[{"data":1,"prerenderedAt":86},["ShallowReactive",2],{"event-page-two-spacex-starships-dock-together-by":3},{"event":4,"related":45},{"id":5,"slug":6,"title":7,"description":8,"summary":9,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":12,"image":20,"probability":21,"volume24hr":22,"volume1wk":23,"liquidity":24,"openInterest":25,"trendScore":26,"active":27,"closed":28,"featured":28,"startDate":29,"endDate":30,"createdAtRemote":31,"updatedAtRemote":32,"affiliateUrl":33,"polymarketUrl":33,"searchKeywords":34,"syncedAt":42,"createdAt":43,"marketCount":44},"584288","two-spacex-starships-dock-together-by","Two SpaceX Starships dock together by…?","This market will resolve to “Yes” if two SpaceX Starships successfully execute a docking maneuver in a stable Earth orbit between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nA qualifying docking maneuver must physically join two vessels, matching in velocity, into a connected structure via mating hardware for at least 60 continuous seconds. The two vessels must be in stable Earth orbit with a perigee of at least 100 kilometers above the Earth’s surface.\n\nThe docking of any two SpaceX vessels which each serve as an integrated rocket-and-spacecraft and both equal or exceed Starship in scale will qualify regardless of their contents or variant (standard, tanker, depot, HLS, test article, etc.). The two vessels must be free-flying. Any capsule or payload carried to orbit exclusively atop a separate launch vehicle will not qualify. If either vessel is passively placed into the mating interface of the other vessel, that conjunction will not qualify.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.","Two SpaceX Starships dock together by…? is a prediction market on whether two SpaceX Starship-class vehicles will successfully perform a docking maneuver in stable Earth orbit before the market deadline of 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2028. The event resolves to Yes only if the two free-flying spacecraft physically join in orbit, match velocity, connect via mating hardware, and remain attached for at least 60 continuous seconds. Any docking attempt involving a capsule or payload launched on another vehicle does not qualify under the market rules.\n\nThis forecast matters because orbital docking is a key capability for SpaceX’s broader spaceflight plans, including potential tanker, depot, and lunar mission operations. Market sentiment currently places the event probability at 53%, suggesting traders see roughly even odds that SpaceX will achieve the milestone within the listed timeframe. The resolution source is a consensus of credible reporting, making this a classic event prediction tied to real-world SpaceX and Starship development progress.","OTHER","SpaceX",[11,13,14,15,16,17,18,19],"space exploration","starship","Big Tech","Tech","launch","Elon Musk","Space","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\u002Ftwo-spacex-starships-dock-together-by-40lKMvipOIgS.jpg",53,2129.960481,18179.402094,19077.2837,2965.737679,10334.2576087,true,false,"2026-06-11T17:31:22.553Z","2028-12-31T00:00:00.000Z","2026-06-11T16:51:27.587Z","2026-06-16T10:03:19.027Z","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket.com\u002Fevent\u002Ftwo-spacex-starships-dock-together-by?r=predstack",[35,36,37,38,39,40,41],"two spacex starships dock together by…?","two spacex starships dock together by…? prediction","two spacex starships dock together by…? odds","two spacex starships dock together by…? probability","prediction market","forecast market","event probability","2026-06-16T10:26:45.512Z","2026-06-16T10:08:23.956Z",0,[46,61,74],{"id":47,"title":48,"slug":49,"category":10,"subcategory":50,"tags":51,"probability":55,"createdAt":56,"updatedAt":57,"resolutionDate":58,"description":59,"summary":59,"volume1wk":60,"featured":28},"125877","Will Crude Oil (CL) hit__ by end of June?","cl-hit-jun-2026","Commodities",[50,52,53,54],"Hide From New","NYMEX Crude Oil Futures","Oil",100,"2026-05-30T10:42:45.262Z","2026-06-16T10:04:52.325Z","2026-06-30T18:30:00.000Z","This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Crude Oil (CL) futures is equal to or above the listed price by the final trading day of June 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nFor CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.\n\nOnly the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.\n\nNote that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.\n\nOnly days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily \"Settlement\" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.",3539249.6581530003,{"id":62,"title":63,"slug":64,"category":10,"subcategory":65,"tags":66,"probability":44,"createdAt":69,"updatedAt":70,"resolutionDate":71,"description":72,"summary":72,"volume1wk":73,"featured":28},"32226","Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by...?","jeffrey-epstein-foul-play-confirmed-in-2025","Trump",[65,67,68],"Trump Presidency","Epstein","2026-05-30T10:42:57.450Z","2026-06-16T10:00:32.009Z","2026-12-31T00:00:00.000Z","This market will resolve to “Yes” if definitive evidence confirming the the incident on August 10, 2019, involving Jeffrey Epstein involved foul play is released by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nStatements from the U.S. government indicating that there was foul play will qualify for a \"Yes\" resolution.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from any US government agency, law enforcement agencies, and courts, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",90168.52233300004,{"id":75,"title":76,"slug":77,"category":10,"subcategory":78,"tags":79,"probability":80,"createdAt":81,"updatedAt":82,"resolutionDate":83,"description":84,"summary":84,"volume1wk":85,"featured":28},"169319","Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?","will-elon-musk-buy-ryanair","Business",[78,16,18],0.6,"2026-05-30T10:43:01.856Z","2026-06-16T10:01:54.624Z","2026-06-30T00:00:00.000Z","On January 16, Elon Musk posted that buying Ryanair might be a \"good idea.\" You can read more about that here: https:\u002F\u002Fx.com\u002Felonmusk\u002Fstatus\u002F2012172825444913299\n\nThis market will resolve to “Yes” if credible reporting confirms that Elon Musk, either personally or through an entity led or majority owned by him, enters into an agreement to buy Ryanair by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nAn announced agreement between Elon Musk and Ryanair will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the acquisition is ultimately completed.\n\nAn agreement to merge with a qualifying entity will count toward \"Yes\" resolution.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market is official information from Elon Musk and Ryanair, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",74519.411138,1781606282699]