[{"data":1,"prerenderedAt":80},["ShallowReactive",2],{"event-page-spacex-ipo-closing-market-cap-lowest-strikes":3},{"event":4,"related":44},{"id":5,"slug":6,"title":7,"description":8,"summary":9,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":12,"image":19,"probability":20,"volume24hr":21,"volume1wk":22,"liquidity":23,"openInterest":24,"trendScore":25,"active":26,"closed":27,"featured":27,"startDate":28,"endDate":29,"createdAtRemote":30,"updatedAtRemote":31,"affiliateUrl":32,"polymarketUrl":32,"searchKeywords":33,"syncedAt":41,"createdAt":42,"marketCount":43},"98374","spacex-ipo-closing-market-cap-lowest-strikes","SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap (Lowest Strikes)","This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.\n\nIf no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"No IPO before 2028\".\n\nMarket capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.\n\nIf the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nResolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.\n\nIn the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.","SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap (Lowest Strikes) is a finance prediction market tracking the company’s market capitalization at the official closing price on the first day SpaceX begins trading. The forecast is straightforward: traders are estimating which valuation bracket SpaceX will land in if an IPO occurs, with the market resolving to the appropriate range based on the primary exchange’s official listing page or another reliable source if needed. If SpaceX does not IPO by December 31, 2027 at 11:59 PM ET, the event resolves to \"No IPO before 2028.\"\n\nThis event matters because SpaceX, Elon Musk’s private aerospace and technology company, is one of the most closely watched potential IPOs in the market. The current market probability for the lowest strike outcome is about 15%, indicating limited but present trader conviction that the opening valuation could fall in that bracket. Market sentiment here reflects broader expectations around a future SpaceX listing, first-day trading performance, and the company’s eventual market cap. The prediction market is active, and the odds will continue to shift as traders weigh IPO timing, listing mechanics, and the final closing price on day one.","FINANCE","Tech",[11,13,14,15,16,17,18],"Big Tech","Elon Musk","SpaceX","IPOs","IPO","Climate & Science","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\u002Fspacex-ipo-closing-market-cap-eMcPLOPUo_Il.png",0.15,52636.332943,186816.79667399998,233838.60043,218985.652312,129130.92555969999,true,false,"2025-12-06T01:34:37.744Z","2027-12-31T00:00:00.000Z","2025-12-06T00:36:27.031Z","2026-05-30T10:40:18.022Z","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket.com\u002Fevent\u002Fspacex-ipo-closing-market-cap-lowest-strikes?r=predstack",[34,35,36,37,38,39,40],"spacex ipo closing market cap (lowest strikes)","spacex ipo closing market cap (lowest strikes) prediction","spacex ipo closing market cap (lowest strikes) odds","spacex ipo closing market cap (lowest strikes) probability","finance prediction market","financial forecast","market odds","2026-06-05T13:10:01.992Z","2026-05-30T10:42:52.481Z",0,[45,55,69],{"id":46,"title":47,"slug":48,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":49,"probability":50,"createdAt":51,"updatedAt":52,"resolutionDate":29,"description":53,"summary":53,"volume1wk":54,"featured":26},"102007","SpaceX IPO closing market cap above ___ ?","spacex-ipo-closing-market-cap-above",[11,13,14,17,15,16,18],98.65,"2026-05-30T10:42:46.312Z","2026-05-30T10:34:08.685Z","This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for SpaceX’s market capitalization on its first trading day is above the value specified in the title. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.\n\nIf no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nMarket capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.\n\nResolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.\n\nIn the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.",1314816.7019979998,{"id":56,"title":57,"slug":58,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":59,"probability":43,"createdAt":64,"updatedAt":65,"resolutionDate":66,"description":67,"summary":67,"volume1wk":68,"featured":26},"68543","OpenAI IPO by...?","openai-ipo-by",[11,16,13,60,61,62,17,63],"AI","Finance","Business","OpenAI IPO","2026-05-30T10:42:54.796Z","2026-05-30T10:32:02.168Z","2026-12-31T00:00:00.000Z","This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by the listed date ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.\n\nIf OpenAI is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.",134340.01467,{"id":70,"title":71,"slug":72,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":73,"probability":76,"createdAt":77,"updatedAt":78,"resolutionDate":29,"description":8,"summary":8,"volume1wk":79,"featured":27},"183726","SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap (Lower Strikes)","spacex-ipo-closing-market-cap-higher-strikes",[11,17,61,14,13,74,16,75,15,18],"Science","Space",4.6,"2026-05-30T10:42:57.150Z","2026-05-30T10:31:32.974Z",95110.33739599999,1780676611143]