[{"data":1,"prerenderedAt":96},["ShallowReactive",2],{"event-page-spx-hit-dec-2026":3},{"event":4,"related":45},{"id":5,"slug":6,"title":7,"description":8,"summary":9,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":12,"image":20,"probability":21,"volume24hr":22,"volume1wk":23,"liquidity":24,"openInterest":25,"trendScore":26,"active":27,"closed":28,"featured":28,"startDate":29,"endDate":30,"createdAtRemote":31,"updatedAtRemote":32,"affiliateUrl":33,"polymarketUrl":33,"searchKeywords":34,"syncedAt":42,"createdAt":43,"marketCount":44},"148014","spx-hit-dec-2026","What will S&P 500 (SPX) hit by end of December?","What will S&P 500 (SPX) hit by end of December 2026?","What will S&P 500 (SPX) hit by end of December? is a finance prediction market focused on the year-end level of the S&P 500 index. Traders are forecasting the expected outcome for SPX by the close of December 31, 2026, making this an event prediction tied to one of the most closely watched U.S. equity benchmarks. The market is designed to reflect where participants think the index will finish, not where it will trade at any single point during the year.\n\nThis forecast matters because the S&P 500 is a key barometer for broader market sentiment, economic expectations, and investor risk appetite. With the event active from January 7, 2026 through December 31, 2026, market odds may shift as new data, earnings, inflation readings, and policy developments affect trader expectations.\n\nCurrent market probability stands at 6.3%, suggesting a relatively low implied chance at the listed outcome at this stage. As with any prediction market, that figure reflects trader positioning and may change as liquidity, open interest, and new information evolve through the year.","FINANCE","SPX",[11,13,14,15,16,17,18,19],"Indicies","Hide From New","Finance","Monthly","S&P 500","Monthly Hit","S&P","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\u002Fs-and-p-500-1e40af6979.png",6.3,1596.938475,16631.394644,22942.04119,65966.70738900002,10376.2958687,true,false,"2026-01-07T02:34:26.297Z","2026-12-31T21:00:00.000Z","2026-01-06T22:33:18.194Z","2026-06-16T10:07:38.211Z","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket.com\u002Fevent\u002Fspx-hit-dec-2026?r=predstack",[35,36,37,38,39,40,41],"what will s&p 500 (spx) hit by end of december?","what will s&p 500 (spx) hit by end of december? prediction","what will s&p 500 (spx) hit by end of december? odds","what will s&p 500 (spx) hit by end of december? probability","finance prediction market","financial forecast","market odds","2026-06-16T10:27:51.962Z","2026-06-16T10:08:25.567Z",0,[46,64,78],{"id":47,"title":48,"slug":49,"category":10,"subcategory":50,"tags":51,"probability":58,"createdAt":59,"updatedAt":60,"resolutionDate":61,"description":62,"summary":62,"volume1wk":63,"featured":27},"101772","Fed Decision in June?","fed-decision-in-june-825","Economic Policy",[50,52,53,54,55,56,57],"Jerome Powell","Fed Rates","Fed","Politics","Economy","fomc",0.45,"2026-05-30T10:42:43.783Z","2026-06-16T10:06:42.413Z","2026-06-17T00:00:00.000Z","The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.\n\nThis market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's June 2026 meeting.\n\nIf the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut\u002Fincrease of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for June 16-17, 2026 according to the official calendar: https:\u002F\u002Fwww.federalreserve.gov\u002Fmonetarypolicy\u002Ffomccalendars.htm.\n\nThe level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https:\u002F\u002Fwww.federalreserve.gov\u002Fmonetarypolicy\u002Fopenmarket.htm.\n\nThis market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the \"No change\" bracket.\n",43753405.28664605,{"id":65,"title":66,"slug":67,"category":10,"subcategory":15,"tags":68,"probability":44,"createdAt":74,"updatedAt":75,"resolutionDate":76,"description":66,"summary":66,"volume1wk":77,"featured":27},"415443","What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in May 2026?","what-price-will-wti-hit-in-may-2026",[15,16,69,14,70,71,72,73],"Hit Price","Finance Updown","Pyth Finance","Commodities","Oil","2026-05-30T10:42:43.693Z","2026-05-30T10:38:59.671Z","2026-05-31T17:00:00.000Z",12887084.736748997,{"id":79,"title":80,"slug":81,"category":10,"subcategory":82,"tags":83,"probability":90,"createdAt":91,"updatedAt":92,"resolutionDate":93,"description":94,"summary":94,"volume1wk":95,"featured":27},"102007","SpaceX IPO closing market cap above ___ ?","spacex-ipo-closing-market-cap-above","Tech",[82,84,85,86,87,88,89],"Big Tech","Elon Musk","IPO","SpaceX","IPOs","Climate & Science",98.65,"2026-05-30T10:42:46.312Z","2026-05-30T10:34:08.685Z","2027-12-31T00:00:00.000Z","This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for SpaceX’s market capitalization on its first trading day is above the value specified in the title. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.\n\nIf no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nMarket capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.\n\nResolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.\n\nIn the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.",1314816.7019979998,1781606278481]