAt":78,"resolutionDate":79,"description":80,"summary":80,"volume1wk":81,"featured":28},"52630","Will the GOP use 'Nuclear Option' to break filibuster by...?","will-the-gop-use-nuclear-option-to-break-filibuster",[11,73,17,74,75,76],"Senate","Trump Presidency","Gov Shutdown","Congress","2026-05-30T10:43:09.570Z","2026-05-30T10:31:49.436Z","2026-03-31T00:00:00.000Z","This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the US Senate passes a motion to invoke cloture and end debate on any part of the legislative process, with such a cloture motion receiving Yea votes from fewer than three-fifths of the Senators by October 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve \"No\".\n\nConfirmations are considered part of the Senate’s “advice and consent” function, not part of the Senate’s “legislative process,” and will therefore not count towards this market's resolution.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. government.",28147.440836,1780676657733]