[{"data":1,"prerenderedAt":90},["ShallowReactive",2],{"event-page-tamas-sulyok-out-as-president-of-hungary-by-june-30":3},{"event":4,"related":41},{"id":5,"slug":6,"title":7,"description":8,"summary":9,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":12,"image":16,"probability":17,"volume24hr":18,"volume1wk":19,"liquidity":20,"openInterest":21,"trendScore":22,"active":23,"closed":24,"featured":24,"startDate":25,"endDate":26,"createdAtRemote":27,"updatedAtRemote":28,"affiliateUrl":29,"polymarketUrl":29,"searchKeywords":30,"syncedAt":38,"createdAt":39,"marketCount":40},"379960","tamas-sulyok-out-as-president-of-hungary-by-june-30","Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?","This market will resolve to “Yes” if Tamas Sulyok ceases to be the President of Hungary for any period of time between market creation and June 30 (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nAn announcement of Sulyok's resignation\u002Fremoval before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to \"Yes\", regardless of when the announced resignation\u002Fremoval goes into effect.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from Tamas Sulyok and the Hungarian government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.\n","Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30? is a political prediction market asking whether Tamas Sulyok will cease to be President of Hungary at any point before the June 30 deadline. The forecast resolves to Yes if he resigns, is removed, or otherwise stops serving in the office for any period between market creation and the end date; an official announcement of resignation or removal before June 30 would also settle the market to Yes, even if the change takes effect later. Otherwise, the expected outcome is No. The resolution source is official information from Tamas Sulyok and the Hungarian government, with credible reporting also considered if needed. This event matters to traders following Hungary politics, including developments involving Orban and Magyar, because it reflects market sentiment on leadership stability and political continuity. As of the latest market data, the implied probability of Sulyok being out as president by June 30 is 23%, suggesting traders see the event as possible but not the base case. The event runs through June 30, making timing central to the prediction and resolution.","ELECTIONS","Politics",[11,13,14,15],"Orban","Hungary","Magyar","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\u002Ftamas-sulyok-out-as-president-of-hungary-by-june-30-76sJFAat9aA-.jpg",9.5,7373.203453,34415.08015300003,39617.2156,160229.635513,21934.56889240001,true,false,"2026-04-16T14:45:36.024Z","2026-06-30T00:00:00.000Z","2026-04-14T23:02:37.737Z","2026-06-16T10:01:58.115Z","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket.com\u002Fevent\u002Ftamas-sulyok-out-as-president-of-hungary-by-june-30?r=predstack",[31,32,33,34,35,36,37],"tamas sulyok out as president of hungary by june 30?","tamas sulyok out as president of hungary by june 30? prediction","tamas sulyok out as president of hungary by june 30? odds","tamas sulyok out as president of hungary by june 30? probability","election prediction market","election forecast","election odds","2026-06-16T10:08:14.229Z","2026-05-30T10:42:58.725Z",0,[42,59,74],{"id":43,"title":44,"slug":45,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":46,"probability":53,"createdAt":54,"updatedAt":55,"resolutionDate":56,"description":57,"summary":57,"volume1wk":58,"featured":23},"106520","Peru Presidential Election Winner","peru-presidential-election-winner",[11,47,48,49,50,51,52],"Global Elections","World Elections","Elections","Peru","Peru Election","Main Election",0.15,"2026-05-30T10:42:44.740Z","2026-06-16T10:02:41.642Z","2026-04-12T00:00:00.000Z","General elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Peruvian Presidential election. \n\nThis market includes any potential second round. \n\nIf the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https:\u002F\u002Fwww.onpe.gob.pe\u002Felecciones\u002F) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https:\u002F\u002Fportal.jne.gob.pe\u002Fportal\u002F) ",16525619.599477056,{"id":60,"title":61,"slug":62,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":63,"probability":68,"createdAt":69,"updatedAt":70,"resolutionDate":71,"description":72,"summary":72,"volume1wk":73,"featured":23},"34584","Colombia Presidential Election","colombia-presidential-election",[11,47,49,64,48,65,66,52,67],"World","Colombia Election","Colombia","Macro Election 1",0.05,"2026-05-30T10:42:45.106Z","2026-06-16T10:05:17.604Z","2026-06-21T14:00:00.000Z","Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election. \n\nThis market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https:\u002F\u002Fregistraduria.gov.co).",1044563.6338270012,{"id":75,"title":76,"slug":77,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":78,"probability":84,"createdAt":85,"updatedAt":86,"resolutionDate":87,"description":88,"summary":88,"volume1wk":89,"featured":24},"485538","Makerfield by-election Winner","makerfield-by-election-winner",[11,79,47,80,81,52,49,82,83],"Main Elections","UK Elections","UK","Starmer","Makerfield",77.5,"2026-05-30T10:42:47.119Z","2026-06-16T10:06:49.555Z","2026-06-18T00:00:00.000Z","A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is expected to be held in 2026 following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026.\n\nIf the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https:\u002F\u002Fwww.wigan.gov.uk\u002F).",3351349.079954987,1781809667382]