[{"data":1,"prerenderedAt":80},["ShallowReactive",2],{"event-page-spacex-ipo-closing-market-cap-above":3},{"event":4,"related":44},{"id":5,"slug":6,"title":7,"description":8,"summary":9,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":12,"image":19,"probability":20,"volume24hr":21,"volume1wk":22,"liquidity":23,"openInterest":24,"trendScore":25,"active":26,"closed":27,"featured":26,"startDate":28,"endDate":29,"createdAtRemote":30,"updatedAtRemote":31,"affiliateUrl":32,"polymarketUrl":32,"searchKeywords":33,"syncedAt":41,"createdAt":42,"marketCount":43},"102007","spacex-ipo-closing-market-cap-above","SpaceX IPO closing market cap above ___ ?","This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for SpaceX’s market capitalization on its first trading day is above the value specified in the title. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.\n\nIf no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nMarket capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.\n\nResolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.\n\nIn the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.","SpaceX IPO closing market cap above ___ ? is a finance prediction market asking whether SpaceX’s official market capitalization on its first trading day will finish above the threshold named in the title. The event is tied to a potential SpaceX IPO and will resolve “Yes” only if the company’s closing price on day one, multiplied by outstanding shares, produces a market cap above that level; otherwise it resolves “No.” If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, the market resolves to “No.”\n\nThis event matters because SpaceX is one of the most closely watched private technology companies, and any public listing would be a major benchmark for valuation in the tech and IPO markets. Current market sentiment is strongly tilted toward a “Yes” outcome, with traders pricing the forecast probability at 98.65%. That implies the market expects the first-day valuation to clear the stated threshold, though the outcome still depends on an actual IPO and the official closing price on the primary exchange’s listing page. The prediction market starts on December 11, 2025 and remains open through the 2027 deadline.","FINANCE","Tech",[11,13,14,15,16,17,18],"Big Tech","Elon Musk","IPO","SpaceX","IPOs","Climate & Science","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\u002Fspacex-ipo-closing-market-cap-eMcPLOPUo_Il.png",98.65,141575.227513,1314816.7019979998,644248.88265,1755270.4655940002,594082.4008858999,true,false,"2025-12-11T21:06:33.953Z","2027-12-31T00:00:00.000Z","2025-12-10T22:52:54.567Z","2026-05-30T10:34:08.685Z","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket.com\u002Fevent\u002Fspacex-ipo-closing-market-cap-above?r=predstack",[34,35,36,37,38,39,40],"spacex ipo closing market cap above ___ ?","spacex ipo closing market cap above ___ ? prediction","spacex ipo closing market cap above ___ ? odds","spacex ipo closing market cap above ___ ? probability","finance prediction market","financial forecast","market odds","2026-06-05T10:35:04.479Z","2026-05-30T10:42:46.312Z",0,[45,59,69],{"id":46,"title":47,"slug":48,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":49,"probability":43,"createdAt":54,"updatedAt":55,"resolutionDate":56,"description":57,"summary":57,"volume1wk":58,"featured":26},"68543","OpenAI IPO by...?","openai-ipo-by",[11,17,13,50,51,52,15,53],"AI","Finance","Business","OpenAI IPO","2026-05-30T10:42:54.796Z","2026-05-30T10:32:02.168Z","2026-12-31T00:00:00.000Z","This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by the listed date ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.\n\nIf OpenAI is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.",134340.01467,{"id":60,"title":61,"slug":62,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":63,"probability":64,"createdAt":65,"updatedAt":66,"resolutionDate":29,"description":67,"summary":67,"volume1wk":68,"featured":27},"98374","SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap (Lowest Strikes)","spacex-ipo-closing-market-cap-lowest-strikes",[11,13,14,16,17,15,18],0.15,"2026-05-30T10:42:52.481Z","2026-05-30T10:40:18.022Z","This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.\n\nIf no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"No IPO before 2028\".\n\nMarket capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.\n\nIf the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nResolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.\n\nIn the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.",186816.79667399998,{"id":70,"title":71,"slug":72,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":73,"probability":76,"createdAt":77,"updatedAt":78,"resolutionDate":29,"description":67,"summary":67,"volume1wk":79,"featured":27},"183726","SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap (Lower Strikes)","spacex-ipo-closing-market-cap-higher-strikes",[11,15,51,14,13,74,17,75,16,18],"Science","Space",4.6,"2026-05-30T10:42:57.150Z","2026-05-30T10:31:32.974Z",95110.33739599999,1780676575826]