[{"data":1,"prerenderedAt":80},["ShallowReactive",2],{"event-page-republican-trifecta-with-supermajority-in-the-senate":3},{"event":4,"related":45},{"id":5,"slug":6,"title":7,"description":8,"summary":9,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":12,"image":20,"probability":21,"volume24hr":22,"volume1wk":23,"liquidity":24,"openInterest":25,"trendScore":26,"active":27,"closed":28,"featured":28,"startDate":29,"endDate":30,"createdAtRemote":31,"updatedAtRemote":32,"affiliateUrl":33,"polymarketUrl":33,"searchKeywords":34,"syncedAt":42,"createdAt":43,"marketCount":44},"131798","republican-trifecta-with-supermajority-in-the-senate","Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?","The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to “Yes” if, as a result of the midterm elections, the Republican Party controls the U.S. presidency, controls the U.S. House of Representatives, and holds at least 60 seats in the U.S. Senate.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of all Congress elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.\n\nA party will be considered to have 'control' of the House of Representatives if it wins a majority of voting seats.\n\nIf control of the House is ambiguous given the above rules, this market will resolve according to the party affiliation of the first Speaker of the US House who is selected following the 2026 United States midterm elections.\n\nA candidate's party is determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time the 2026 United States midterm elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democratic or Republican Parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party that they most recently expressed their intent to caucus with at the time the 2026 United States midterm elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.\n\nIf a Senate seat is vacant but a corresponding election is not held in November 2026, the seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.\n","Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms? is a 2026 election prediction market tracking a specific Republican sweep in the U.S. midterms. The forecast asks whether, after the November 3, 2026 elections, the Republican Party will control the U.S. presidency, win a majority in the House of Representatives, and hold at least 60 seats in the Senate. In practical terms, this is a bet on a Republican trifecta with a Senate supermajority, not just a simple House or Senate result.\n\nThe market runs through election day and may remain open longer if any runoff election could affect the final outcome. Resolution will rely on AP, Fox News, and NBC, with official certification used if those sources do not agree. Current market probability is about 9.8%, suggesting traders see the expected outcome as relatively unlikely, though not impossible. As an election forecast, it reflects broader market sentiment around the Trump-era Republican coalition, congressional control, and whether the party can secure enough Senate seats to reach the supermajority threshold.","ELECTIONS","Trump",[11,13,14,15,16,17,18,19],"Elections","Midterms","Politics","Parlays","US Election","Congress","Senate","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\u002Ft-4ffb042768.png",9.8,2913.924728,11048.869804000009,47194.98569,25412.466356,14210.620443200003,true,false,"2026-01-02T18:49:33.850Z","2026-11-03T00:00:00.000Z","2025-12-29T22:38:38.152Z","2026-05-30T10:40:25.287Z","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket.com\u002Fevent\u002Frepublican-trifecta-with-supermajority-in-the-senate?r=predstack",[35,36,37,38,39,40,41],"republicans win trifecta with senate supermajority in midterms?","republicans win trifecta with senate supermajority in midterms? prediction","republicans win trifecta with senate supermajority in midterms? odds","republicans win trifecta with senate supermajority in midterms? probability","election prediction market","election forecast","election odds","2026-06-05T13:44:27.207Z","2026-05-30T10:43:25.002Z",0,[46,57,68],{"id":47,"title":48,"slug":49,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":50,"probability":51,"createdAt":52,"updatedAt":53,"resolutionDate":54,"description":55,"summary":55,"volume1wk":56,"featured":28},"424292","Trump out as President by May 31?","trump-out-as-president-by-may-31",[11,15],0.05,"2026-05-30T10:42:46.411Z","2026-05-30T10:39:57.649Z","2026-05-31T00:00:00.000Z","This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nAn announcement of Donald Trump's resignation\u002Fremoval before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to \"Yes\", regardless of when the announced resignation\u002Fremoval goes into effect.\n\nOnly permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.\n\nA sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a \"Yes\" resolution. \n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.",1290998.4749839995,{"id":58,"title":59,"slug":60,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":61,"probability":62,"createdAt":63,"updatedAt":64,"resolutionDate":65,"description":66,"summary":66,"volume1wk":67,"featured":28},"261273","Trump out as President by June 30?","trump-out-as-president-by-june-30",[11,13,15],1.2,"2026-05-30T10:42:51.995Z","2026-05-30T10:30:27.784Z","2026-06-30T00:00:00.000Z","This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nAn announcement of Donald Trump's resignation\u002Fremoval before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to \"Yes\", regardless of when the announced resignation\u002Fremoval goes into effect.\n\nOnly permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.\n\nA sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a \"Yes\" resolution. \n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.",220747.43252000018,{"id":69,"title":70,"slug":71,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":72,"probability":44,"createdAt":75,"updatedAt":76,"resolutionDate":77,"description":78,"summary":78,"volume1wk":79,"featured":28},"52630","Will the GOP use 'Nuclear Option' to break filibuster by...?","will-the-gop-use-nuclear-option-to-break-filibuster",[11,19,15,73,74,18],"Trump Presidency","Gov Shutdown","2026-05-30T10:43:09.570Z","2026-05-30T10:31:49.436Z","2026-03-31T00:00:00.000Z","This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the US Senate passes a motion to invoke cloture and end debate on any part of the legislative process, with such a cloture motion receiving Yea votes from fewer than three-fifths of the Senators by October 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve \"No\".\n\nConfirmations are considered part of the Senate’s “advice and consent” function, not part of the Senate’s “legislative process,” and will therefore not count towards this market's resolution.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. government.",28147.440836,1780676588188]