[{"data":1,"prerenderedAt":84},["ShallowReactive",2],{"event-page-party-of-next-prime-minister-of-romania-788":3},{"event":4,"related":42},{"id":5,"slug":6,"title":7,"description":8,"summary":9,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":12,"image":17,"probability":18,"volume24hr":19,"volume1wk":20,"liquidity":21,"openInterest":22,"trendScore":23,"active":24,"closed":25,"featured":25,"startDate":26,"endDate":27,"createdAtRemote":28,"updatedAtRemote":29,"affiliateUrl":30,"polymarketUrl":30,"searchKeywords":31,"syncedAt":39,"createdAt":40,"marketCount":41},"452587","party-of-next-prime-minister-of-romania-788","Party of Next Prime Minister of Romania?","This market will resolve to the political party of the next officially appointed and confirmed Prime Minister of Romania by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nTo count for resolution, the Prime Minister must be both formally appointed by the President of Romania and receive a vote of confidence from Parliament, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nIf the prime minister comes from inside parliament, the party of the Prime Minister will be determined based on their formal party affiliation at the time they become Prime Minister. If the Prime Minister comes from outside parliament, their party will be determined by a consensus of credible reporting on which party they represent, hold membership in, or are formally affiliated with. If no clear affiliation exists, this market will resolve to “Independent\u002FTechnocrat”.\n\nIf no such Prime Minister is confirmed by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","Party of Next Prime Minister of Romania? is a political prediction market asking which party will hold the office of Romania’s next officially appointed and confirmed prime minister. The forecast resolves only when a new prime minister is formally appointed by the President of Romania and then receives a vote of confidence from Parliament, creating a new government. Interim or caretaker leaders do not count unless they secure that parliamentary approval. If the officeholder is an independent or a technocrat with no clear party affiliation, the market can resolve to Independent\u002FTechnocrat, and if no confirmed prime minister is in place by December 31, 2027, the outcome is Other.\n\nThis event matters because it reflects market sentiment on Romania’s political alignment, coalition dynamics, and the likelihood of a stable governing party emerging before the deadline. Traders are currently assigning about 27% probability to the listed outcome, making it a closely watched political forecast rather than a settled expectation. The market’s end date is June 30, 2026, while the resolution deadline extends to the end of 2027, giving participants time to price in future government formation and changes in party power.","POLITICS","Romania",[11,13,14,15,16],"Politics","Global Elections","Elections","Rewards 20, 4.5, 50","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\u002Fnext-prime-minister-of-romania-party-LQ77lH2izZmR.png",27,3436.211719,20567.127177999995,37204.96397,12375.299144,15329.236806899999,true,false,"2026-05-11T13:10:51.330Z","2026-06-30T00:00:00.000Z","2026-05-05T19:33:41.806Z","2026-06-16T10:02:45.466Z","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket.com\u002Fevent\u002Fparty-of-next-prime-minister-of-romania-788?r=predstack",[32,33,34,35,36,37,38],"party of next prime minister of romania?","party of next prime minister of romania? prediction","party of next prime minister of romania? odds","party of next prime minister of romania? probability","political prediction market","political forecast","political probability","2026-06-16T10:25:15.349Z","2026-06-16T10:08:21.978Z",0,[43,55,68],{"id":44,"title":45,"slug":46,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":47,"probability":49,"createdAt":50,"updatedAt":51,"resolutionDate":52,"description":53,"summary":53,"volume1wk":54,"featured":24},"219798","Romanian PM Bolojan out by...?","romanian-pm-bolojan-out-by",[11,48,13],"World",96.45,"2026-05-30T10:43:08.527Z","2026-06-16T10:02:41.796Z","2026-12-31T00:00:00.000Z","This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ilie Bolojan ceases to be Prime Minister of Romania for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nAn announcement of Ilie Bolojan's resignation\u002Fremoval before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to \"Yes\", regardless of when the announced resignation\u002Fremoval goes into effect.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from Ilie Bolojan and the government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",48705.575570999994,{"id":56,"title":57,"slug":58,"category":10,"subcategory":13,"tags":59,"probability":41,"createdAt":63,"updatedAt":64,"resolutionDate":65,"description":66,"summary":66,"volume1wk":67,"featured":24},"438327","Iran closes its airspace by...?","iran-closes-its-airspace-by",[13,60,61,62],"Geopolitics","U.S. x Iran","Iran","2026-05-30T10:42:44.156Z","2026-05-30T10:38:40.231Z","2026-05-31T00:00:00.000Z","This market will resolve to “Yes” if Iran initiates a major closure of its airspace, that is not solely due to weather conditions, by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nA “major closure” is defined as a broad closure, cancellation, or suspension of commercial flights transiting, arriving in, and departing from Iranian airspace or a major Iranian Airspace region. A qualifying closure must apply generally to flights across Iran or a major Iranian airspace region. Limited cancellations, delays, or other partial closures will not qualify. Limited exceptions to a broad closure, however, will not disqualify such a closure from counting (e.g. exceptions for certain flights pre-approved by the Iranian Civil Aviation Authority may be permitted). \n\nAny non-weather complete suspension of commercial arrivals and departures affecting at least two of the following airports will qualify: Imam Khomeini International Airport (IKA), Mehrabad Airport (THR), Mashhad International Airport (MHD), Shiraz International Airport (SYZ), or Isfahan International Airport (IFN).\n\nQualifying previous examples include the January 2026 total closure of Iranian airspace except to international flights with express governmental permission (https:\u002F\u002Fwww.reuters.com\u002Fworld\u002Fmiddle-east\u002Firan-shuts-airspace-most-flights-flightradar24-says-2026-01-14\u002F) and the April 2024 closure of Iran’s western airspace (https:\u002F\u002Fwww.reuters.com\u002Fworld\u002Fmiddle-east\u002Firanian-airports-cancel-flights-until-monday-morning-2024-04-14\u002F). Non-qualifying examples include the January 27, 2026 partial closure of Iranian airspace around the Strait of Hormuz (https:\u002F\u002Fwww.aa.com.tr\u002Fen\u002Fmiddle-east\u002Firan-issues-airspace-notice-for-military-drills-near-strait-of-hormuz\u002F3812508) and the January 25 - April 25, 2026 VFR (Visual Flight Rules) flights suspension which did not broadly close commercial aviation in a qualifying region (https:\u002F\u002Fwww.intellinews.com\u002Firan-suspends-general-aviation-and-vfr-flights-in-new-airspace-directive-421997\u002F).\n\nWarnings, No-Fly-Zones, or other flight restrictions imposed by airlines or countries other than Iran will not be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution.\n\nAirspace closures which occur solely due to weather conditions will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from Iranian aviation authorities and a consensus of credible reporting.",6620506.11378,{"id":69,"title":70,"slug":71,"category":10,"subcategory":13,"tags":72,"probability":78,"createdAt":79,"updatedAt":80,"resolutionDate":81,"description":82,"summary":82,"volume1wk":83,"featured":24},"31875","Republican Presidential Nominee 2028","republican-presidential-nominee-2028",[13,73,15,74,14,75,76,77],"US Election","World Elections","Earn 4%","Primaries","United States",2.65,"2026-05-30T10:42:43.975Z","2026-06-16T10:03:36.054Z","2028-11-07T00:00:00.000Z","This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources.\n\nAny replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.",4777429.576322999,1781606260361]