[{"data":1,"prerenderedAt":85},["ShallowReactive",2],{"event-page-peru-election-2nd-round-margin-of-victory-0pt1-brackets-20260609021541549":3},{"event":4,"related":42},{"id":5,"slug":6,"title":7,"description":8,"summary":9,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":12,"image":17,"probability":18,"volume24hr":19,"volume1wk":20,"liquidity":21,"openInterest":22,"trendScore":23,"active":24,"closed":25,"featured":25,"startDate":26,"endDate":27,"createdAtRemote":28,"updatedAtRemote":29,"affiliateUrl":30,"polymarketUrl":30,"searchKeywords":31,"syncedAt":39,"createdAt":40,"marketCount":41},"574717","peru-election-2nd-round-margin-of-victory-0pt1-brackets-20260609021541549","Peru Election 2nd Round: Margin of Victory? (0.1% brackets)","The second round of the Peru presidential election is scheduled to be held on June 7, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections.\n\nFor the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nIf two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.\n\nIf the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https:\u002F\u002Fwww.onpe.gob.pe\u002Felecciones\u002F) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https:\u002F\u002Fportal.jne.gob.pe\u002Fportal\u002F)\n\nIf a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.","Peru Election 2nd Round: Margin of Victory? (0.1% brackets) is a prediction market on how narrow or wide the winning margin will be in the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election, scheduled for June 7, 2026. Traders are forecasting the absolute difference between the valid-vote percentages received by the first-place and second-place candidates, with the result resolved into 0.1% brackets based on official vote counts from Peru’s electoral authorities, including ONPE and JNE. This makes the market a direct election forecast rather than a simple winner selection, since it focuses on the expected outcome between the top two candidates and the final margin of victory. Current market probability is around 5%, suggesting traders assign a relatively low chance to the listed bracket outcome, though the odds can shift as election day approaches and results are reported. If the vote count is delayed or disputed, the market remains open until the official total is confirmed, and it will resolve to Other if the election outcome is not known by December 31, 2026. The market sits in the Elections category and reflects broader market sentiment on Peru politics and the global election cycle.","ELECTIONS","Elections",[11,13,14,15,16],"Peru Election","Global Elections","Peru","Politics","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\u002Fperu-senate-election-winner-iMytyzRM1AVl.png",0.05,218055.62011900003,1651491.1064829992,656433.96012,177122.65467300004,735761.9340283998,true,false,"2026-06-09T02:36:16.576Z",null,"2026-06-09T02:18:10.121Z","2026-06-16T10:04:00.168Z","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket.com\u002Fevent\u002Fperu-election-2nd-round-margin-of-victory-0pt1-brackets-20260609021541549?r=predstack",[32,33,34,35,36,37,38],"peru election 2nd round: margin of victory? (0.1% brackets)","peru election 2nd round: margin of victory? (0.1% brackets) prediction","peru election 2nd round: margin of victory? (0.1% brackets) odds","peru election 2nd round: margin of victory? (0.1% brackets) probability","election prediction market","election forecast","election odds","2026-06-16T10:09:40.536Z","2026-06-16T10:07:53.136Z",0,[43,58,71],{"id":44,"title":45,"slug":46,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":47,"probability":52,"createdAt":53,"updatedAt":54,"resolutionDate":55,"description":56,"summary":56,"volume1wk":57,"featured":25},"79987","Next French Presidential Election","next-french-presidential-election",[11,14,48,49,16,50,51],"World","France","French Election","Main Election",7.5,"2026-05-30T10:42:44.243Z","2026-06-16T10:04:47.789Z","2027-04-30T00:00:00.000Z","The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027.  This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. \n\nThe President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.\n\nThis market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https:\u002F\u002Fwww.interieur.gouv.fr\u002F).",5849720.156036999,{"id":59,"title":60,"slug":61,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":62,"probability":65,"createdAt":66,"updatedAt":67,"resolutionDate":68,"description":69,"summary":69,"volume1wk":70,"featured":25},"452754","2026 Gyeongsangnam Province Gubernatorial Election Winner","2026-gyeongsangnam-province-gubernatorial-election-winner",[11,48,16,14,63,51,64],"South Korea","World Elections",63,"2026-05-30T10:42:54.466Z","2026-05-30T10:32:42.319Z","2026-06-03T06:00:00.000Z","The 2026 Gyeongsangnam Province gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place on June 3, 2026 to elect the next Governor of Gyeongsangnam Province.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.",138389.29990999997,{"id":72,"title":73,"slug":74,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":75,"probability":79,"createdAt":80,"updatedAt":81,"resolutionDate":82,"description":83,"summary":83,"volume1wk":84,"featured":25},"73969","Trump out as President before 2027?","trump-out-as-president-before-2027",[11,16,76,77,78],"Geopolitics","Trump","Epstein",9.5,"2026-05-30T10:42:54.427Z","2026-06-16T10:01:59.514Z","2026-12-31T00:00:00.000Z","This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nAn announcement of Donald Trump's resignation\u002Fremoval before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to \"Yes\", regardless of when the announced resignation\u002Fremoval goes into effect.\n\nOnly permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.\n\nA sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a \"Yes\" resolution. \n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.",101117.75561800008,1781606268280]