[{"data":1,"prerenderedAt":86},["ShallowReactive",2],{"event-page-russia-parliamentary-election-winner":3},{"event":4,"related":46},{"id":5,"slug":6,"title":7,"description":8,"summary":9,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":12,"image":21,"probability":22,"volume24hr":23,"volume1wk":24,"liquidity":25,"openInterest":26,"trendScore":27,"active":28,"closed":29,"featured":29,"startDate":30,"endDate":31,"createdAtRemote":32,"updatedAtRemote":33,"affiliateUrl":34,"polymarketUrl":34,"searchKeywords":35,"syncedAt":43,"createdAt":44,"marketCount":45},"149565","russia-parliamentary-election-winner","Russia Parliamentary Election Winner","Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.\n\nIf the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nIn the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.\n\nThis market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.\n\nNote: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.\n","Russia Parliamentary Election Winner is a prediction market on which political party will win the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, scheduled for September 2026. The event forecast focuses on the parliamentary vote outcome in the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation, with resolution based on official Russian government results if credible reporting is unclear. If the outcome is still not definitively known by September 30, 2027, the market resolves to \"Other.\" Current market probability puts this outcome at about 40%, reflecting trader expectations and broader market sentiment ahead of the election. The listing matters because the State Duma is Russia’s national legislature, and seat totals will determine which party emerges as the winner under the market’s rules. The prediction market also includes specific tie-break procedures based on vote totals and, if needed, alphabetical order. Tagged under elections, politics, Russia, and Putin-related markets, this event is an election forecast for one of the most closely watched political contests in global elections.","ELECTIONS","putin",[11,13,14,15,16,17,18,19,20],"Russia","World","Elections","World Elections","Global Elections","Politics","Russia Election","Main Election","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\u002Frussia-parliamentary-election-winner-MnZ1Lsh2uVMq.png",0.4,18777.307852,50720.269279,211542.34371,40190.49117,66913.2034517,true,false,"2026-01-07T21:29:19.718Z","2026-09-20T00:00:00.000Z","2026-01-07T17:45:45.801Z","2026-05-30T10:40:10.787Z","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket.com\u002Fevent\u002Frussia-parliamentary-election-winner?r=predstack",[36,37,38,39,40,41,42],"russia parliamentary election winner","russia parliamentary election winner prediction","russia parliamentary election winner odds","russia parliamentary election winner probability","election prediction market","election forecast","election odds","2026-06-05T13:21:15.368Z","2026-05-30T10:43:02.853Z",0,[47,61,75],{"id":48,"title":49,"slug":50,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":51,"probability":55,"createdAt":56,"updatedAt":57,"resolutionDate":58,"description":59,"summary":59,"volume1wk":60,"featured":29},"31195","Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?","putin-out-before-2027",[11,52,53,18,14,13,54],"Geopolitics","Ukraine","Earn 4%",9.5,"2026-05-30T10:42:51.400Z","2026-05-30T10:30:01.110Z","2026-12-31T18:30:00.000Z","This market will resolve to “Yes” if Vladimir Putin ceases to be President of Russia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nAn announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation\u002Fremoval before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to \"Yes\", regardless of when the announced resignation\u002Fremoval goes into effect.\n\nIf the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",242787.76216600023,{"id":62,"title":63,"slug":64,"category":10,"subcategory":16,"tags":65,"probability":69,"createdAt":70,"updatedAt":71,"resolutionDate":72,"description":73,"summary":73,"volume1wk":74,"featured":28},"30829","Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028","democratic-presidential-nominee-2028",[16,17,15,18,66,54,67,68],"US Election","Primaries","United States",1.05,"2026-05-30T10:42:43.593Z","2026-05-30T10:32:02.146Z","2028-11-07T00:00:00.000Z","This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.\n\nAny replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.",14863770.623744,{"id":76,"title":77,"slug":78,"category":10,"subcategory":16,"tags":79,"probability":81,"createdAt":82,"updatedAt":83,"resolutionDate":72,"description":84,"summary":84,"volume1wk":85,"featured":28},"31552","Presidential Election Winner 2028","presidential-election-winner-2028",[16,17,66,15,18,54,80,68,20],"President",0.65,"2026-05-30T10:42:43.733Z","2026-05-30T10:38:06.128Z","The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028.\n\nThis market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.",12762950.039931998,1780676608267]