[{"data":1,"prerenderedAt":95},["ShallowReactive",2],{"event-page-safepoint-ipo-closing-market-cap":3},{"event":4,"related":43},{"id":5,"slug":6,"title":7,"description":8,"summary":9,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":12,"image":18,"probability":19,"volume24hr":20,"volume1wk":21,"liquidity":22,"openInterest":23,"trendScore":24,"active":25,"closed":26,"featured":26,"startDate":27,"endDate":28,"createdAtRemote":29,"updatedAtRemote":30,"affiliateUrl":31,"polymarketUrl":31,"searchKeywords":32,"syncedAt":40,"createdAt":41,"marketCount":42},"532481","safepoint-ipo-closing-market-cap","Safepoint IPO Closing Market Cap","This market will resolve based on Safepoint's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.\n\nAs of market creation, the IPO is scheduled for June 4 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"No IPO before August 2026\".\n\nMarket capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company's outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.\n\nIt is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.\n\nIf necessary, to accurately capture the company's total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.\n\nThe number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange's official listing page.\n\nIf the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange's official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.\n\nIn the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.","Safepoint IPO Closing Market Cap is a finance prediction market forecasting Safepoint’s market capitalization based on the company’s official closing share price on its first day of trading. The outcome will be determined using the total number of outstanding shares from official filings and the primary exchange’s published closing price, with any necessary conversion ratios applied to capture the company’s full market value. If the IPO does not occur by July 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET, the market resolves to “No IPO before August 2026.”\n\nThis event matters because IPO pricing and first-day trading can quickly reset market expectations for a newly public company, especially in the insurance sector. Traders in the prediction market are effectively forecasting the company’s opening valuation range, not long-term performance. As of the latest market data, the implied probability is 3.45%, suggesting very low current market sentiment for the listed outcome. The market is scheduled around June 4 ET, making the first-day closing print the key deadline for resolution and event prediction.","FINANCE","Business",[11,13,14,15,16,17],"Finance","IPOs","IPO","Insurance","Rewards 50, 4.5, 20","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\u002Fsafepoint-ipo-closing-market-cap-2_Z4GWfBTP_C.jpg",3.45,1560.72,13595.675476,18266.11479,8302.732855999999,8512.2856008,true,false,"2026-05-28T02:47:23.730Z","2026-06-04T16:00:00.000Z","2026-05-27T23:19:43.785Z","2026-06-16T10:03:02.643Z","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket.com\u002Fevent\u002Fsafepoint-ipo-closing-market-cap?r=predstack",[33,34,35,36,37,38,39],"safepoint ipo closing market cap","safepoint ipo closing market cap prediction","safepoint ipo closing market cap odds","safepoint ipo closing market cap probability","finance prediction market","financial forecast","market odds","2026-06-16T10:30:38.034Z","2026-06-16T10:08:28.868Z",0,[44,61,82],{"id":45,"title":46,"slug":47,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":48,"probability":55,"createdAt":56,"updatedAt":57,"resolutionDate":58,"description":59,"summary":59,"volume1wk":60,"featured":26},"51456","How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?","how-many-fed-rate-cuts-in-2026",[11,49,50,51,52,53,13,54],"Fed Rates","Jerome Powell","Economic Policy","Fed","Economy","Rewards 200, 4.5, 50 Deprec",68.65,"2026-05-30T10:42:45.795Z","2026-06-16T10:01:40.617Z","2026-12-31T00:00:00.000Z","This market will resolve according to the exact amount of cuts of 25 basis points in 2026 by the Fed (including any cuts made during the December meeting).\n\nEmergency rate cuts outside of scheduled FOMC meetings will also count toward the total number of cuts in 2026. This market will remain open until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, to account for any such emergency actions.\n\nFor example, if the Fed cuts rates by 50 bps after a meeting, it would be considered 2 cuts (of 25 bps each).\n\nThis market will resolve early to \"No\" if the specified number of cuts becomes impossible — i.e., if more cuts have already occurred than the strike in question.\n\nNote that cuts between 1–24 bps (inclusive) will also be considered 1 rate cut.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be FOMC statements after meetings scheduled in 2026 according to the official calendar: https:\u002F\u002Fwww.federalreserve.gov\u002Fmonetarypolicy\u002Ffomccalendars.htm. The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https:\u002F\u002Fwww.federalreserve.gov\u002Fmonetarypolicy\u002Fopenmarket.htm.",2139440.819947004,{"id":62,"title":63,"slug":64,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":65,"probability":77,"createdAt":78,"updatedAt":79,"resolutionDate":58,"description":80,"summary":80,"volume1wk":81,"featured":26},"196914","Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?","largest-ipo-by-market-cap-in-2026-287",[11,66,67,68,15,69,70,71,72,14,73,13,74,75,76],"Tech","Big Tech","Climate & Science","Science","sam altman","Elon Musk","AI","SpaceX","OpenAI","Space","OpenAI IPO",null,"2026-05-30T10:42:58.862Z","2026-06-16T10:00:48.291Z","This market will resolve to the company that achieves the highest market capitalization in U.S. dollars based on the official closing price on its first trading day in 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nMarket capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.\n\nIf two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, this market will resolve to the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically.\n\nResolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.\n\nIn case the respective company's primary exchange’s official listing page does not report in U.S. dollars, it will be converted to U.S. dollars using the U.S. Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 foreign exchange reference rate for the relevant currency pair on the company’s first trading day (https:\u002F\u002Fwww.federalreserve.gov\u002Freleases\u002Fh10\u002F). If no such rate is available for the relevant trading day, the most recent previously published rate will be used. If the relevant currency is not listed, another credible exchange rate source will be used.\n\nA listed company may resolve to \"No\" as soon as it becomes unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.\n\nIn the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the respective companies’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.",113127.87768900002,{"id":83,"title":84,"slug":85,"category":10,"subcategory":51,"tags":86,"probability":89,"createdAt":90,"updatedAt":91,"resolutionDate":92,"description":93,"summary":93,"volume1wk":94,"featured":25},"101772","Fed Decision in June?","fed-decision-in-june-825",[51,50,49,52,87,53,88],"Politics","fomc",0.45,"2026-05-30T10:42:43.783Z","2026-06-16T10:06:42.413Z","2026-06-17T00:00:00.000Z","The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.\n\nThis market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's June 2026 meeting.\n\nIf the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut\u002Fincrease of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for June 16-17, 2026 according to the official calendar: https:\u002F\u002Fwww.federalreserve.gov\u002Fmonetarypolicy\u002Ffomccalendars.htm.\n\nThe level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https:\u002F\u002Fwww.federalreserve.gov\u002Fmonetarypolicy\u002Fopenmarket.htm.\n\nThis market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the \"No change\" bracket.\n",43753405.28664605,1781606241985]