[{"data":1,"prerenderedAt":86},["ShallowReactive",2],{"event-page-netanyahu-drops-out-of-israel-election-by-july-31":3},{"event":4,"related":42},{"id":5,"slug":6,"title":7,"description":8,"summary":9,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":12,"image":17,"probability":18,"volume24hr":19,"volume1wk":20,"liquidity":21,"openInterest":22,"trendScore":23,"active":24,"closed":25,"featured":25,"startDate":26,"endDate":27,"createdAtRemote":28,"updatedAtRemote":29,"affiliateUrl":30,"polymarketUrl":30,"searchKeywords":31,"syncedAt":39,"createdAt":40,"marketCount":41},"428627","netanyahu-drops-out-of-israel-election-by-july-31","Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by July 31?","Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to “Yes” if Benjamin Netanyahu announces that he will not run for reelection to the Israeli Knesset in this election by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nOnly definitive announcements will count. Suggestions, statements of consideration, or other non-definitive statements will not count. \n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Benjamin Netanyahu; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by July 31? is a prediction market centered on whether Benjamin Netanyahu will definitively announce that he will not run for reelection to the Israeli Knesset in the upcoming Israel legislative election. The market resolves “Yes” only if such a statement is made by July 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET; non-definitive comments, hints, or expressions of consideration do not count. The event matters because Netanyahu remains a central figure in Israeli politics and in the Likud party, so any formal decision about his candidacy could shape the broader election forecast and market sentiment around Israel’s 2026 legislative race, currently expected on October 27, 2026. As of the latest pricing, traders are assigning a probability of about 9.5% to a drop-out announcement by the deadline, indicating low but nonzero odds of this event. Resolution will rely primarily on official information from Netanyahu, though credible reporting may also be used if needed. For prediction market participants, this is a straightforward event prediction tied to a specific deadline and a clearly defined expected outcome.","ELECTIONS","Israel Election",[11,13,14,15,16],"netanyahu","Israel","Likud","Politics","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\u002Fnetanyahu-drops-out-of-israel-election-by-july-31-CuB09-ujzGze.jpg",9.5,3510.115738,13378.437561000004,15851.8887,22195.109189,8938.966877300001,true,false,"2026-04-30T00:08:06.597Z","2026-07-31T00:00:00.000Z","2026-04-28T20:00:28.094Z","2026-06-16T10:02:46.805Z","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket.com\u002Fevent\u002Fnetanyahu-drops-out-of-israel-election-by-july-31?r=predstack",[32,33,34,35,36,37,38],"netanyahu drops out of israel election by july 31?","netanyahu drops out of israel election by july 31? prediction","netanyahu drops out of israel election by july 31? odds","netanyahu drops out of israel election by july 31? probability","election prediction market","election forecast","election odds","2026-06-16T10:30:50.044Z","2026-06-16T10:08:29.079Z",0,[43,60,75],{"id":44,"title":45,"slug":46,"category":10,"subcategory":16,"tags":47,"probability":54,"createdAt":55,"updatedAt":56,"resolutionDate":57,"description":58,"summary":58,"volume1wk":59,"featured":24},"106520","Peru Presidential Election Winner","peru-presidential-election-winner",[16,48,49,50,51,52,53],"Global Elections","World Elections","Elections","Peru","Peru Election","Main Election",0.15,"2026-05-30T10:42:44.740Z","2026-06-16T10:02:41.642Z","2026-04-12T00:00:00.000Z","General elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Peruvian Presidential election. \n\nThis market includes any potential second round. \n\nIf the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https:\u002F\u002Fwww.onpe.gob.pe\u002Felecciones\u002F) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https:\u002F\u002Fportal.jne.gob.pe\u002Fportal\u002F) ",16525619.599477056,{"id":61,"title":62,"slug":63,"category":10,"subcategory":49,"tags":64,"probability":69,"createdAt":70,"updatedAt":71,"resolutionDate":72,"description":73,"summary":73,"volume1wk":74,"featured":24},"30829","Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028","democratic-presidential-nominee-2028",[49,48,50,16,65,66,67,68],"US Election","Earn 4%","Primaries","United States",1.05,"2026-05-30T10:42:43.593Z","2026-06-16T10:06:50.972Z","2028-11-07T00:00:00.000Z","This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.\n\nAny replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.",9084772.468148999,{"id":76,"title":77,"slug":78,"category":10,"subcategory":49,"tags":79,"probability":81,"createdAt":82,"updatedAt":83,"resolutionDate":72,"description":84,"summary":84,"volume1wk":85,"featured":24},"31552","Presidential Election Winner 2028","presidential-election-winner-2028",[49,48,65,50,16,66,80,68,53],"President",0.65,"2026-05-30T10:42:43.733Z","2026-06-16T10:05:49.318Z","The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028.\n\nThis market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.",6422552.3238429995,1781606235706]