[{"data":1,"prerenderedAt":81},["ShallowReactive",2],{"event-page-next-google-gemini-pro-model-released-onptptpt":3},{"event":4,"related":42},{"id":5,"slug":6,"title":7,"description":8,"summary":9,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":12,"image":17,"probability":18,"volume24hr":19,"volume1wk":20,"liquidity":21,"openInterest":22,"trendScore":23,"active":24,"closed":25,"featured":25,"startDate":26,"endDate":27,"createdAtRemote":28,"updatedAtRemote":29,"affiliateUrl":30,"polymarketUrl":30,"searchKeywords":31,"syncedAt":39,"createdAt":40,"marketCount":41},"549547","next-google-gemini-pro-model-released-onptptpt","Next Google Gemini Pro Model released on...?","This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.\n\nAny Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as \"Pro\" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.\n\nProducts labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.\n\nA qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.","Next Google Gemini Pro Model released on...? is a prediction market about when Google will make its next Gemini Pro model available to the general public. The forecast is based on the calendar date, ET, when a qualifying Gemini Pro release is officially launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open waitlist signups. Models labeled Flash, Flash-Lite, or other non-Pro variants do not count, and private or closed beta access will not resolve the market. The event runs from June 1, 2026 through June 30, 2026, giving traders a clear timing window to assess the expected outcome. \n\nThis technology prediction market matters because Gemini is central to Google’s AI product strategy, and a new Pro model release would signal the company’s next step in model deployment and public availability. Market sentiment currently implies a low probability of 3.6%, suggesting traders see a June release as possible but not likely. Resolution will rely primarily on official Google information, with credible reporting used as supporting verification. For users following AI and Google product launches, this event prediction captures both the timing and the market odds around the next Gemini Pro rollout.","TECH","Tech",[11,13,14,15,16],"AI","Gemini","google","Rewards 50, 4.5, 100 Deprec","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\u002Fgemini-3pt0-released-by-Jgab86ADS9yM.png",3.6,886.85006,18092.175861,51854.06978,11297.172281000003,16241.8917443,true,false,"2026-06-01T23:16:41.484Z","2026-06-30T16:00:00.000Z","2026-06-01T22:56:15.963Z","2026-06-16T10:06:11.884Z","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket.com\u002Fevent\u002Fnext-google-gemini-pro-model-released-onptptpt?r=predstack",[32,33,34,35,36,37,38],"next google gemini pro model released on...?","next google gemini pro model released on...? prediction","next google gemini pro model released on...? odds","next google gemini pro model released on...? probability","technology prediction market","tech forecast","technology probability","2026-06-16T10:26:55.040Z","2026-06-16T10:08:24.164Z",0,[43,58,69],{"id":44,"title":45,"slug":46,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":47,"probability":52,"createdAt":53,"updatedAt":54,"resolutionDate":55,"description":56,"summary":56,"volume1wk":57,"featured":25},"57705","Which company has best AI model end of June?","which-company-has-best-ai-model-end-of-june",[11,48,49,50,51,13],"Big Tech","GPT-5","Grok","OpenAI",4.5,"2026-05-30T10:42:46.365Z","2026-06-16T10:07:42.031Z","2026-06-30T00:00:00.000Z","This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https:\u002F\u002Flmarena.ai\u002F) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab is checked on June 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Rank\" section on the Leaderboard tab of https:\u002F\u002Flmarena.ai\u002Fleaderboard\u002Ftext with the style control off will be used to resolve this market.\n\nModels will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https:\u002F\u002Flmarena.ai\u002F. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.",2723773.234457999,{"id":59,"title":60,"slug":61,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":62,"probability":63,"createdAt":64,"updatedAt":65,"resolutionDate":66,"description":67,"summary":67,"volume1wk":68,"featured":25},"556131","Which company has best AI model end of July?","which-company-has-best-ai-model-end-of-july-299",[11,13],9.2,"2026-06-16T10:08:00.151Z","2026-06-16T10:02:54.129Z","2026-07-31T00:00:00.000Z","This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https:\u002F\u002Flmarena.ai\u002F) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab is checked on July 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Rank\" section on the Leaderboard tab of https:\u002F\u002Flmarena.ai\u002Fleaderboard\u002Ftext with the style control off will be used to resolve this market.\n\nModels will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https:\u002F\u002Flmarena.ai\u002F. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.",205376.229327,{"id":70,"title":71,"slug":72,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":73,"probability":76,"createdAt":77,"updatedAt":78,"resolutionDate":55,"description":79,"summary":79,"volume1wk":80,"featured":25},"117916","Which companies will have a #1 AI model by June 30?","which-companies-will-have-a-1-ai-model-by-june-30",[11,13,74,75,50],"Business","DeepSeek",4.35,"2026-05-30T10:42:55.527Z","2026-06-16T10:02:05.041Z","This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the listed company has the highest arena score on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https:\u002F\u002Flmarena.ai\u002F) for any amount of time by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nResults from the \"Arena Score\" section on the Leaderboard tab of https:\u002F\u002Flmarena.ai\u002F with the style control unchecked will be used to resolve this market.\n\nIf a listed model ties for #1 Arena score, it will suffice to resolve this market to \"Yes.\"\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https:\u002F\u002Flmarena.ai\u002F. If this resolution source becomes unavailable, the market will remain open until it is accessible again. If it becomes permanently unavailable, resolution will be based on another credible source.\n",134039.990417,1781606246596]