[{"data":1,"prerenderedAt":80},["ShallowReactive",2],{"event-page-spacex-ipo-closing-market-cap-higher-strikes":3},{"event":4,"related":47},{"id":5,"slug":6,"title":7,"description":8,"summary":9,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":12,"image":22,"probability":23,"volume24hr":24,"volume1wk":25,"liquidity":26,"openInterest":27,"trendScore":28,"active":29,"closed":30,"featured":30,"startDate":31,"endDate":32,"createdAtRemote":33,"updatedAtRemote":34,"affiliateUrl":35,"polymarketUrl":35,"searchKeywords":36,"syncedAt":44,"createdAt":45,"marketCount":46},"183726","spacex-ipo-closing-market-cap-higher-strikes","SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap (Lower Strikes)","This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.\n\nIf no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"No IPO before 2028\".\n\nMarket capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.\n\nIf the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nResolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.\n\nIn the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.","SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap (Lower Strikes) is a finance prediction market on the company’s valuation when SpaceX first begins trading publicly. The forecast resolves using SpaceX’s market capitalization at the official closing price on its first day of trading, based on the primary exchange listing page or another reliable source if needed. If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, the market resolves to “No IPO before 2028.”\n\nThis event matters because an IPO would be a major milestone for SpaceX, the private aerospace and space company closely associated with Elon Musk and the broader Big Tech and space sectors. Traders are effectively pricing the expected outcome of SpaceX’s debut market cap into bracketed ranges, with the lower-strike structure determining which valuation band is selected. If the final value lands exactly between two brackets, the higher range wins.\n\nCurrent market probability is about 4.6%, suggesting traders see a relatively low chance of this outcome at present. The prediction market opened on January 23, 2026 and runs through the December 31, 2027 deadline, making timing a key factor in the forecast and overall market sentiment.","FINANCE","Tech",[11,13,14,15,16,17,18,19,20,21],"IPO","Finance","Elon Musk","Big Tech","Science","IPOs","Space","SpaceX","Climate & Science","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\u002Fspacex-ipo-closing-market-cap-eMcPLOPUo_Il.png",4.6,8364.635084,95110.33739599999,126076.50564,113672.99726999999,57930.7198888,true,false,"2026-01-23T20:43:36.763Z","2027-12-31T00:00:00.000Z","2026-01-23T18:32:31.321Z","2026-05-30T10:31:32.974Z","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket.com\u002Fevent\u002Fspacex-ipo-closing-market-cap-higher-strikes?r=predstack",[37,38,39,40,41,42,43],"spacex ipo closing market cap (lower strikes)","spacex ipo closing market cap (lower strikes) prediction","spacex ipo closing market cap (lower strikes) odds","spacex ipo closing market cap (lower strikes) probability","finance prediction market","financial forecast","market odds","2026-06-05T13:15:06.056Z","2026-05-30T10:42:57.150Z",0,[48,58,71],{"id":49,"title":50,"slug":51,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":52,"probability":53,"createdAt":54,"updatedAt":55,"resolutionDate":32,"description":56,"summary":56,"volume1wk":57,"featured":29},"102007","SpaceX IPO closing market cap above ___ ?","spacex-ipo-closing-market-cap-above",[11,16,15,13,20,18,21],98.65,"2026-05-30T10:42:46.312Z","2026-05-30T10:34:08.685Z","This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for SpaceX’s market capitalization on its first trading day is above the value specified in the title. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.\n\nIf no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nMarket capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.\n\nResolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.\n\nIn the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.",1314816.7019979998,{"id":59,"title":60,"slug":61,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":62,"probability":46,"createdAt":66,"updatedAt":67,"resolutionDate":68,"description":69,"summary":69,"volume1wk":70,"featured":29},"68543","OpenAI IPO by...?","openai-ipo-by",[11,18,16,63,14,64,13,65],"AI","Business","OpenAI IPO","2026-05-30T10:42:54.796Z","2026-05-30T10:32:02.168Z","2026-12-31T00:00:00.000Z","This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by the listed date ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.\n\nIf OpenAI is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.",134340.01467,{"id":72,"title":73,"slug":74,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":75,"probability":76,"createdAt":77,"updatedAt":78,"resolutionDate":32,"description":8,"summary":8,"volume1wk":79,"featured":30},"98374","SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap (Lowest Strikes)","spacex-ipo-closing-market-cap-lowest-strikes",[11,16,15,20,18,13,21],0.15,"2026-05-30T10:42:52.481Z","2026-05-30T10:40:18.022Z",186816.79667399998,1780676611149]