[{"data":1,"prerenderedAt":80},["ShallowReactive",2],{"event-page-russia-x-ukraine-any-diplomatic-meeting-byptptpt-20260609011544748":3},{"event":4,"related":44},{"id":5,"slug":6,"title":7,"description":8,"summary":9,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":12,"image":19,"probability":20,"volume24hr":21,"volume1wk":22,"liquidity":23,"openInterest":24,"trendScore":25,"active":26,"closed":27,"featured":27,"startDate":28,"endDate":29,"createdAtRemote":30,"updatedAtRemote":31,"affiliateUrl":32,"polymarketUrl":32,"searchKeywords":33,"syncedAt":41,"createdAt":42,"marketCount":43},"574643","russia-x-ukraine-any-diplomatic-meeting-byptptpt-20260609011544748","Russia x Ukraine any diplomatic meeting by...?","This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Russia and Ukraine by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nA diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Russia-Ukraine relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify. \n\nBrief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.\n\nThe meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.\n\nThe resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Russia and Ukraine, and a consensus of credible reporting.","Russia x Ukraine any diplomatic meeting by...? is a geopolitics prediction market asking whether representatives of Russia and Ukraine will hold an in-person diplomatic meeting by the listed deadline. The market resolves to Yes only if there is a deliberate meeting between officials authorized to negotiate or conduct diplomacy on behalf of their governments, including indirect in-person meetings through approved mediators or interlocutors. Casual encounters, brief greetings, phone calls, and remote discussions do not count. The outcome must be publicly acknowledged by either government or supported by a consensus of credible media. This event matters because any direct diplomatic contact between Moscow and Kyiv can signal shifts in the Russia-Ukraine conflict, negotiations, or broader market sentiment around de-escalation. The forecast runs from the market’s start date in June 2026 through the end date of December 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Current market probability is about 74%, suggesting traders see a relatively high chance of a qualifying diplomatic meeting before the deadline, though the event prediction remains uncertain and dependent on official developments.","GEOPOLITICS","Russia",[11,13,14,15,16,17,18],"Geopolitics","Politics","zelenskyy","zelensky","Ukraine","putin","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\u002Frussia-x-ukraine-diplomatic-meeting-by-2anNp08yc15i.jpg",74,2993.731788,12885.361033,49897.9403,4940.06765,15342.062263900001,true,false,"2026-06-09T02:06:43.281Z","2026-12-30T20:59:00.000Z","2026-06-09T01:53:47.632Z","2026-06-16T10:04:16.112Z","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket.com\u002Fevent\u002Frussia-x-ukraine-any-diplomatic-meeting-byptptpt-20260609011544748?r=predstack",[34,35,36,37,38,39,40],"russia x ukraine any diplomatic meeting by...?","russia x ukraine any diplomatic meeting by...? prediction","russia x ukraine any diplomatic meeting by...? odds","russia x ukraine any diplomatic meeting by...? probability","geopolitics prediction market","geopolitical forecast","geopolitical probability","2026-06-16T10:31:24.263Z","2026-06-16T10:08:29.659Z",0,[45,59,70],{"id":46,"title":47,"slug":48,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":49,"probability":53,"createdAt":54,"updatedAt":55,"resolutionDate":56,"description":57,"summary":57,"volume1wk":58,"featured":27},"107996","Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? ","ukraine-agrees-not-to-join-nato-by-june-30",[11,14,17,50,13,51,52],"World","Ukraine Peace Deal","NATO",1.9,"2026-05-30T10:42:48.370Z","2026-06-16T10:02:05.162Z","2026-06-30T00:00:00.000Z","This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Ukraine publicly agrees not to join NATO by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nAn official pledge by Ukraine not to join NATO will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the Russian Federation.\n\nAny agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if\u002Fwhen the agreement goes into effect.\n\nAn agreement by Ukraine not to join NATO for any amount of time will count (e.g. If Ukraine not to join NATO for 10 years this will qualify).\n\nAn agreement by Ukraine not to join NATO as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal. The September 8, 1995 “Agreed Basic Principles” between Bosnia and Yugoslavia which recognized the borders and sovereignty of Bosnia and Herzegovina, and was later formalized through the Dayton Peace Agreement is an example of a qualifying agreement. \n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the Ukraine, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming a qualifying agreement has been reached will also count.",116061.96882400007,{"id":60,"title":61,"slug":62,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":63,"probability":64,"createdAt":65,"updatedAt":66,"resolutionDate":67,"description":68,"summary":68,"volume1wk":69,"featured":27},"79215","Will Russia rejoin the G7 before 2027?","will-russia-rejoin-the-g7-before-2027",[11,50,14,17,13],4.65,"2026-05-30T10:43:09.217Z","2026-05-30T10:40:13.403Z","2026-12-31T00:00:00.000Z","This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Russia officially rejoins the Group of Seven (G7) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf the title of the group changes (e.g., to \"G8\"), this market will still resolve to \"Yes\" so long as that group remains functionally similar to the G7.\n\nA formal rejoining must be acknowledged by a consensus of G7 member states to qualify for a \"Yes\" resolution.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from G7 member states, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",29415.497418,{"id":71,"title":72,"slug":73,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":74,"probability":75,"createdAt":76,"updatedAt":77,"resolutionDate":67,"description":78,"summary":78,"volume1wk":79,"featured":27},"485543","Russia coup attempt in 2026?","russia-coup-attempt-in-2026",[11,14,18,17,13],8.5,"2026-05-30T10:43:25.278Z","2026-05-30T10:36:16.612Z","This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Russia at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nA coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Russian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.\n\nClaims by the Russian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a \"Yes\" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.\n\nThe resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.",10837.853115999998,1781606238941]