[{"data":1,"prerenderedAt":89},["ShallowReactive",2],{"event-page-south-dakota-republican-senate-primary-winner":3},{"event":4,"related":46},{"id":5,"slug":6,"title":7,"description":8,"summary":9,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":12,"image":21,"probability":22,"volume24hr":23,"volume1wk":24,"liquidity":25,"openInterest":26,"trendScore":27,"active":28,"closed":29,"featured":29,"startDate":30,"endDate":31,"createdAtRemote":32,"updatedAtRemote":33,"affiliateUrl":34,"polymarketUrl":34,"searchKeywords":35,"syncedAt":43,"createdAt":44,"marketCount":45},"227922","south-dakota-republican-senate-primary-winner","South Dakota Republican Senate Primary Winner","This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from South Dakota.\n\nIf no 2026 South Dakota Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the South Dakota Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.","South Dakota Republican Senate Primary Winner is a political prediction market focused on who will win the Republican Primary for United States Senator from South Dakota. The market resolves to the candidate announced as the primary winner, and if no 2026 South Dakota Republican Senate Primary takes place, it will resolve to \"Other.\" According to the market rules, the South Dakota Republican Party’s first official results announcement is the primary resolution source, though strong consensus from credible reporting may also be used. This makes the event a straightforward forecast of the expected outcome in a key U.S. election race.\n\nThe prediction market is active ahead of the June 2, 2026 primary deadline, with traders watching market sentiment around the Republican Primary, Senate Primary, and broader South Dakota election context. Current market probability is about 5%, indicating a low-priced view of the leading outcome at the time of the latest update. As with other election markets, odds can shift quickly as polling, campaign developments, and reporting change the forecast.","POLITICS","Senate Primary",[11,13,14,15,16,17,18,19,20],"Republican Primary","South Dakota Primary","Primaries","US Election","primary elections","Elections","Politics","June 2 Primaries","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\u002Fd-a69febd8f0.png",0.05,13516.897,14534.937100000001,55117.83099,8242.5827,22142.495828,true,false,"2026-02-25T23:25:55.668Z","2026-06-02T00:00:00.000Z","2026-02-24T15:04:29.115Z","2026-05-30T10:30:26.783Z","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket.com\u002Fevent\u002Fsouth-dakota-republican-senate-primary-winner?r=predstack",[36,37,38,39,40,41,42],"south dakota republican senate primary winner","south dakota republican senate primary winner prediction","south dakota republican senate primary winner odds","south dakota republican senate primary winner probability","political prediction market","political forecast","political probability","2026-06-05T13:39:53.089Z","2026-05-30T10:43:20.633Z",0,[47,60,75],{"id":48,"title":49,"slug":50,"category":10,"subcategory":19,"tags":51,"probability":45,"createdAt":55,"updatedAt":56,"resolutionDate":57,"description":58,"summary":58,"volume1wk":59,"featured":28},"438327","Iran closes its airspace by...?","iran-closes-its-airspace-by",[19,52,53,54],"Geopolitics","U.S. x Iran","Iran","2026-05-30T10:42:44.156Z","2026-05-30T10:38:40.231Z","2026-05-31T00:00:00.000Z","This market will resolve to “Yes” if Iran initiates a major closure of its airspace, that is not solely due to weather conditions, by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nA “major closure” is defined as a broad closure, cancellation, or suspension of commercial flights transiting, arriving in, and departing from Iranian airspace or a major Iranian Airspace region. A qualifying closure must apply generally to flights across Iran or a major Iranian airspace region. Limited cancellations, delays, or other partial closures will not qualify. Limited exceptions to a broad closure, however, will not disqualify such a closure from counting (e.g. exceptions for certain flights pre-approved by the Iranian Civil Aviation Authority may be permitted). \n\nAny non-weather complete suspension of commercial arrivals and departures affecting at least two of the following airports will qualify: Imam Khomeini International Airport (IKA), Mehrabad Airport (THR), Mashhad International Airport (MHD), Shiraz International Airport (SYZ), or Isfahan International Airport (IFN).\n\nQualifying previous examples include the January 2026 total closure of Iranian airspace except to international flights with express governmental permission (https:\u002F\u002Fwww.reuters.com\u002Fworld\u002Fmiddle-east\u002Firan-shuts-airspace-most-flights-flightradar24-says-2026-01-14\u002F) and the April 2024 closure of Iran’s western airspace (https:\u002F\u002Fwww.reuters.com\u002Fworld\u002Fmiddle-east\u002Firanian-airports-cancel-flights-until-monday-morning-2024-04-14\u002F). Non-qualifying examples include the January 27, 2026 partial closure of Iranian airspace around the Strait of Hormuz (https:\u002F\u002Fwww.aa.com.tr\u002Fen\u002Fmiddle-east\u002Firan-issues-airspace-notice-for-military-drills-near-strait-of-hormuz\u002F3812508) and the January 25 - April 25, 2026 VFR (Visual Flight Rules) flights suspension which did not broadly close commercial aviation in a qualifying region (https:\u002F\u002Fwww.intellinews.com\u002Firan-suspends-general-aviation-and-vfr-flights-in-new-airspace-directive-421997\u002F).\n\nWarnings, No-Fly-Zones, or other flight restrictions imposed by airlines or countries other than Iran will not be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution.\n\nAirspace closures which occur solely due to weather conditions will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from Iranian aviation authorities and a consensus of credible reporting.",6620506.11378,{"id":61,"title":62,"slug":63,"category":10,"subcategory":19,"tags":64,"probability":69,"createdAt":70,"updatedAt":71,"resolutionDate":72,"description":73,"summary":73,"volume1wk":74,"featured":28},"31875","Republican Presidential Nominee 2028","republican-presidential-nominee-2028",[19,16,18,65,66,67,15,68],"World Elections","Global Elections","Earn 4%","United States",2.65,"2026-05-30T10:42:43.975Z","2026-06-16T10:03:36.054Z","2028-11-07T00:00:00.000Z","This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources.\n\nAny replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.",4777429.576322999,{"id":76,"title":77,"slug":78,"category":10,"subcategory":19,"tags":79,"probability":45,"createdAt":84,"updatedAt":85,"resolutionDate":86,"description":87,"summary":87,"volume1wk":88,"featured":28},"371649","US x Iran diplomatic meeting by...?","us-x-iran-diplomatic-meeting-by-329",[19,80,54,81,82,53,52,83],"Iran Ceasefire","Vance","Trump","Peace Deal","2026-05-30T10:42:45.013Z","2026-06-16T10:07:26.988Z","2026-04-30T00:00:00.000Z","This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nA diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify. \n\nBrief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.  \n\nThe meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.\n\nThe resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.",4565895.467737994,1781809665853]