[{"data":1,"prerenderedAt":84},["ShallowReactive",2],{"event-page-tesla-and-xai-merger-officially-announced-by-june-30":3},{"event":4,"related":46},{"id":5,"slug":6,"title":7,"description":8,"summary":9,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":12,"image":21,"probability":22,"volume24hr":23,"volume1wk":24,"liquidity":25,"openInterest":26,"trendScore":27,"active":28,"closed":29,"featured":29,"startDate":30,"endDate":31,"createdAtRemote":32,"updatedAtRemote":33,"affiliateUrl":34,"polymarketUrl":34,"searchKeywords":35,"syncedAt":43,"createdAt":44,"marketCount":45},"192925","tesla-and-xai-merger-officially-announced-by-june-30","Tesla and xAI merger officially announced by June 30?","This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if it is officially announced that Tesla, Inc. will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with xAI, or vice versa, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nAn announcement by Tesla or xAI within this market's timeframe will qualify for a \"Yes\" resolution, regardless of whether or when the announced acquisition\u002Fmerger actually occurs.\n\nAnnouncements of partial sales may count, as long as the acquiring company acquires a controlling interest in the other company. A “controlling interest” refers to a change in ownership sufficient to control the company’s strategic decisions (typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting and governance rights). Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest will not count.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Tesla or xAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","Tesla and xAI merger officially announced by June 30? is a technology prediction market focused on whether Tesla, Inc. and xAI will officially announce an acquisition or merger by June 30, 2026. The market resolves to Yes if Tesla or xAI publicly confirms that one company will be acquired by, merged with, or otherwise come under the control of the other within the deadline, including transactions that give a controlling interest. Partial sales only count if they create that level of control.\n\nThis event matters because it sits at the intersection of Big Tech, M&A, Elon Musk, and the broader business and science landscape. Traders are forecasting the odds that a major corporate move involving Tesla and xAI will be disclosed before the end date, with market sentiment currently pricing in a low probability of 4.25%. The forecast is based primarily on official statements from Tesla or xAI, though credible reporting may also influence resolution if needed.\n\nWith the market open from January 29, 2026 to June 30, 2026, participants are watching for any announcement that would satisfy the event prediction.","TECH","Tech",[11,13,14,15,16,17,18,19,20],"Climate & Science","Business","Science","M&A","Big Tech","Elon Musk","Economy","Tesla","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\u002Ftesla-and-xai-merger-officially-announced-by-june-30-rkhSB4Du9R3v.jpg",4.25,4436.647312999996,16213.632175000004,9780.87362,18387.766991,9038.588032999998,true,false,"2026-01-29T22:31:58.987Z","2026-06-30T00:00:00.000Z","2026-01-29T22:28:49.494Z","2026-05-30T10:33:31.406Z","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket.com\u002Fevent\u002Ftesla-and-xai-merger-officially-announced-by-june-30?r=predstack",[36,37,38,39,40,41,42],"tesla and xai merger officially announced by june 30?","tesla and xai merger officially announced by june 30? prediction","tesla and xai merger officially announced by june 30? odds","tesla and xai merger officially announced by june 30? probability","technology prediction market","tech forecast","technology probability","2026-06-05T13:38:05.204Z","2026-05-30T10:43:18.862Z",0,[47,61,72],{"id":48,"title":49,"slug":50,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":51,"probability":56,"createdAt":57,"updatedAt":58,"resolutionDate":31,"description":59,"summary":59,"volume1wk":60,"featured":29},"57705","Which company has best AI model end of June?","which-company-has-best-ai-model-end-of-june",[11,17,52,53,54,55],"GPT-5","Grok","OpenAI","AI",13.5,"2026-05-30T10:42:46.365Z","2026-05-30T10:34:07.757Z","This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https:\u002F\u002Flmarena.ai\u002F) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab is checked on June 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Rank\" section on the Leaderboard tab of https:\u002F\u002Flmarena.ai\u002Fleaderboard\u002Ftext with the style control off will be used to resolve this market.\n\nModels will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https:\u002F\u002Flmarena.ai\u002F. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.",1313459.0318739992,{"id":62,"title":63,"slug":64,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":65,"probability":67,"createdAt":68,"updatedAt":69,"resolutionDate":31,"description":70,"summary":70,"volume1wk":71,"featured":29},"117916","Which companies will have a #1 AI model by June 30?","which-companies-will-have-a-1-ai-model-by-june-30",[11,55,14,66,53],"DeepSeek",10.5,"2026-05-30T10:42:55.527Z","2026-05-30T10:40:19.799Z","This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the listed company has the highest arena score on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https:\u002F\u002Flmarena.ai\u002F) for any amount of time by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nResults from the \"Arena Score\" section on the Leaderboard tab of https:\u002F\u002Flmarena.ai\u002F with the style control unchecked will be used to resolve this market.\n\nIf a listed model ties for #1 Arena score, it will suffice to resolve this market to \"Yes.\"\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https:\u002F\u002Flmarena.ai\u002F. If this resolution source becomes unavailable, the market will remain open until it is accessible again. If it becomes permanently unavailable, resolution will be based on another credible source.\n",118988.89591899999,{"id":73,"title":74,"slug":75,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":76,"probability":78,"createdAt":79,"updatedAt":80,"resolutionDate":81,"description":82,"summary":82,"volume1wk":83,"featured":29},"376503","Which company has the third best AI model end of May?","which-company-has-the-third-best-ai-model-end-of-may",[11,17,55,77],"Rewards 20, 4.5, 50",97.45,"2026-05-30T10:43:01.898Z","2026-05-30T10:31:30.911Z","2026-05-31T00:00:00.000Z","This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the third-highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https:\u002F\u002Flmarena.ai\u002F) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab is checked on May 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Overall\" Leaderboard tab at https:\u002F\u002Flmarena.ai\u002Fleaderboard\u002Ftext with style control off will be used to resolve this market.\n\nModels will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking system.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https:\u002F\u002Flmarena.ai\u002F. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.",54539.83879999998,1780676595173]