[{"data":1,"prerenderedAt":83},["ShallowReactive",2],{"event-page-trump-meets-with-mojtaba-khamenei-by":3},{"event":4,"related":44},{"id":5,"slug":6,"title":7,"description":8,"summary":9,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":12,"image":19,"probability":20,"volume24hr":21,"volume1wk":22,"liquidity":23,"openInterest":24,"trendScore":25,"active":26,"closed":27,"featured":27,"startDate":28,"endDate":29,"createdAtRemote":30,"updatedAtRemote":31,"affiliateUrl":32,"polymarketUrl":32,"searchKeywords":33,"syncedAt":41,"createdAt":42,"marketCount":43},"555963","trump-meets-with-mojtaba-khamenei-by","Trump meets with Ayatollah Mojtaba Khamenei by...?","This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Donald Trump meets with Mojtaba Khamenei between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA meeting is defined as any encounter where both specified individuals are present and interact with each other in person.\n\nAn exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.\n\nThe resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.","\"Trump meets with Ayatollah Mojtaba Khamenei by...?\" is a geopolitics prediction market in the Middle East category tracking whether Donald Trump will meet with Mojtaba Khamenei before the market’s deadline of 11:59 PM ET on the listed end date. The event resolves to Yes only if credible reporting confirms a direct, in-person interaction between the two individuals, such as a conversation, handshake, or other clear personal exchange. Simply appearing in the same venue is not enough. \n\nThis forecast matters because any Trump-Khamenei meeting would be a significant development in U.S.-Iran relations and broader Middle East politics, especially given the market’s reference to Iran and an Iran ceasefire context. Traders are currently assigning a high probability of about 85% to the expected outcome, suggesting the market sentiment leans strongly toward a meeting occurring before resolution. As with any prediction market, that probability reflects current odds and event prediction activity, not certainty. The resolution will rely on consensus credible reporting.","GEOPOLITICS","Middle East",[11,13,14,15,16,17,18],"Trump","Iran","Iran Ceasefire","Geopolitics","Politics","ayatollah","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\u002Ftrump-meets-with-mojtaba-khamenei-by-gFoZjog6CCDK.jpg",0.85,3811.887966,15770.706133999998,61744.23327,27331.351069,18986.0024772,true,false,"2026-06-04T17:56:29.476Z","2026-12-31T00:00:00.000Z","2026-06-03T18:16:27.801Z","2026-06-16T10:00:29.996Z","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket.com\u002Fevent\u002Ftrump-meets-with-mojtaba-khamenei-by?r=predstack",[34,35,36,37,38,39,40],"trump meets with ayatollah mojtaba khamenei by...?","trump meets with ayatollah mojtaba khamenei by...? prediction","trump meets with ayatollah mojtaba khamenei by...? odds","trump meets with ayatollah mojtaba khamenei by...? probability","geopolitics prediction market","geopolitical forecast","geopolitical probability","2026-06-16T10:28:52.670Z","2026-06-16T10:08:26.664Z",0,[45,57,71],{"id":46,"title":47,"slug":48,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":49,"probability":51,"createdAt":52,"updatedAt":53,"resolutionDate":54,"description":55,"summary":55,"volume1wk":56,"featured":26},"429456","Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?","iran-agrees-to-end-enrichment-of-uranium-by-may-31-945",[11,15,50,16,14],"U.S. x Iran",3.1,"2026-05-30T10:42:47.765Z","2026-05-30T10:37:12.706Z","2026-05-31T00:00:00.000Z","This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nAn official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.\n\nAny agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if\u002Fwhen the agreement goes into effect.\n\nAn agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.\n\nAn agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal. \n\nAgreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. ",773488.0177810004,{"id":58,"title":59,"slug":60,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":61,"probability":65,"createdAt":66,"updatedAt":67,"resolutionDate":68,"description":69,"summary":69,"volume1wk":70,"featured":27},"108031","US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?","us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-june-30",[11,62,14,63,17,16,15,64],"World","Israel","Nuclear",39.5,"2026-05-30T10:42:45.883Z","2026-05-30T10:38:49.653Z","2026-06-30T00:00:00.000Z","This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and\u002For nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nIf such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to \"Yes\", regardless of if\u002Fwhen the agreement goes into effect.\n\nAgreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and\u002For the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.",1609108.003832003,{"id":72,"title":73,"slug":74,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":75,"probability":78,"createdAt":79,"updatedAt":80,"resolutionDate":29,"description":81,"summary":81,"volume1wk":82,"featured":27},"237598","Iran leader end of 2026?","iran-leader-end-of-2026",[11,14,62,16,17,76,77],"Iran Regime","Rewards 50, 4.5, 100 Deprec",2.35,"2026-05-30T10:42:45.750Z","2026-06-16T10:07:06.068Z","This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of the Islamic Republic of Iran on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary governing authority over the Iranian state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.\n\nFormal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.\n\nIf more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Iran’s territory at the specified time.\n\nIndicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.\n\nSymbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.\n\nIf no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.",1419392.740783,1781809667624]