[{"data":1,"prerenderedAt":94},["ShallowReactive",2],{"event-page-openai-files-ipo-by":3},{"event":4,"related":45},{"id":5,"slug":6,"title":7,"description":8,"summary":9,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":12,"image":21,"probability":22,"volume24hr":23,"volume1wk":24,"liquidity":25,"openInterest":26,"trendScore":27,"active":28,"closed":29,"featured":29,"startDate":30,"endDate":31,"createdAtRemote":32,"updatedAtRemote":33,"affiliateUrl":34,"polymarketUrl":34,"searchKeywords":35,"syncedAt":43,"createdAt":44,"marketCount":22},"509955","openai-files-ipo-by","OpenAI files IPO by...?","This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if OpenAI files a Form S-1 or F-1 registration statement with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission by the listed date 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA qualifying filing includes either (a) a publicly available filing on the SEC's EDGAR database, or (b) a confidential submission that is explicitly confirmed by OpenAI or reported as completed by a consensus of credible reporting.\n\nA filing must be confirmed or announced as having been completed within the market's timeframe to qualify. Confirmations, announcements, or reporting that occur after the end date will not be considered, even if the filing itself occurred within the timeframe.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official filings from the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","OpenAI files IPO by...? is a finance prediction market asking whether OpenAI will file a Form S-1 or F-1 registration statement with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission by the listed deadline. The forecast focuses on a specific regulatory milestone for a potential OpenAI IPO, not on whether the company will ultimately go public. To resolve “Yes,” the filing must be publicly available on the SEC’s EDGAR database or be a confidential submission explicitly confirmed by OpenAI or supported by a consensus of credible reporting, and that confirmation must occur by 11:59 PM ET on June 6, 2026. After that deadline, later confirmations do not count. Current market probability is 0%, suggesting traders are not pricing in a filing within the timeframe. As an AI and Big Tech event prediction, this market reflects sentiment around OpenAI, Sam Altman, and the broader IPO and finance landscape.","FINANCE","OpenAI IPO",[11,13,14,15,16,17,18,19,20],"Big Tech","IPO","Finance","Tech","sam altman","AI","IPOs","OpenAI","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\u002Fwill-openai-release-a-new-frontier-model-by-december-13-sPNirq9Ogx-3.png",0,1300.124764,11036.056370999999,1411.6549,4069.222979,4243.210273299999,true,false,"2026-05-21T21:26:14.590Z","2026-06-06T00:00:00.000Z","2026-05-21T15:00:29.888Z","2026-05-30T10:33:57.036Z","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket.com\u002Fevent\u002Fopenai-files-ipo-by?r=predstack",[36,37,38,39,40,41,42],"openai files ipo by...?","openai files ipo by...? prediction","openai files ipo by...? odds","openai files ipo by...? probability","finance prediction market","financial forecast","market odds","2026-06-05T13:44:29.664Z","2026-05-30T10:43:25.050Z",[46,62,80],{"id":47,"title":48,"slug":49,"category":10,"subcategory":15,"tags":50,"probability":22,"createdAt":58,"updatedAt":59,"resolutionDate":60,"description":48,"summary":48,"volume1wk":61,"featured":28},"415443","What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in May 2026?","what-price-will-wti-hit-in-may-2026",[15,51,52,53,54,55,56,57],"Monthly","Hit Price","Hide From New","Finance Updown","Pyth Finance","Commodities","Oil","2026-05-30T10:42:43.693Z","2026-05-30T10:38:59.671Z","2026-05-31T17:00:00.000Z",12887084.736748997,{"id":63,"title":64,"slug":65,"category":10,"subcategory":66,"tags":67,"probability":74,"createdAt":75,"updatedAt":76,"resolutionDate":77,"description":78,"summary":78,"volume1wk":79,"featured":28},"101772","Fed Decision in June?","fed-decision-in-june-825","Economic Policy",[66,68,69,70,71,72,73],"Jerome Powell","Fed Rates","Fed","Politics","Economy","fomc",0.75,"2026-05-30T10:42:43.783Z","2026-05-30T10:39:31.611Z","2026-06-17T00:00:00.000Z","The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.\n\nThis market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's June 2026 meeting.\n\nIf the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut\u002Fincrease of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for June 16-17, 2026 according to the official calendar: https:\u002F\u002Fwww.federalreserve.gov\u002Fmonetarypolicy\u002Ffomccalendars.htm.\n\nThe level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https:\u002F\u002Fwww.federalreserve.gov\u002Fmonetarypolicy\u002Fopenmarket.htm.\n\nThis market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the \"No change\" bracket.\n",11018139.856811013,{"id":81,"title":82,"slug":83,"category":10,"subcategory":16,"tags":84,"probability":88,"createdAt":89,"updatedAt":90,"resolutionDate":91,"description":92,"summary":92,"volume1wk":93,"featured":28},"102007","SpaceX IPO closing market cap above ___ ?","spacex-ipo-closing-market-cap-above",[16,13,85,14,86,19,87],"Elon Musk","SpaceX","Climate & Science",98.65,"2026-05-30T10:42:46.312Z","2026-05-30T10:34:08.685Z","2027-12-31T00:00:00.000Z","This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for SpaceX’s market capitalization on its first trading day is above the value specified in the title. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.\n\nIf no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nMarket capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.\n\nResolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.\n\nIn the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.",1314816.7019979998,1780676593124]