[{"data":1,"prerenderedAt":81},["ShallowReactive",2],{"event-page-spacex-closing-market-cap-end-of-ipo-month-20260606222757973":3},{"event":4,"related":46},{"id":5,"slug":6,"title":7,"description":8,"summary":9,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":12,"image":21,"probability":22,"volume24hr":23,"volume1wk":24,"liquidity":25,"openInterest":26,"trendScore":27,"active":28,"closed":29,"featured":29,"startDate":30,"endDate":31,"createdAtRemote":32,"updatedAtRemote":33,"affiliateUrl":34,"polymarketUrl":34,"searchKeywords":35,"syncedAt":43,"createdAt":44,"marketCount":45},"577704","spacex-closing-market-cap-end-of-ipo-month-20260606222757973","SpaceX Closing Market Cap End of IPO Month","This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on the last trading day of the calendar month in which SpaceX completes its Initial Public Offering (IPO).\n\nThe IPO refers to the first sale of stock by SpaceX to the public on any recognized stock exchange. If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"No IPO before 2028\".\n\nMarket capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the last trading day of the calendar month in which SpaceX completes its IPO.\n\nIf the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nResolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.\n\nIn the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s last trading day of the calendar month in which SpaceX completes its IPO (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the last trading day of the calendar month in which SpaceX completes its IPO.","SpaceX Closing Market Cap End of IPO Month is a finance prediction market asking traders to forecast SpaceX’s market capitalization at the close on the last trading day of the calendar month in which the company completes its IPO. The outcome is based on the company’s official market value, calculated from the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the relevant exchange. If SpaceX does not go public by December 31, 2027, the market resolves to “No IPO before 2028.”\n\nThis event matters because SpaceX is one of the most closely watched private companies in tech and space, with Elon Musk’s IPO plans drawing significant attention from investors and prediction market participants. Resolution will use the primary exchange’s official listing page or another reliable source if needed, and the rules also account for abbreviated trading sessions or delayed official closing prices.\n\nCurrent market probability is about 3.15%, suggesting traders assign a low chance to this outcome at present. The market runs from June 9, 2026 through July 1, 2026, reflecting the timing of a potential IPO month rather than the IPO itself.","FINANCE","IPOs",[11,13,14,15,16,17,18,19,20],"Tech","SpaceX","Business","Elon Musk","Finance","IPO","Big Tech","Space","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\u002Fspacex-ipo-closing-market-cap-eMcPLOPUo_Il.png",3.15,171268.954221,307037.82888600003,224458.2993,95397.24346099999,222637.4856363,true,false,"2026-06-09T22:21:47.757Z","2026-07-01T03:59:00.000Z","2026-06-09T21:57:14.357Z","2026-06-16T10:02:02.186Z","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket.com\u002Fevent\u002Fspacex-closing-market-cap-end-of-ipo-month-20260606222757973?r=predstack",[36,37,38,39,40,41,42],"spacex closing market cap end of ipo month","spacex closing market cap end of ipo month prediction","spacex closing market cap end of ipo month odds","spacex closing market cap end of ipo month probability","finance prediction market","financial forecast","market odds","2026-06-16T10:11:14.389Z","2026-06-16T10:07:58.072Z",0,[47,58,72],{"id":48,"title":49,"slug":50,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":51,"probability":52,"createdAt":53,"updatedAt":54,"resolutionDate":55,"description":56,"summary":56,"volume1wk":57,"featured":29},"79048","IPOs before 2027?","ipos-before-2027",[11,15,19,13,17],61.8,"2026-05-30T10:42:51.123Z","2026-06-16T10:01:05.042Z","2026-12-31T00:00:00.000Z","This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the listed company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements or credible news sources. The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.\n\nIf the listed company merges with another entity, is acquired, or ceases to exist before the market resolves, the market will also resolve to \"No\".\n\nThis market will resolve early if the listed company completes an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.",304709.671578,{"id":59,"title":60,"slug":61,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":62,"probability":66,"createdAt":67,"updatedAt":68,"resolutionDate":69,"description":70,"summary":70,"volume1wk":71,"featured":29},"549019","Anthropic IPO by __?","anthropic-ipo-by",[11,63,17,18,64,65],"Dario","Anthropic IPO","anthropic",0.25,"2026-06-16T10:07:59.399Z","2026-06-16T10:04:29.763Z","2027-07-01T00:00:00.000Z","This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Anthropic shares are listed on a public securities exchange and open for trading by 11:59 PM ET on the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nIf Anthropic is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market is official filings and announcements from Anthropic and the relevant securities exchange on which the shares are listed, including SEC filings (e.g., Form S-1, Form 8-A), exchange listing confirmations, and official press releases from Anthropic; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. ",217403.622253,{"id":73,"title":74,"slug":75,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":76,"probability":45,"createdAt":77,"updatedAt":78,"resolutionDate":55,"description":79,"summary":79,"volume1wk":80,"featured":29},"200421","In which month will SpaceX IPO?","in-which-month-will-spacex-ipo",[11,17,15,18,16,14],"2026-05-30T10:43:06.215Z","2026-05-30T10:40:11.222Z","This market will resolve based on the calendar month (ET) in 2026 in which SpaceX’s initial public offering (IPO) occurs.\n\nIf no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"No IPO before 2027\".\n\nAnnouncements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.\n\nResolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.",37069.872020999996,1781606257557]