[{"data":1,"prerenderedAt":83},["ShallowReactive",2],{"event-page-netanyahu-out-before-2027":3},{"event":4,"related":43},{"id":5,"slug":6,"title":7,"description":8,"summary":9,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":12,"image":18,"probability":19,"volume24hr":20,"volume1wk":21,"liquidity":22,"openInterest":23,"trendScore":24,"active":25,"closed":26,"featured":26,"startDate":27,"endDate":28,"createdAtRemote":29,"updatedAtRemote":30,"affiliateUrl":31,"polymarketUrl":31,"searchKeywords":32,"syncedAt":40,"createdAt":41,"marketCount":42},"34051","netanyahu-out-before-2027","Netanyahu out by...?","This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Benjamin Netanyahu announces that he will resign as Prime Minister of Israel, or otherwise steps down from\u002Fis removed from this position by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nNote that an announcement of Benjamin Netanyahu's resignation or removal before the resolution date will suffice to resolve this market to \"Yes\" regardless of if\u002Fwhen he actually steps down.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the State of Israel, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.","\"Netanyahu out by...?\" is a geopolitics prediction market on whether Benjamin Netanyahu will announce his resignation as Prime Minister of Israel, or otherwise step down from or be removed from the role, by December 31, 2026. The market resolves to Yes if an official resignation or removal announcement occurs before the deadline, even if the actual transition happens later. If no such announcement or change in office is confirmed by the end date, the outcome resolves to No.\n\nThis event matters because it tracks political stability in Israel and broader Middle East developments, making it relevant to traders following World politics, Israeli government leadership, and event prediction markets. The primary resolution source is official information from the government of the State of Israel, with credible reporting also considered.\n\nAs of the latest update, market probability is around 53.5%, suggesting traders see the outcome as slightly more likely than not, though not certain. The forecast remains active through the end-of-2026 deadline, so sentiment and odds may shift as political conditions change.","GEOPOLITICS","World",[11,13,14,15,16,17],"Geopolitics","Middle East","Israel","Politics","Earn 4%","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\u002Fnetanyahu-out-in-2025-Vc7bE4GtiJzM.jpg",53.5,59228.402776,470688.30231599987,201691.37513,1614326.669266,211158.96710879996,true,false,"2025-07-24T23:47:39.166Z","2026-12-31T00:00:00.000Z","2025-07-24T23:11:19.184Z","2026-05-30T10:34:01.136Z","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket.com\u002Fevent\u002Fnetanyahu-out-before-2027?r=predstack",[33,34,35,36,37,38,39],"netanyahu out by...?","netanyahu out by...? prediction","netanyahu out by...? odds","netanyahu out by...? probability","geopolitics prediction market","geopolitical forecast","geopolitical probability","2026-06-05T13:06:40.732Z","2026-05-30T10:42:49.232Z",0,[44,56,72],{"id":45,"title":46,"slug":47,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":48,"probability":50,"createdAt":51,"updatedAt":52,"resolutionDate":53,"description":54,"summary":54,"volume1wk":55,"featured":26},"107726","Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?","will-china-invade-taiwan-by-june-30-2026",[11,49,13,16],"China",0.95,"2026-05-30T10:42:49.544Z","2026-05-30T10:37:57.200Z","2026-06-30T00:00:00.000Z","This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if China commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the Republic of China (Taiwan) by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nTerritory under the administration of the Republic of China, including any inhabited islands, will qualify; however, uninhabited islands will not qualify. \n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official confirmation by China, Taiwan, the United Nations, or any permanent member of the UN Security Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",407490.007161001,{"id":57,"title":58,"slug":59,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":60,"probability":42,"createdAt":68,"updatedAt":69,"resolutionDate":53,"description":70,"summary":70,"volume1wk":71,"featured":26},"72352","Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by...?","will-russia-capture-all-of-kupiansk-by",[11,61,13,16,62,63,64,65,66,67],"Kupyansk","putin","Military Actions","Russia Capture","Ukraine Map","Ukraine","Russia","2026-05-30T10:42:53.083Z","2026-05-30T10:31:53.239Z","This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the entirety of Kupiansk by November 30, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET.\n\nKupiansk will be considered captured if the entirety of the municipality is shaded red on the ISW map (https:\u002F\u002Fstorymaps.arcgis.com\u002Fstories\u002F36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by November 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe territory of the municipality is shaded in light grey and is distinguished from bordering municipalities such as \"Moskovka\" with a darker grey line. If all area within the municipality is shaded in red, but the shading does not precisely match up with the border, such that there is a tiny amount of grey along the border of the city, this will still qualify for a \"Yes\" resolution.\n\nFor the purpose of this market, areas separated from the main municipality through a darker grey line, such as in the southeast of Kupiansk (https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\u002Fh-b99a52275d.png), will not count towards the municipality.\n\nOnce Russia captures Kupiansk, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.\n\nKupiansk Location: https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\u002FKupiansk+location.jpeg\nLocation on Google maps: https:\u002F\u002Fmaps.app.goo.gl\u002FngCjTi39GSjbzaC46 \n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https:\u002F\u002Fdeepstatemap.live\u002F) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.\n\nNote: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map which will not be considered.\n\nIf Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.",166930.00940800007,{"id":73,"title":74,"slug":75,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":76,"probability":77,"createdAt":78,"updatedAt":79,"resolutionDate":80,"description":81,"summary":81,"volume1wk":82,"featured":26},"281143","Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?","will-china-invade-taiwan-by-september-30-2026",[11,16,49,13],2.8,"2026-05-30T10:42:57.194Z","2026-05-30T10:38:22.054Z","2026-09-30T00:00:00.000Z","This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if China commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the Republic of China (Taiwan) by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nTerritory under the administration of the Republic of China, including any inhabited islands, will qualify; however, uninhabited islands will not qualify. \n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official confirmation by China, Taiwan, the United Nations, or any permanent member of the UN Security Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",93684.47096800001,1780676632466]