[{"data":1,"prerenderedAt":79},["ShallowReactive",2],{"event-page-trump-approval-rating-on-may-29":3},{"event":4,"related":41},{"id":5,"slug":6,"title":7,"description":8,"summary":9,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":12,"image":16,"probability":17,"volume24hr":18,"volume1wk":19,"liquidity":20,"openInterest":21,"trendScore":22,"active":23,"closed":24,"featured":24,"startDate":25,"endDate":26,"createdAtRemote":27,"updatedAtRemote":28,"affiliateUrl":29,"polymarketUrl":29,"searchKeywords":30,"syncedAt":38,"createdAt":39,"marketCount":40},"507669","trump-approval-rating-on-may-29","Trump approval rating on May 29?","This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on May 29, 2026.\n\nNote that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).\n\nThis market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https:\u002F\u002Fwww.natesilver.net\u002Fp\u002Ftrump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.\n\nThe resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.","Trump approval rating on May 29? is an election prediction market focused on whether Donald Trump’s approval rating, as reported by Silver Bulletin’s approval rating aggregator, will land at the specified level on May 29, 2026. The market resolves using the green trend-line approval figure for that date, with one-decimal precision, and if Silver Bulletin is unavailable, RealClearPolitics becomes the fallback source. This makes the event a straightforward forecast of Trump’s public approval at a specific point in time rather than a broader election outcome.\n\nThe market matters because presidential approval ratings often shape political sentiment, media coverage, and expectations around elections and governing strength. Traders in this prediction market are effectively pricing the expected outcome based on polling data, recent movement in approval trends, and broader market sentiment. The market opened on May 22, 2026 and is set to resolve on May 29, 2026. Current market probability is about 30%, indicating traders see the target outcome as possible but not the base case. As an election forecast, it combines approval polling, timing, and event prediction into a single odds-based view of Trump’s standing.","ELECTIONS","Trump",[11,13,14,15],"approvals","Politics","Approval","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\u002Ftrump-approval-rating-on-may-23-A1Y-0TrOmu6a.jpg",0.3,3627.7711480000003,16197.385959,16698.99823,4241.876072999999,10012.9010077,true,false,"2026-05-22T15:16:18.851Z","2026-05-29T00:00:00.000Z","2026-05-20T23:13:52.807Z","2026-05-30T10:31:57.673Z","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket.com\u002Fevent\u002Ftrump-approval-rating-on-may-29?r=predstack",[31,32,33,34,35,36,37],"trump approval rating on may 29?","trump approval rating on may 29? prediction","trump approval rating on may 29? odds","trump approval rating on may 29? probability","election prediction market","election forecast","election odds","2026-06-05T13:38:07.700Z","2026-05-30T10:43:18.906Z",0,[42,53,65],{"id":43,"title":44,"slug":45,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":46,"probability":47,"createdAt":48,"updatedAt":49,"resolutionDate":50,"description":51,"summary":51,"volume1wk":52,"featured":24},"424292","Trump out as President by May 31?","trump-out-as-president-by-may-31",[11,14],0.05,"2026-05-30T10:42:46.411Z","2026-05-30T10:39:57.649Z","2026-05-31T00:00:00.000Z","This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nAn announcement of Donald Trump's resignation\u002Fremoval before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to \"Yes\", regardless of when the announced resignation\u002Fremoval goes into effect.\n\nOnly permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.\n\nA sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a \"Yes\" resolution. \n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.",1290998.4749839995,{"id":54,"title":55,"slug":56,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":57,"probability":59,"createdAt":60,"updatedAt":61,"resolutionDate":62,"description":63,"summary":63,"volume1wk":64,"featured":24},"261273","Trump out as President by June 30?","trump-out-as-president-by-june-30",[11,58,14],"Elections",1.2,"2026-05-30T10:42:51.995Z","2026-05-30T10:30:27.784Z","2026-06-30T00:00:00.000Z","This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nAn announcement of Donald Trump's resignation\u002Fremoval before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to \"Yes\", regardless of when the announced resignation\u002Fremoval goes into effect.\n\nOnly permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.\n\nA sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a \"Yes\" resolution. \n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.",220747.43252000018,{"id":66,"title":67,"slug":68,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":69,"probability":40,"createdAt":74,"updatedAt":75,"resolutionDate":76,"description":77,"summary":77,"volume1wk":78,"featured":24},"52630","Will the GOP use 'Nuclear Option' to break filibuster by...?","will-the-gop-use-nuclear-option-to-break-filibuster",[11,70,14,71,72,73],"Senate","Trump Presidency","Gov Shutdown","Congress","2026-05-30T10:43:09.570Z","2026-05-30T10:31:49.436Z","2026-03-31T00:00:00.000Z","This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the US Senate passes a motion to invoke cloture and end debate on any part of the legislative process, with such a cloture motion receiving Yea votes from fewer than three-fifths of the Senators by October 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve \"No\".\n\nConfirmations are considered part of the Senate’s “advice and consent” function, not part of the Senate’s “legislative process,” and will therefore not count towards this market's resolution.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. government.",28147.440836,1780676621853]