[{"data":1,"prerenderedAt":88},["ShallowReactive",2],{"event-page-mojtaba-khamenei-leaves-iran-by":3},{"event":4,"related":43},{"id":5,"slug":6,"title":7,"description":8,"summary":9,"category":10,"subcategory":11,"tags":12,"image":19,"probability":20,"volume24hr":21,"volume1wk":22,"liquidity":23,"openInterest":24,"trendScore":25,"active":26,"closed":27,"featured":27,"startDate":28,"endDate":29,"createdAtRemote":30,"updatedAtRemote":31,"affiliateUrl":32,"polymarketUrl":32,"searchKeywords":33,"syncedAt":41,"createdAt":42,"marketCount":20},"259052","mojtaba-khamenei-leaves-iran-by","Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by...?","This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if it is confirmed that Mojtaba Khamenei has left Iran for any length of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIn cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to \"Yes\". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to \"Yes\".\n\nIf it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.","\"Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by...?\" is a political prediction market asking whether Mojtaba Khamenei, a prominent figure in Iran’s ruling establishment, will be confirmed to have left Iran for any length of time by the resolution deadline. The event focuses on a simple binary forecast: traders are pricing the odds of a \"Yes\" outcome if credible reporting confirms he exited Iranian territory or airspace in a way that meets the market rules, and \"No\" if no such confirmation appears by 11:59 PM ET on April 30, 2026. This market sits in the Politics category under Khamenei and is closely tied to broader questions about Iran, the supreme leader’s circle, and regime stability. Because resolution depends on a consensus of credible reporting, market sentiment will likely track news coverage, official statements, and geopolitical developments rather than speculation alone. The current market probability is 0%, indicating no active consensus on a confirmed departure at this time.","POLITICS","Khamenei",[11,13,14,15,16,17,18],"Politics","Iran","Geopolitics","ayatollah","supreme leader","Iran Regime","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com\u002Fmojtaba-khamenei-leaves-iran-by-JjucMANvXk5m.jpg",0,170398.320901,291497.35707200004,270387.63535,232946.736503,226725.89464210003,true,false,"2026-03-10T23:55:56.547Z","2026-04-30T00:00:00.000Z","2026-03-10T15:58:27.546Z","2026-05-30T10:31:39.341Z","https:\u002F\u002Fpolymarket.com\u002Fevent\u002Fmojtaba-khamenei-leaves-iran-by?r=predstack",[34,35,36,37,38,39,40],"mojtaba khamenei leaves iran by...?","mojtaba khamenei leaves iran by...? prediction","mojtaba khamenei leaves iran by...? odds","mojtaba khamenei leaves iran by...? probability","political prediction market","political forecast","political probability","2026-06-05T13:08:10.653Z","2026-05-30T10:42:50.583Z",[44,62,73],{"id":45,"title":46,"slug":47,"category":10,"subcategory":13,"tags":48,"probability":56,"createdAt":57,"updatedAt":58,"resolutionDate":59,"description":60,"summary":60,"volume1wk":61,"featured":26},"31875","Republican Presidential Nominee 2028","republican-presidential-nominee-2028",[13,49,50,51,52,53,54,55],"US Election","Elections","World Elections","Global Elections","Earn 4%","Primaries","United States",2.75,"2026-05-30T10:42:43.975Z","2026-05-30T10:39:47.083Z","2028-11-07T00:00:00.000Z","This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources.\n\nAny replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.",9249335.794150999,{"id":63,"title":64,"slug":65,"category":10,"subcategory":13,"tags":66,"probability":20,"createdAt":68,"updatedAt":69,"resolutionDate":70,"description":71,"summary":71,"volume1wk":72,"featured":26},"438327","Iran closes its airspace by...?","iran-closes-its-airspace-by",[13,15,67,14],"U.S. x Iran","2026-05-30T10:42:44.156Z","2026-05-30T10:38:40.231Z","2026-05-31T00:00:00.000Z","This market will resolve to “Yes” if Iran initiates a major closure of its airspace, that is not solely due to weather conditions, by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nA “major closure” is defined as a broad closure, cancellation, or suspension of commercial flights transiting, arriving in, and departing from Iranian airspace or a major Iranian Airspace region. A qualifying closure must apply generally to flights across Iran or a major Iranian airspace region. Limited cancellations, delays, or other partial closures will not qualify. Limited exceptions to a broad closure, however, will not disqualify such a closure from counting (e.g. exceptions for certain flights pre-approved by the Iranian Civil Aviation Authority may be permitted). \n\nAny non-weather complete suspension of commercial arrivals and departures affecting at least two of the following airports will qualify: Imam Khomeini International Airport (IKA), Mehrabad Airport (THR), Mashhad International Airport (MHD), Shiraz International Airport (SYZ), or Isfahan International Airport (IFN).\n\nQualifying previous examples include the January 2026 total closure of Iranian airspace except to international flights with express governmental permission (https:\u002F\u002Fwww.reuters.com\u002Fworld\u002Fmiddle-east\u002Firan-shuts-airspace-most-flights-flightradar24-says-2026-01-14\u002F) and the April 2024 closure of Iran’s western airspace (https:\u002F\u002Fwww.reuters.com\u002Fworld\u002Fmiddle-east\u002Firanian-airports-cancel-flights-until-monday-morning-2024-04-14\u002F). Non-qualifying examples include the January 27, 2026 partial closure of Iranian airspace around the Strait of Hormuz (https:\u002F\u002Fwww.aa.com.tr\u002Fen\u002Fmiddle-east\u002Firan-issues-airspace-notice-for-military-drills-near-strait-of-hormuz\u002F3812508) and the January 25 - April 25, 2026 VFR (Visual Flight Rules) flights suspension which did not broadly close commercial aviation in a qualifying region (https:\u002F\u002Fwww.intellinews.com\u002Firan-suspends-general-aviation-and-vfr-flights-in-new-airspace-directive-421997\u002F).\n\nWarnings, No-Fly-Zones, or other flight restrictions imposed by airlines or countries other than Iran will not be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution.\n\nAirspace closures which occur solely due to weather conditions will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from Iranian aviation authorities and a consensus of credible reporting.",6620506.11378,{"id":74,"title":75,"slug":76,"category":10,"subcategory":50,"tags":77,"probability":82,"createdAt":83,"updatedAt":84,"resolutionDate":85,"description":86,"summary":86,"volume1wk":87,"featured":26},"57096","California Governor Election Winner","california-governor-election-2026",[50,49,13,78,79,80,81],"Governor midterms","California Midterm","rewards 100, 4.5, 100","California Governor",0.25,"2026-05-30T10:42:44.509Z","2026-05-30T10:32:16.807Z","2026-11-03T00:00:00.000Z","This market will resolve to according to the candidate who wins the 2026 California gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.\n\nIf the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.",4083953.7799110003,1780676602226]