[{"data":1,"prerenderedAt":94},["ShallowReactive",2],{"event-page-spacex-ipo-officially-added-to-sp-500-in-2026-20260608202834697":3},{"event":4,"related":47},{"id":5,"slug":6,"title":7,"description":8,"summary":9,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":12,"image":22,"probability":23,"volume24hr":24,"volume1wk":25,"liquidity":26,"openInterest":27,"trendScore":28,"active":29,"closed":30,"featured":30,"startDate":31,"endDate":32,"createdAtRemote":33,"updatedAtRemote":34,"affiliateUrl":35,"polymarketUrl":35,"searchKeywords":36,"syncedAt":44,"createdAt":45,"marketCount":46},"575308","spacex-ipo-officially-added-to-sp-500-in-2026-20260608202834697","SpaceX IPO: Officially added to S&P 500 in 2026?","The S&P 500 undergoes quarterly reconstitution on the third Friday of March, June, September, and December.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if S&P Global Inc. announces that SpaceX will be added to the S&P 500 index by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nAn announcement from S&P will qualify for a \"Yes\" resolution, regardless of whether the listed company has actually been added to the S&P 500 index by the resolution date.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official announcements from S&P Global Inc. (https:\u002F\u002Fwww.spglobal.com\u002Fen\u002Fpress\u002Fpress-release).","SpaceX IPO: Officially added to S&P 500 in 2026? is a finance prediction market focused on whether S&P Global Inc. will announce that SpaceX is being added to the S&P 500 index by December 31, 2026. The market resolves to Yes if S&P makes an official announcement, even if the index change itself has not fully taken effect by the deadline. That makes the event a clear forecast on an expected outcome tied to S&P 500 quarterly reconstitution and SpaceX’s potential transition into a public-market benchmark.\n\nThe listing sits at the intersection of finance, IPOs, tech, and space, with Elon Musk’s SpaceX attracting close attention from traders watching market sentiment around a possible inclusion. Current market probability is about 7.5%, indicating low but nonzero odds that the announcement happens before year-end. The start date is June 9, 2026, and the market closes for resolution on January 1, 2027, based on the December 31, 2026 deadline. As a prediction market, it reflects event prediction and trader expectations rather than a certainty.","FINANCE","Space",[11,13,14,15,16,17,18,19,20,21],"Finance","IPOs","IPO","S&P","Tech","S&P 500","SpaceX","Big Tech","Elon Musk","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\u002Fhow-many-spacex-launches-in-2025-H9bLc6Yotwva.jpg",7.5,13,10715.30307,13720.6548,5057.628909,5965.221881,true,false,"2026-06-09T05:56:19.495Z","2027-01-01T04:59:00.000Z","2026-06-09T05:41:58.796Z","2026-06-16T10:02:01.734Z","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket.com\u002Fevent\u002Fspacex-ipo-officially-added-to-sp-500-in-2026-20260608202834697?r=predstack",[37,38,39,40,41,42,43],"spacex ipo: officially added to s&p 500 in 2026?","spacex ipo: officially added to s&p 500 in 2026? prediction","spacex ipo: officially added to s&p 500 in 2026? odds","spacex ipo: officially added to s&p 500 in 2026? probability","finance prediction market","financial forecast","market odds","2026-06-16T10:33:38.378Z","2026-06-16T10:08:32.391Z",0,[48,66,82],{"id":49,"title":50,"slug":51,"category":10,"subcategory":52,"tags":53,"probability":60,"createdAt":61,"updatedAt":62,"resolutionDate":63,"description":64,"summary":64,"volume1wk":65,"featured":29},"101772","Fed Decision in June?","fed-decision-in-june-825","Economic Policy",[52,54,55,56,57,58,59],"Jerome Powell","Fed Rates","Fed","Politics","Economy","fomc",0.45,"2026-05-30T10:42:43.783Z","2026-06-16T10:06:42.413Z","2026-06-17T00:00:00.000Z","The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.\n\nThis market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's June 2026 meeting.\n\nIf the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut\u002Fincrease of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for June 16-17, 2026 according to the official calendar: https:\u002F\u002Fwww.federalreserve.gov\u002Fmonetarypolicy\u002Ffomccalendars.htm.\n\nThe level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https:\u002F\u002Fwww.federalreserve.gov\u002Fmonetarypolicy\u002Fopenmarket.htm.\n\nThis market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the \"No change\" bracket.\n",43753405.28664605,{"id":67,"title":68,"slug":69,"category":10,"subcategory":13,"tags":70,"probability":46,"createdAt":78,"updatedAt":79,"resolutionDate":80,"description":68,"summary":68,"volume1wk":81,"featured":29},"415443","What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in May 2026?","what-price-will-wti-hit-in-may-2026",[13,71,72,73,74,75,76,77],"Monthly","Hit Price","Hide From New","Finance Updown","Pyth Finance","Commodities","Oil","2026-05-30T10:42:43.693Z","2026-05-30T10:38:59.671Z","2026-05-31T17:00:00.000Z",12887084.736748997,{"id":83,"title":84,"slug":85,"category":10,"subcategory":17,"tags":86,"probability":88,"createdAt":89,"updatedAt":90,"resolutionDate":91,"description":92,"summary":92,"volume1wk":93,"featured":29},"102007","SpaceX IPO closing market cap above ___ ?","spacex-ipo-closing-market-cap-above",[17,20,21,15,19,14,87],"Climate & Science",98.65,"2026-05-30T10:42:46.312Z","2026-05-30T10:34:08.685Z","2027-12-31T00:00:00.000Z","This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for SpaceX’s market capitalization on its first trading day is above the value specified in the title. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.\n\nIf no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nMarket capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.\n\nResolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.\n\nIn the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.",1314816.7019979998,1781606241944]