[{"data":1,"prerenderedAt":86},["ShallowReactive",2],{"event-page-switzerlands-june-referendum-what-will-pass":3},{"event":4,"related":42},{"id":5,"slug":6,"title":7,"description":8,"summary":9,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":12,"image":17,"probability":18,"volume24hr":19,"volume1wk":20,"liquidity":21,"openInterest":22,"trendScore":23,"active":24,"closed":25,"featured":25,"startDate":26,"endDate":27,"createdAtRemote":28,"updatedAtRemote":29,"affiliateUrl":30,"polymarketUrl":30,"searchKeywords":31,"syncedAt":39,"createdAt":40,"marketCount":41},"339875","switzerlands-june-referendum-what-will-pass","Switzerland’s June Referendum: What will pass?","As of market creation, two referenda are scheduled to be held in Switzerland on June 14, 2026 : \n\n- Issue 1: No to ten million Switzerland\n- Issue 2: Referendum on the Civilian Service Act\n\nThis market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed referendum is approved under the applicable legal threshold in the nationwide popular vote held in the specified popular vote. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nThis market will resolve to “Yes” if either the popular initiative or, where applicable, the federal counter-proposal is approved under the applicable legal threshold, regardless of any tie-breaker vote.\n\nIf the referendum is officially rescheduled, the same rule applies to the new ballot and its corresponding deadlines. This market will resolve to “No” if, for any reason, the results of the respective vote are not known definitively by the date the subsequent Referendum in Switzerland is scheduled to be held.\n\nThe resolution source will be based on a consensus of credible reporting. In the event of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official certified referendum results published by Swiss government authorities, such as the Swiss Federal Chancellery (https:\u002F\u002Fwww.admin.ch\u002Fgov\u002Fen\u002Fstart\u002Fdocumentation\u002Fvotes\u002F20260308.html) and the information portal provided by the Swiss authorities (https:\u002F\u002Fwww.ch.ch\u002Fen\u002Fvotes-and-elections\u002F). Subsequent litigation, administrative challenges, or failure of any post-approval implementation steps will not be considered.","Switzerland’s June Referendum: What will pass? is a prediction market on the outcome of the nationwide popular vote scheduled for June 14, 2026. The market tracks whether the listed referendum issues in Switzerland will clear the required legal threshold in the ballot, with the outcome resolving to “Yes” if approval is reached and “No” if it is not. The two referenda identified in the description are the “No to ten million Switzerland” initiative and the referendum on the Civilian Service Act, making this an election and referendum forecast closely tied to Swiss politics and direct democracy.\n\nFor traders following market sentiment, the current probability is about 41%, suggesting the expected outcome remains uncertain rather than decisive. Because resolution is based on official certified referendum results from Swiss authorities, the event depends on the final nationwide vote and any applicable counter-proposal rules. If the referendum is rescheduled, the same logic applies to the new ballot date. This prediction market is part of the broader elections category and provides a real-time view of odds around Switzerland’s June referendum.","ELECTIONS","referendum",[11,13,14,15,16],"Popular Vote","Switzerland","Referenda","Politics","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\u002Fswitzerlands-march-8-popular-vote-which-referendums-will-pass-kjuMz9X_LLrP.png",0.4,91477.613,490330.5831850001,75887.19355,332889.749908,208015.42016550002,true,false,"2026-04-03T23:50:41.230Z","2026-06-14T00:00:00.000Z","2026-04-03T15:15:11.118Z","2026-06-16T10:06:57.892Z","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket.com\u002Fevent\u002Fswitzerlands-june-referendum-what-will-pass?r=predstack",[32,33,34,35,36,37,38],"switzerland’s june referendum: what will pass?","switzerland’s june referendum: what will pass? prediction","switzerland’s june referendum: what will pass? odds","switzerland’s june referendum: what will pass? probability","election prediction market","election forecast","election odds","2026-06-16T10:07:56.396Z","2026-05-30T10:42:58.814Z",0,[43,60,75],{"id":44,"title":45,"slug":46,"category":10,"subcategory":16,"tags":47,"probability":54,"createdAt":55,"updatedAt":56,"resolutionDate":57,"description":58,"summary":58,"volume1wk":59,"featured":24},"106520","Peru Presidential Election Winner","peru-presidential-election-winner",[16,48,49,50,51,52,53],"Global Elections","World Elections","Elections","Peru","Peru Election","Main Election",0.15,"2026-05-30T10:42:44.740Z","2026-06-16T10:02:41.642Z","2026-04-12T00:00:00.000Z","General elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Peruvian Presidential election. \n\nThis market includes any potential second round. \n\nIf the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https:\u002F\u002Fwww.onpe.gob.pe\u002Felecciones\u002F) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https:\u002F\u002Fportal.jne.gob.pe\u002Fportal\u002F) ",16525619.599477056,{"id":61,"title":62,"slug":63,"category":10,"subcategory":49,"tags":64,"probability":69,"createdAt":70,"updatedAt":71,"resolutionDate":72,"description":73,"summary":73,"volume1wk":74,"featured":24},"30829","Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028","democratic-presidential-nominee-2028",[49,48,50,16,65,66,67,68],"US Election","Earn 4%","Primaries","United States",1.05,"2026-05-30T10:42:43.593Z","2026-06-16T10:06:50.972Z","2028-11-07T00:00:00.000Z","This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.\n\nAny replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.",9084772.468148999,{"id":76,"title":77,"slug":78,"category":10,"subcategory":49,"tags":79,"probability":81,"createdAt":82,"updatedAt":83,"resolutionDate":72,"description":84,"summary":84,"volume1wk":85,"featured":24},"31552","Presidential Election Winner 2028","presidential-election-winner-2028",[49,48,65,50,16,66,80,68,53],"President",0.65,"2026-05-30T10:42:43.733Z","2026-06-16T10:05:49.318Z","The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028.\n\nThis market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.",6422552.3238429995,1781606331615]