[{"data":1,"prerenderedAt":87},["ShallowReactive",2],{"event-page-spx-up-or-down-on-june-16-2026":3},{"event":4,"related":43},{"id":5,"slug":6,"title":7,"description":8,"summary":9,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":12,"image":19,"probability":20,"volume24hr":21,"volume1wk":21,"liquidity":22,"openInterest":23,"trendScore":24,"active":25,"closed":26,"featured":26,"startDate":27,"endDate":28,"createdAtRemote":29,"updatedAtRemote":30,"affiliateUrl":31,"polymarketUrl":31,"searchKeywords":32,"syncedAt":40,"createdAt":41,"marketCount":42},"597398","spx-up-or-down-on-june-16-2026","S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 16?","This market will resolve to \"Up\" if the official S&P 500 Index closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on Tuesday, June 16, 2026 is higher than the official S&P 500 Index closing price for SPX on the most recent prior trading day.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Down\" if the official S&P 500 Index closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on Tuesday, June 16, 2026 is lower than the official S&P 500 Index closing price for SPX on the most recent prior trading day.\n\nE.g., ordinarily, a market on Monday would refer to the previous Friday for its most recent closing price, unless that Friday were a market holiday, in which case it would refer to Thursday, or the next most recent trading day.\n\nIf the two specified closing prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50. Note that all figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.\n\nIf SPX does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50.\n\nIf either of the relevant days are shortened (for example, due to a market holiday schedule), the official closing price published by S&P 500 Index for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.\n\nIf either of the relevant days have no official closing price (for example, due to a trading halt into the market close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Wall Street Journal, specifically the Close values published by the WSJ under \"Historical Prices\".\n\nUS: https:\u002F\u002Fwww.wsj.com\u002Fmarket-data\u002Fstocks\nEMEA: https:\u002F\u002Fwww.wsj.com\u002Fmarket-data\u002Fstocks\u002Femea \nASIA: https:\u002F\u002Fwww.wsj.com\u002Fmarket-data\u002Fstocks\u002Fasia","S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 16? is a finance prediction market that asks whether the S&P 500 Index will close higher or lower on Tuesday, June 16, 2026, compared with the most recent prior trading day. The forecast is based on the official S&P 500 closing price published by the Wall Street Journal’s historical prices data, with special resolution rules for holidays, shortened sessions, or missing closes. If the index closes at exactly the same level, the market resolves 50-50. If SPX does not trade during the regular session, it also resolves 50-50. This event matters because it reflects short-term market sentiment on the direction of U.S. equities at the daily close. Traders use this kind of event prediction to express views on near-term index movement rather than longer-term fundamentals. As of the latest update, the market probability is 51% for an “Up” outcome, suggesting a slight edge in favor of a higher close, though the odds remain close to balanced. The market opens on June 15, 2026 and is scheduled to end on June 16, 2026 at 20:00 UTC.","FINANCE","Up or Down",[11,13,14,15,16,17,18],"Indicies","SPX","Daily","Finance","Hide From New","Daily-Close","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\u002Fs-and-p-500-1e40af6979.png",51,35258.063725999986,23385.0781,10680.886654,32883.466600799984,true,false,"2026-06-15T12:14:55.543Z","2026-06-16T20:00:00.000Z","2026-06-15T12:00:00.826Z","2026-06-16T10:01:54.003Z","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket.com\u002Fevent\u002Fspx-up-or-down-on-june-16-2026?r=predstack",[33,34,35,36,37,38,39],"s&p 500 (spx) up or down on june 16?","s&p 500 (spx) up or down on june 16? prediction","s&p 500 (spx) up or down on june 16? odds","s&p 500 (spx) up or down on june 16? probability","finance prediction market","financial forecast","market odds","2026-06-16T10:20:08.751Z","2026-06-16T10:08:13.914Z",0,[44,54,72],{"id":45,"title":46,"slug":47,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":48,"probability":49,"createdAt":50,"updatedAt":51,"resolutionDate":28,"description":52,"summary":52,"volume1wk":53,"featured":26},"597397","S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 16?","spx-opens-up-or-down-on-june-16-2026",[11,15,16,14,13,17],30.5,"2026-06-16T10:08:13.136Z","2026-06-16T10:00:33.107Z","This market will resolve to \"Up\" if the official S&P 500 Index open price for S&P 500 (SPX) on June 16 is higher than the official S&P 500 Index closing price for SPX on the most recent prior trading day.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Down\" if the official S&P 500 Index open price for S&P 500 (SPX) on June 16 is lower than the official S&P 500 Index closing price for SPX on the most recent prior trading day.\n\nE.g., ordinarily, a market on Monday would refer to the previous Friday for its most recent closing price, unless that Friday were a market holiday, in which case it would refer to Thursday, or the next most recent trading day.\n\nIf the two prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50. Note that all figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.\n\nIf SPX does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50.\n\nIf either of the relevant days are shortened (for example, due to a market holiday schedule), the official open\u002Fclose price published by S&P 500 Index for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.\n\nIf the previous trading day has no official closing price (for example, due to a trading halt into the market close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Wall Street Journal, specifically the Open\u002FClose values published by the WSJ under \"Historical Prices\".\n\nUS: https:\u002F\u002Fwww.wsj.com\u002Fmarket-data\u002Fstocks\nEMEA: https:\u002F\u002Fwww.wsj.com\u002Fmarket-data\u002Fstocks\u002Femea\nASIA: https:\u002F\u002Fwww.wsj.com\u002Fmarket-data\u002Fstocks\u002Fasia",37830.69606,{"id":55,"title":56,"slug":57,"category":10,"subcategory":58,"tags":59,"probability":66,"createdAt":67,"updatedAt":68,"resolutionDate":69,"description":70,"summary":70,"volume1wk":71,"featured":25},"101772","Fed Decision in June?","fed-decision-in-june-825","Economic Policy",[58,60,61,62,63,64,65],"Jerome Powell","Fed Rates","Fed","Politics","Economy","fomc",0.45,"2026-05-30T10:42:43.783Z","2026-06-16T10:06:42.413Z","2026-06-17T00:00:00.000Z","The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.\n\nThis market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's June 2026 meeting.\n\nIf the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut\u002Fincrease of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for June 16-17, 2026 according to the official calendar: https:\u002F\u002Fwww.federalreserve.gov\u002Fmonetarypolicy\u002Ffomccalendars.htm.\n\nThe level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https:\u002F\u002Fwww.federalreserve.gov\u002Fmonetarypolicy\u002Fopenmarket.htm.\n\nThis market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the \"No change\" bracket.\n",43753405.28664605,{"id":73,"title":74,"slug":75,"category":10,"subcategory":16,"tags":76,"probability":42,"createdAt":83,"updatedAt":84,"resolutionDate":85,"description":74,"summary":74,"volume1wk":86,"featured":25},"415443","What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in May 2026?","what-price-will-wti-hit-in-may-2026",[16,77,78,17,79,80,81,82],"Monthly","Hit Price","Finance Updown","Pyth Finance","Commodities","Oil","2026-05-30T10:42:43.693Z","2026-05-30T10:38:59.671Z","2026-05-31T17:00:00.000Z",12887084.736748997,1781606315039]