[{"data":1,"prerenderedAt":88},["ShallowReactive",2],{"event-page-peru-election-2nd-round-margin-of-victory":3},{"event":4,"related":42},{"id":5,"slug":6,"title":7,"description":8,"summary":9,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":12,"image":17,"probability":18,"volume24hr":19,"volume1wk":20,"liquidity":21,"openInterest":22,"trendScore":23,"active":24,"closed":25,"featured":25,"startDate":26,"endDate":27,"createdAtRemote":28,"updatedAtRemote":29,"affiliateUrl":30,"polymarketUrl":30,"searchKeywords":31,"syncedAt":39,"createdAt":40,"marketCount":41},"510803","peru-election-2nd-round-margin-of-victory","Peru Election 2nd Round: Margin of Victory?","The second round of the Peru presidential election is scheduled to be held on June 7, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections.\n\nFor the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nIf two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.\n\nIf the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https:\u002F\u002Fwww.onpe.gob.pe\u002Felecciones\u002F) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https:\u002F\u002Fportal.jne.gob.pe\u002Fportal\u002F)\n\nIf a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.","Peru Election 2nd Round: Margin of Victory? is a prediction market focused on the runoff in the 2026 Peruvian presidential election, scheduled for June 7, 2026. The market forecasts the absolute margin between the first-place and second-place candidates, based on the share of valid votes each receives in the official count. In other words, traders are estimating how close or decisive the second-round result will be, not just who wins. Because the contract resolves only after the vote total is made official by Peru’s electoral authorities, the outcome depends on the final reported results from ONPE and, if needed, the JNE. If a recount delays certification, the market remains open until the count is finalized, with a backstop resolution by December 31, 2026. Current market probability is around 75%, suggesting traders currently see one listed outcome as the most likely, though the forecast can still shift as campaign developments and polling change market sentiment. This election prediction market is relevant for anyone tracking Peru, elections, politics, and election odds ahead of the June runoff.","ELECTIONS","Politics",[11,13,14,15,16],"Elections","Peru Election","Peru","rewards 200, 4.5, 20","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\u002Fperu-senate-election-winner-iMytyzRM1AVl.png",0.75,5999.177305,53545.524638,145721.89,8354.332009000002,48207.6240439,true,false,"2026-05-21T21:19:35.945Z","2026-06-07T00:00:00.000Z","2026-05-21T19:34:13.086Z","2026-05-30T10:38:29.408Z","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket.com\u002Fevent\u002Fperu-election-2nd-round-margin-of-victory?r=predstack",[32,33,34,35,36,37,38],"peru election 2nd round: margin of victory?","peru election 2nd round: margin of victory? prediction","peru election 2nd round: margin of victory? odds","peru election 2nd round: margin of victory? probability","election prediction market","election forecast","election odds","2026-06-05T13:20:43.041Z","2026-05-30T10:43:02.323Z",0,[43,60,72],{"id":44,"title":45,"slug":46,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":47,"probability":54,"createdAt":55,"updatedAt":56,"resolutionDate":57,"description":58,"summary":58,"volume1wk":59,"featured":24},"34584","Colombia Presidential Election","colombia-presidential-election",[11,48,13,49,50,51,52,53],"Global Elections","World","World Elections","Colombia Election","Colombia","Main Election",0.05,"2026-05-30T10:42:45.106Z","2026-05-30T10:40:01.668Z","2026-06-21T14:00:00.000Z","Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election. \n\nThis market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https:\u002F\u002Fregistraduria.gov.co).",2471916.2878689985,{"id":61,"title":62,"slug":63,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":64,"probability":66,"createdAt":67,"updatedAt":68,"resolutionDate":69,"description":70,"summary":70,"volume1wk":71,"featured":25},"106520","Peru Presidential Election Winner","peru-presidential-election-winner",[11,48,50,13,15,14,53,65],"Rewards 200, 4.5, 50",1.05,"2026-05-30T10:42:44.740Z","2026-05-30T10:40:04.425Z","2026-04-12T00:00:00.000Z","General elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Peruvian Presidential election. \n\nThis market includes any potential second round. \n\nIf the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https:\u002F\u002Fwww.onpe.gob.pe\u002Felecciones\u002F) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https:\u002F\u002Fportal.jne.gob.pe\u002Fportal\u002F) ",3592881.1421839977,{"id":73,"title":74,"slug":75,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":76,"probability":82,"createdAt":83,"updatedAt":84,"resolutionDate":85,"description":86,"summary":86,"volume1wk":87,"featured":25},"485538","Makerfield by-election Winner","makerfield-by-election-winner",[11,77,48,78,79,53,13,80,81],"Main Elections","UK Elections","UK","Starmer","Makerfield",74,"2026-05-30T10:42:47.119Z","2026-05-30T10:31:32.628Z","2026-06-18T00:00:00.000Z","A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is expected to be held in 2026 following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026.\n\nIf the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https:\u002F\u002Fwww.wigan.gov.uk\u002F).",1004735.6340569996,1780676611895]